Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals Prediction: Who Will Win RW vs CGR 1st Qualifier T20 BPL Match?
The Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals prediction for the 1st Qualifier of the Bangladesh Premier League (BPL) 2025–26 points towards a high-intensity contest with a direct spot in the final on the line. This Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals prediction gains extra importance as both teams finished in the top two, but arrive with contrasting momentum. The clash will be played on Tuesday, 20 January 2026, at the iconic Sher-E-Bangla National Cricket Stadium.
Rajshahi Warriors have been the most consistent side of the tournament, winning five of their last six matches and topping the league table. Their batting unit has been the backbone of this success, with Najmul Hossain Shanto and Mushfiqur Rahim combining for over 500 runs this season. This dominant form heavily influences the Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals prediction, giving Rajshahi a psychological and statistical edge.
Chattogram Royals, on the other hand, enter this Qualifier under pressure after suffering back-to-back defeats, including a heavy loss to Dhaka Capitals in their final league game. Their batting collapsed under pressure in that match, raising concerns ahead of a knockout fixture. However, the Royals still possess quality players capable of bouncing back, making this Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals prediction far from one-sided.
Conditions in Dhaka generally favour disciplined bowling and batters who can rotate strike. Rajshahi’s recent adaptability at this venue, combined with their confidence and depth, makes them favourites. Overall, form, balance, and recent head-to-head results strongly shape this Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals prediction in favour of the Warriors.
- Rajshahi Warriors have won 5 of their last 6 matches
- Chattogram Royals are coming off back-to-back losses
- Shanto and Rahim have scored 500+ runs for Rajshahi
- Rajshahi Warriors start as favourites for the Qualifier
Match Details
| Match | RW vs CGR, 1st Qualifier T20 |
|---|---|
| Date | Tuesday, 20 January 2026 |
| Time | 5:30 PM IST |
| Venue | Sher-E-Bangla National Cricket Stadium, Dhaka |
| Tournament | Bangladesh Premier League 2025–26 |
Team Preview
Chattogram Royals Preview
Chattogram Royals have enjoyed a largely competitive season but enter the 1st Qualifier with concerns after consecutive defeats. Finishing second on the points table ensured a Qualifier berth, but momentum has clearly shifted away from them in recent games. Their latest loss to Dhaka Capitals exposed flaws in both batting depth and pressure handling.
At the top, Mohammad Naim has been one of their more reliable run-scorers this season. His role alongside Mohammad Haris is crucial, as Chattogram need strong powerplay starts to put Rajshahi under pressure. However, inconsistency in the middle order has hurt them. Players like Mahmudul Hasan Joy, Shadman Islam, and Hasan Nawaz have shown glimpses but failed to deliver collectively. This lack of partnerships has often left too much responsibility on the lower middle order.
Mahedi Hasan and Asif Ali provide finishing power, but they cannot always be expected to rescue the innings. In a high-pressure Qualifier, the Royals will need contributions from at least three to four batters to post a competitive total.
Bowling has been Chattogram’s stronger suit this season. Shoriful Islam has been outstanding with the new ball, regularly troubling top-order batters with pace and movement. Mukidul Islam complements him well. In the middle overs, Tanvir Islam and Aamer Jamal play vital roles in controlling the run rate, while Mahedi Hasan’s off-spin adds flexibility.
For Chattogram Royals to challenge Rajshahi, they must strike early with the ball and show greater composure with the bat. A disciplined bowling effort followed by smarter batting is essential if they are to secure a direct ticket to the final.
Rajshahi Warriors Preview
Rajshahi Warriors have been the standout team of the BPL 2025–26 league stage. Finishing at the top of the table, they come into the 1st Qualifier brimming with confidence after winning five of their last six matches, including a recent victory over Chattogram Royals.
Batting has been their biggest strength. Captain Najmul Hossain Shanto has led from the front, anchoring innings and delivering under pressure. Alongside him, Mushfiqur Rahim has been exceptional, providing experience and consistency in the middle order. Although openers Sahibzada Farhan and Tanzid Hasan Tamim have been inconsistent, the depth in the lineup has often compensated.
James Neesham adds power and flexibility, capable of changing the game in a few overs. Ryan Burl and Akbar Ali strengthen the lower middle order, ensuring Rajshahi can accelerate towards the death overs. This depth makes them difficult to contain.
The bowling unit has also stepped up at the right time. Jahandad Khan and James Neesham have delivered early breakthroughs, while Tanzim Hasan Sakib’s recent four-wicket haul highlights his growing confidence. Abdul Gaffar Saqlain and Hasan Murad provide control in the middle overs, backed by Ryan Burl’s part-time spin.
With form, balance, and confidence on their side, Rajshahi Warriors look well-positioned to dominate this Qualifier and secure a place in the final.
Also Check: BPL 2025-26: Points Table, Most Runs & Most Wickets
Team Squads
Chattogram Royals Squad:
Mahedi Hasan, Mohammad Naim, Mahmudul Hasan Joy, Mohammad Haris, Shadman Islam, Hasan Nawaz, Asif Ali, Mukidul Islam, Aamer Jamal, Shoriful Islam, Tanvir Islam
Rajshahi Warriors Squad:
Najmul Hossain Shanto, Sahibzada Farhan, Tanzid Hasan Tamim, Mushfiqur Rahim, James Neesham, Ryan Burl, Akbar Ali, Tanzim Hasan Sakib, Abdul Gaffar Saqlain, Hasan Murad, Jahandad Khan
Probable Playing XI
| Chattogram Royals | Rajshahi Warriors |
|---|---|
| Mahedi Hasan (c) | Najmul Hossain Shanto (c) |
| Mohammad Naim | Sahibzada Farhan |
| Mahmudul Hasan Joy | Tanzid Hasan Tamim |
| Mohammad Haris (wk) | Mushfiqur Rahim (wk) |
| Shadman Islam | James Neesham |
| Hasan Nawaz | Ryan Burl |
| Asif Ali | Akbar Ali |
| Mukidul Islam | Tanzim Hasan Sakib |
| Aamer Jamal | Abdul Gaffar Saqlain |
| Shoriful Islam | Hasan Murad |
| Tanvir Islam | Jahandad Khan |
Rajshahi Warriors vs Chattogram Royals Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Mushfiqur Rahim |
| BAT | Najmul Hossain Shanto, Mohammad Naim, Tanzid Hasan Tamim |
| AR | James Neesham, Ryan Burl, Mahedi Hasan |
| BOWL | Shoriful Islam, Tanzim Hasan Sakib, Aamer Jamal, Hasan Murad |
This fantasy XI prioritizes form, role clarity, and knockout impact. Najmul Hossain Shanto is a must-pick due to his consistency, while Mushfiqur Rahim adds stability and wicketkeeping points. Mohammad Naim provides top-order value for Chattogram. All-rounders James Neesham, Ryan Burl, and Mahedi Hasan maximize point potential through both batting and bowling contributions. Shoriful Islam’s new-ball threat makes him a key bowling pick, while Tanzim Hasan Sakib’s recent form adds wicket-taking value. Aamer Jamal and Hasan Murad strengthen the bowling unit.
Captain Options: Najmul Hossain Shanto, Mushfiqur Rahim
Vice-Captain Options: James Neesham, Mahedi Hasan
Players to Avoid: Shadman Islam, Mukidul Islam
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today – Rajshahi Warriors (Why)
Rajshahi Warriors are favourites due to superior form, confidence, and balance. Winning five of their last six matches shows consistency and momentum. Their batting lineup, led by Najmul Hossain Shanto and Mushfiqur Rahim, has delivered under pressure, while the bowling unit has found rhythm at the right time. Chattogram Royals, despite their talent, have struggled recently with batting collapses. In a high-pressure Qualifier, Rajshahi’s experience and depth give them a decisive edge.
Pitch Report
The Sher-E-Bangla surface is typically slow, aiding spinners and bowlers who vary pace. Batters need patience and smart strike rotation. Scores around 150–160 are competitive, with chasing becoming tricky under pressure.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 22–25°C |
| Rain | No rain expected |
| Humidity | Moderate |
Clear conditions are expected in Dhaka with no rain interruptions. Moderate humidity may assist spinners as the match progresses, ensuring a balanced contest.
Broadcast Details
The 1st Qualifier will be broadcast live on FanCode. Fans can watch via live streaming on the FanCode app and website, with ball-by-ball commentary and highlights.
Toss Prediction
The toss-winning captain is likely to bat first to put runs on the board and exploit scoreboard pressure. Chattogram Royals are slightly favoured to win the toss.
Score Prediction
If Rajshahi Warriors bat first, a score of 150–160 is expected. If Chattogram Royals bat first, 145–150 looks achievable. Anything above 155 could prove match-winning.
Also Check For More: Bangladesh Premier League Prediction
Probable Batsman & Bowler
For the Rajshahi Warriors, Najmul Hossain Shanto is the most probable top scorer. He has been the backbone of Rajshahi’s batting this season, showing composure against spin and the ability to accelerate when required—an ideal trait for Dhaka conditions. Mushfiqur Rahim is another strong contender, especially in pressure situations, where his experience and strike rotation can anchor the innings.
For the Chattogram Royals, Mohammad Naim remains their key batting hope. If he negotiates the powerplay successfully, he can set a solid platform. Asif Ali could be impactful as a finisher if Chattogram reach the death overs with wickets in hand.
On the bowling front, Tanzim Hasan Sakib is expected to be Rajshahi’s main wicket-taker, given his recent form and effectiveness in the middle overs. For Chattogram, Shoriful Islam is the bowler to watch, capable of striking early and breaking crucial partnerships.
Match Prediction
Considering current form, momentum, and squad balance, Rajshahi Warriors hold a clear advantage in this 1st Qualifier. Their batting depth, led by Shanto and Rahim, combined with a disciplined bowling unit, makes them better equipped for a high-pressure encounter. Chattogram Royals will need an exceptional all-round performance to challenge them. Final Prediction: Rajshahi Warriors are expected to win and secure a direct spot in the final.
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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