Queensland vs New South Wales Prediction: Who Will Win QLD vs NSW 17th Test Sheffield Shield on 5th December 2025?
The Sheffield Shield 2025–26 season moves into another intense round as cricket fans turn their attention to the highly anticipated fixture at the Sydney Cricket Ground. With New South Wales struggling at the bottom of the table and Queensland riding high after an emphatic victory, many viewers are searching for an accurate and detailed Queensland vs New South Wales prediction. The contest, scheduled for Friday, 5th December 2025, carries huge importance for both sides for very different reasons.
Queensland enter this battle full of confidence after their commanding win over Victoria at The Gabba, where Matt Renshaw, Xavier Bartlett, and Gurinder Sandhu delivered standout performances. Their form has propelled them to second place in the standings and strengthened their push toward the Shield final.
In contrast, New South Wales find themselves in a downward spiral. After suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Tasmania, their season has unraveled rapidly. Their batting failed to show resilience in the second innings, and their bowling lacked penetration at critical moments. With back-to-back losses, pressure is mounting on captain Jack Edwards to inspire a turnaround at home. NSW’s performance this season has been a mix of promising starts followed by dramatic collapses, a trend they must overcome to compete with Queensland’s disciplined unit.
The SCG surface traditionally offers a balance between bat and ball, often bringing spinners into play in the latter days of the match. This could test both teams’ adaptability, especially New South Wales, whose spinners have been inconsistent. Queensland, on the other hand, have found a rhythm in both departments, and their bowlers are hunting in packs.
As we break down squads, conditions, fantasy selections, and key matchups, this comprehensive Queensland vs New South Wales prediction will help you understand everything before this crucial 17th Test encounter kicks off.
Match Details
| Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Queensland vs New South Wales, 17th Test |
| Date | Friday, December 5th, 2025 |
| Time | 5:30 AM |
| Venue | Sydney Cricket Stadium, Sydney |
New South Wales Team Preview
New South Wales are battling through one of their toughest phases in recent Sheffield Shield seasons. Their previous match against Tasmania exposed several vulnerabilities, particularly in their second-innings batting approach. Despite posting a strong 391 in the first innings—powered by half-centuries from Ryan Hicks, Kurtis Patterson, Josh Philippe, and Lachlan Shaw—their inability to build sustained partnerships in the second innings cost them dearly. Bowled out for 174 in 91.5 overs, the team succumbed to scoreboard pressure and Tasmanian dominance.
NSW’s batting lineup has talent but lacks consistency. Sam Konstas and Ryan Hicks have shown glimpses of potential but must convert starts into big scores. Kurtis Patterson remains the most dependable batter, offering stability and experience, while Oliver Davies and Philippe must play more responsibly to avoid mid-innings collapses. Captain Jack Edwards, who bats in the lower middle order, must also lead by example with more impactful contributions.
Bowling remains a concern. Tanveer Sangha led the attack in the previous match with a four-wicket haul, showing promise, but NSW need more from their pace trio—Ryan Hadley, Liam Hatcher, and Charles Stobo. Their inability to maintain pressure in long spells has been one of the major reasons behind NSW’s poor campaign.
The SCG pitch will support spin later in the match, placing more responsibility on Sangha. To stay competitive, NSW must tighten their bowling economy, avoid soft dismissals with the bat, and show resilience across all four days.
Predicted XI (NSW):
Sam Konstas, Ryan Hicks, Kurtis Patterson, Lachlan Shaw, Oliver Davies, Josh Philippe (wk), Jack Edwards (c), Charles Stobo, Tanveer Sangha, Liam Hatcher, Ryan Hadley
Queensland Team Preview
Queensland come into this match in tremendous form after a dominant win over Victoria at The Gabba. Their first-innings total of 430 showcased balance, discipline, and depth in batting. Matt Renshaw delivered a magnificent century, pacing his innings beautifully with ten boundaries. His form at the top will be crucial, as Renshaw often sets the tone for Queensland’s long-format success.
Xavier Bartlett played one of the finest all-round knocks of the previous round with a superb 72 off 91 balls, adding crucial lower-order runs that pushed Queensland’s total beyond reach. Angus Lovell, Lachlan Hearne, Jack Clayton, and Hugh Weibgen all contributed useful runs, proving that Queensland’s batting does not rely on a single player.
Their bowling unit has been exceptional. Gurinder Sandhu produced a match-winning performance with seven wickets against Victoria, demonstrating his ability to swing and seam the ball beautifully. Bartlett’s six wickets further enhanced Queensland’s threat with the ball. Tom Straker, Mitchell Swepson, and Sam Geyer add depth and variation, forming a well-rounded attack suited to SCG conditions.
Swepson’s leg spin will be crucial on a pitch expected to deteriorate by Day 3 and Day 4. His ability to extract turn and bounce could provide vital breakthroughs.
Queensland look more complete, consistent, and confident than their opponents. If they maintain discipline, they should dominate this contest.
Predicted XI (Queensland):
Mitchell Swepson (c), Jimmy Peirson (wk), Matt Renshaw, Jack Clayton, Hugh Weibgen, Angus Lovell, Lachlan Hearne, Sam Geyer, Gurinder Sandhu, Tom Straker, Xavier Bartlett
Also Check: Sheffield Shield 2025: Points Table, Most Runs & Most Wickets
Team Squads
Queensland Squad:
Matt Renshaw, Jack Clayton, Angus Lovell, Lachlan Hearne, Hugh Weibgen, Jimmy Peirson, Mitchell Swepson, Gurinder Sandhu, Xavier Bartlett, Sam Geyer, Tom Straker.
New South Wales Squad:
Sam Konstas, Ryan Hicks, Kurtis Patterson, Oliver Davies, Lachlan Shaw, Josh Philippe, Jack Edwards, Charles Stobo, Tanveer Sangha, Liam Hatcher, Ryan Hadley.
Probable Playing XI
| Queensland | New South Wales |
|---|---|
| Matt Renshaw | Sam Konstas |
| Jack Clayton | Ryan Hicks |
| Angus Lovell | Kurtis Patterson |
| Lachlan Hearne | Lachlan Shaw |
| Hugh Weibgen | Oliver Davies |
| Jimmy Peirson (wk) | Josh Philippe (wk) |
| Mitchell Swepson (c) | Jack Edwards (c) |
| Xavier Bartlett | Tanveer Sangha |
| Gurinder Sandhu | Liam Hatcher |
| Sam Geyer | Charles Stobo |
| Tom Straker | Ryan Hadley |
Dream11 Prediction for Today Queensland vs New South Wales 17th Test
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Jimmy Peirson |
| BAT | Matt Renshaw, Kurtis Patterson, Angus Lovell |
| ALL | Jack Edwards, Hugh Weibgen |
| BOWL | Gurinder Sandhu, Xavier Bartlett, Tanveer Sangha, Mitchell Swepson, Tom Straker |
This fantasy XI is a balanced combination of in-form batters, effective all-rounders, and wicket-taking bowlers. Jimmy Peirson is selected as the wicketkeeper for his consistency and potential to contribute with the bat at crucial moments. Matt Renshaw is the most reliable and high-value batting pick due to his excellent century in the previous match. Kurtis Patterson remains NSW’s best chance for a stable batting performance, while Angus Lovell adds further depth.
Jack Edwards and Hugh Weibgen provide vital all-round contributions and can earn double points through both departments. Edwards’ leadership responsibility makes him an important fantasy pick.
The bowling unit features lethal attackers—Gurinder Sandhu and Xavier Bartlett have been in top form, combining for 13 wickets in their previous match. Tanveer Sangha is NSW’s biggest bowling threat, capable of taking wickets on the SCG surface. Mitchell Swepson and Tom Straker complete the fantasy bowling lineup, offering turn, bounce, and pace variations.
This combination maximizes wicket-taking potential while keeping reliable run scorers in the mix.
Captain & Vice-Captain Picks
- Captain: Matt Renshaw
- Vice-Captain: Xavier Bartlett
Players to Avoid
- Oliver Davies (inconsistent in red-ball cricket)
- Charles Stobo (economy issues, low wicket-taking threat)
Also Check: Get The Best Dream11 Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today
Queensland enter this match as clear favourites due to their outstanding form, superior squad balance, and recent authoritative win over Victoria. Their batting lineup is stable and deep, with Renshaw, Hearne, and Lovell consistently providing runs. Their lower order also contributes meaningfully, making them difficult to bowl out cheaply. The bowling attack is their biggest strength—Sandhu, Bartlett, and Swepson each bring unique threats, forming one of the most complete bowling units in this season’s Shield.
New South Wales, on the other hand, have been inconsistent across all departments. Their batting collapses, especially in the second innings, have hurt them repeatedly, while their bowlers struggle to apply sustained pressure. Considering Queensland’s recent momentum and all-round strength, they are expected to dominate this contest.
Queensland Test History
Queensland have played 812 long-format domestic matches, winning 257, losing 280, and drawing 274, showcasing a competitive history with consistent performances across decades.
New South Wales Test History
New South Wales, one of Australia’s most successful domestic sides, have played 925 matches, securing 386 wins, 267 losses, and 271 draws, reflecting their historic dominance.
Also Check: New South Wales vs Queensland Head to Head in Test
Pitch Report
The Sydney Cricket Ground traditionally offers early movement for seamers before settling into a good batting surface. As the match progresses, the pitch slows down and begins taking turn, bringing spinners like Swepson and Sangha into play. Batters who apply themselves can score big, but the uneven bounce on later days often becomes challenging.
Weather Report
Partly cloudy conditions are expected in Sydney with mild temperatures. A gentle breeze may assist swing bowlers early. No significant rainfall is forecast, ensuring a full five days of play.
Broadcast Details
Live streaming will be available on FanCode. Domestic viewers can follow ball-by-ball coverage via cricket apps and official platforms.
Toss Prediction
Queensland are likely to win the toss and opt to bat first, as SCG conditions generally favour teams setting totals and exploiting spin later in the match.
Match Prediction
Queensland’s superior balance, form, and bowling strength give them a major advantage over struggling NSW.
Predicted Winner: Queensland.
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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