Victoria vs New South Wales Prediction: Who Will Win VIC vs NSW 4th Test Sheffield Shield on 15th October 2025?
The much-awaited Victoria vs New South Wales prediction for the 4th Test of the Sheffield Shield 2025-26 season promises an exciting red-ball encounter at the picturesque Junction Oval, Melbourne. Both teams are coming off confidence-boosting victories — Victoria clinched a four-wicket win over South Australia, while New South Wales outclassed Western Australia by 74 runs.
Victoria have looked well-balanced with both bat and ball, led by the experienced Peter Handscomb and backed by young talents like Oliver Peake and Doug Warren. On the other hand, New South Wales, under the leadership of Nathan Lyon, boast a strong bowling attack featuring Ryan Hadley and Liam Hatcher. This VIC vs NSW Test prediction highlights the potential for a gripping contest where consistency and temperament will decide the outcome.
The 4th Test between Victoria and New South Wales is scheduled to begin on Wednesday, 15th October 2025, at the Junction Oval, Melbourne. Cricketwebs brings you 100% accurate match prediction tips, fantasy suggestions, and key insights to help you analyze who will come out on top in this classic domestic battle.
Match Details
| Match | VIC vs NSW, 4th Test, Sheffield Shield 2025-26 |
|---|---|
| Date | Wednesday, 15th October 2025 |
| Time | 5:00 AM (IST) |
| Venue | Junction Oval, Melbourne |
| Live Streaming | Fancode |
Victoria Preview
Victoria enter this contest with solid momentum after defeating South Australia in Adelaide by four wickets. Their victory was driven by consistent batting and disciplined bowling efforts, highlighting their depth in both departments.
In the batting unit, the likes of Marcus Harris, Blake MacDonald, Campbell Kellaway, Peter Handscomb, and Oliver Peake form a solid top order. Handscomb’s century in the previous match anchored Victoria’s first-innings total of 343, while Peake’s unbeaten 70 guided them home in the second innings. The young duo of Kellaway and MacDonald provided crucial contributions, showing maturity beyond their years.
The bowling department looks well-rounded, led by Scott Boland and Doug Warren, who starred with the ball in Adelaide. Warren’s seven-wicket haul and Perry’s six scalps underlined Victoria’s strength in seam and spin options. The experienced Mitchell Perry adds variety, while Fergus O’Neill and David Moody provide reliability.
Victoria’s recent form, tactical balance, and ability to adapt to different match situations make them strong contenders at their home venue. The side will aim to maintain their winning run and solidify their position in the points table.
Victoria Predicted Playing XI:
Campbell Kellaway, Blake MacDonald, Marcus Harris, Peter Handscomb (c), Oliver Peake, Sam Harper (wk), Mitchell Perry, Fergus O’Neill, Doug Warren, Scott Boland, David Moody
New South Wales Preview
New South Wales also began their campaign strongly with a comprehensive 74-run victory over Western Australia. Their bowling attack once again proved to be their biggest strength, dismantling WA’s batting order across both innings.
In the batting lineup, Kurtis Patterson, Blake Nikitaras, Sam Konstas, Matthew Gilkes, and Oliver Davies will carry the bulk of responsibility. Though they were bowled out for 170 in their first innings, the middle-order contributions from William Salzmann and Matthew Gilkes added valuable runs. In the second innings, lower-order resistance from Chris Green, Salzmann, and skipper Nathan Lyon took their total to 221, setting a challenging target.
The bowling department, spearheaded by Ryan Hadley and Liam Hatcher, has been outstanding. Hadley’s eight wickets and Hatcher’s six against WA underlined their match-winning potential. Spinner Nathan Lyon will be crucial on a Melbourne surface that often provides late turn. Supporting bowlers like Charles Stobo and Chris Green ensure New South Wales possess both pace and control.
While the batting remains a slight concern, their bowling depth makes them capable of taking 20 wickets in any match. NSW will need their top order to step up if they are to upset Victoria in this encounter.
New South Wales Predicted Playing XI:
Sam Konstas, Blake Nikitaras, Kurtis Patterson, Matthew Gilkes (wk), Oliver Davies, Chris Green, William Salzmann, Charles Stobo, Nathan Lyon (c), Liam Hatcher, Ryan Hadley
Fantasy Team XI
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Peter Handscomb (C) | Batter |
| Marcus Harris | Batter |
| Oliver Peake | Batter |
| Kurtis Patterson | Batter |
| Matthew Gilkes (VC) | Wicketkeeper |
| William Salzmann | All-rounder |
| Doug Warren | Bowler |
| Mitchell Perry | Bowler |
| Ryan Hadley | Bowler |
| Scott Boland | Bowler |
| Nathan Lyon | Bowler |
Fantasy Tips
- Captain Choices: Peter Handscomb, Nathan Lyon
- Vice-Captain Choices: Matthew Gilkes, Ryan Hadley
- Players to Avoid: Sam Konstas, Blake Nikitaras (inconsistent recent form)
Fantasy Insight: Choose a balanced team with three bowlers from each side. Handscomb and Gilkes offer reliable fantasy points through consistent batting and wicketkeeping contributions.
Favourite Team in Today’s Match
Victoria are the favourites heading into this clash. Their batting depth, home advantage, and form of key players like Peter Handscomb and Doug Warren make them the stronger outfit. The team’s confidence after a solid win and the advantage of playing at Junction Oval, where they know the conditions well, further tilt the balance in their favor. Unless New South Wales deliver an extraordinary bowling performance, Victoria are expected to dominate the proceedings and continue their winning momentum.
Victoria Test History
Victoria have a proud first-class legacy with 917 matches, including 356 wins, 262 losses, 298 draws, and 1 tie, showcasing their consistency in Australian domestic cricket.
New South Wales Test History
New South Wales have featured in 921 matches, recording 386 wins, 264 losses, 270 draws, and 1 tie, maintaining their reputation as Australia’s most successful state side.
Also Check: New South Wales vs Victoria Head to Head in Test
Pitch Report
The Junction Oval pitch offers a balanced surface with early movement for seamers and gradual assistance for spinners on later days. Batters who apply themselves can score heavily, especially in the first two days. Expect a moderate total in the range of 280–320 runs per innings.
Weather Report
Melbourne’s weather is expected to remain pleasant with clear skies throughout the match. Slight cloud cover might assist bowlers early on, but no major rain interruptions are predicted during the four days of play.
Broadcast Details
- Live Streaming: Fancode (India)
- TV Broadcast: Fox Cricket (Australia)
Toss Prediction
Toss Winner: Victoria
Teams winning the toss are likely to bat first, as the pitch tends to deteriorate on Days 3 and 4.
Match Prediction
Our Winner: Victoria Will Win
Victoria’s well-rounded combination, form, and experience give them a clear edge in this encounter.
If Victoria Bat First: 286+
If New South Wales Bat First: 295+
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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