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India vs New Zealand Prediction – Final ODI CT 2025, Dream11 Team, Betting Tips, Playing XI, Pitch & Weather Report

The much-anticipated India vs New Zealand Final ODI of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set to take place on Sunday, 9th March 2025, at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai. Both teams have shown exceptional form throughout the tournament, but only one can lift the trophy. Let’s dive into the India vs New Zealand prediction, team previews, squads, playing XIs, and more to find out who will win this thrilling encounter.

The stage is set for an epic final as India and New Zealand lock horns in yet another ICC tournament showdown. India, the tournament favorites, have made it to the final with a dominant run, while New Zealand, known for their ability to perform under pressure, have lost just one game in their campaign.

With India having played all their matches at this venue and New Zealand struggling on this ground in their only previous outing, the conditions seem to favor the Men in Blue. However, New Zealand’s history of upsetting India in ICC knockout matches keeps this contest wide open.

Match Details

MatchDetails
TeamsIndia vs New Zealand
EventICC Champions Trophy 2025 Final
DateSunday, 9th March 2025
Time2:30 PM (IST)
VenueDubai International Cricket Stadium
BroadcastJioHotstar, Star Sports Network, Sports 18 Network

Team Previews

India Preview

Varun_Shami_Kuldeep

India have looked unbeatable in this tournament, winning crucial matches with a mix of strong batting, potent spin bowling, and disciplined pace attack. They defeated Australia in the semi-final by four wickets, showcasing their ability to chase under pressure.

With home-like conditions favoring them, India are the favorites to clinch the title.

India’s Key Strengths

1️⃣ World-Class Spin Attack
India’s biggest advantage is their exceptional spin bowling unit, which includes:

  • Axar Patel – Provides tight lines in the powerplay.
  • Kuldeep Yadav – A wicket-taking wrist spinner.
  • Varun Chakravarthy – Mystery spinner who can trouble New Zealand’s batters.
  • Ravindra Jadeja – The experienced all-rounder who brings control and breakthroughs.

On a pitch that assists spin, these four could dominate New Zealand’s batting lineup.

2️⃣ In-Form Batting Lineup

  • Virat Kohli (84 in SF vs AUS) – The backbone of India’s batting, always rising to the occasion in big matches.
  • Shreyas Iyer (45 in SF) – One of the most consistent performers in the middle order.
  • KL Rahul (42 in SF) – Reliable finisher who stabilizes the chase.
  • Hardik Pandya & Ravindra Jadeja – Provide much-needed depth and finishing firepower.

With Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill at the top, India’s batting lineup has the ability to post big totals or chase down tricky targets.

3️⃣ Balanced Pace Attack

  • Mohammed Shami (3 wickets in SF vs AUS) – India’s most experienced and lethal pacer.
  • Hardik Pandya & Axar Patel – Provide pace variation and support to the spinners.

Shami’s ability to strike early and bowl well at the death will be key against New Zealand’s top order.

India’s Concerns

❌ Over-Reliance on Spinners – If New Zealand’s batters play spin well, India might struggle to break partnerships.

❌ Openers’ Inconsistent Form – Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill haven’t been at their best, which could be a concern if India lose early wickets.

❌ Pressure of Another ICC Final – India have struggled in ICC finals in recent years. Can they finally cross the line?

India’s Semi-Final Performance (vs Australia)

  • Bowling First: India bowled out Australia for 264 runs in 49.3 overs.
  • Mohammed Shami: 3 wickets, 48 runs in 10 overs.
  • Varun Chakravarthy & Ravindra Jadeja: 2 wickets each.
  • Chasing 265: India reached the target in 48.1 overs.
  • Virat Kohli: 84 off 98 balls (5 boundaries).
  • Shreyas Iyer: 45 off 62 balls.
  • KL Rahul: 42* not out.

India’s ability to perform under pressure and chase efficiently makes them a dangerous opponent in the final.

Also Check: Rohit Sharma Creates History, Becomes 1st Captain In The World To…

New Zealand Preview

Rachin-Ravindra-NZ

New Zealand have been outstanding in this tournament, winning all but one match. Their only loss came against India at this very venue, where they struggled to chase a 250-run target.

They are coming into the final full of confidence, after a dominant 50-run win over South Africa in the semi-finals.

New Zealand’s Key Strengths

1️⃣ Strong Middle Order
New Zealand’s batting revolves around their experienced core:

  • Kane Williamson (102 in SF vs SA) – The team’s backbone, brilliant against spin.
  • Rachin Ravindra (108 in SF) – The young star who has been a consistent run-getter.
  • Daryl Mitchell & Tom Latham – Provide stability and finishing ability.
  • Glenn Phillips (49 in SF)* – The explosive hitter who can accelerate in the final overs.

New Zealand will rely heavily on Williamson and Ravindra to handle India’s spinners in the middle overs.

2️⃣ Well-Balanced Bowling Attack

  • Matt Henry & Kyle Jamieson – Lethal pace duo that can trouble India’s top order.
  • Mitchell Santner (3 wickets in SF vs SA) – The best spinner in the squad, will be crucial against India.
  • Michael Bracewell & Rachin Ravindra – Provide variety in the spin department.
  • Glenn Phillips (2 wickets in SF) – A handy part-time bowler.

New Zealand’s bowling attack has depth, with a mix of pace and spin options to challenge India’s batters.

New Zealand’s Concerns

❌ Struggled on This Pitch – Their only loss in the tournament was on this ground against India.

❌ Chasing Woes – If New Zealand bat second, handling India’s spinners under pressure will be tough.

❌ Heavy Dependence on Williamson & Ravindra – If they get out early, New Zealand might struggle.

New Zealand’s Semi-Final Performance (vs South Africa)

  • Batting First: New Zealand posted 362 runs in 50 overs.
  • Rachin Ravindra: 108 off 101 balls (13 boundaries, 1 six).
  • Kane Williamson: 102 off 94 balls (10 boundaries, 2 sixes).
  • Glenn Phillips & Daryl Mitchell: 49 each.
  • Bowling Performance:
  • Mitchell Santner: 3 wickets for 43 runs.
  • Matt Henry & Glenn Phillips: 2 wickets each.
  • South Africa bowled out for 312 runs.

New Zealand’s ability to bat deep and post big scores makes them a dangerous opponent for India.

Also Check: Rachin Ravindra Breaks Shikhar Dhawan’s World Record, Becomes Fastest Batter To…

Key Battles to Watch

🔥 Virat Kohli vs Mitchell Santner – Kohli is in great form, but Santner has troubled him in the past.

🔥 Kane Williamson vs Kuldeep Yadav – Williamson is New Zealand’s best player of spin, while Kuldeep is India’s key wicket-taker.

🔥 Rohit Sharma vs Matt Henry – If Henry gets Rohit early, it could expose India’s middle order.

🔥 Rachin Ravindra vs Mohammed Shami – The battle between New Zealand’s top young batter and India’s pace spearhead.

🔥 Shreyas Iyer vs Kyle Jamieson – Iyer has been solid, but Jamieson’s bounce could trouble him.

Team Squads

New Zealand Squad

Tom Latham (wk), Mitchell Santner (c), Will Young, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, William O’Rourke, Daryl Mitchell, Nathan Smith, Mark Chapman, Jacob Duffy

India Squad

Rohit Sharma (c), KL Rahul (wk), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Axar Patel, Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Harshit Rana, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Rishabh Pant, Washington Sundar, Varun Chakravarthy, Arshdeep Singh

Probable Playing XI

India

  1. Rohit Sharma (c)
  2. Shubman Gill
  3. Virat Kohli
  4. Shreyas Iyer
  5. KL Rahul
  6. Hardik Pandya
  7. Ravindra Jadeja
  8. Axar Patel
  9. Kuldeep Yadav
  10. Mohammed Shami
  11. Arshdeep Singh

New Zealand

  1. Devon Conway
  2. Rachin Ravindra
  3. Kane Williamson
  4. Daryl Mitchell
  5. Tom Latham (wk)
  6. Glenn Phillips
  7. Mitchell Santner (c)
  8. Kyle Jamieson
  9. Matt Henry
  10. Nathan Smith
  11. Jacob Duffy

Fantasy Team XI – Dream11 Prediction for Today India vs New Zealand

India vs New Zealand Match Prediction (IND vs NZ Prediction)
India vs New Zealand Match Prediction (IND vs NZ Prediction)
PlayerRole
Rohit SharmaBatsman
Shubman GillBatsman
Virat KohliBatsman
Kane WilliamsonBatsman
Shreyas IyerBatsman
Hardik PandyaAll-rounder
Ravindra JadejaAll-rounder
Mitchell SantnerAll-rounder
Kuldeep YadavBowler
Matt HenryBowler
Mohammed ShamiBowler

Explanation:

  • Top Order: Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, and Kane Williamson are reliable picks for consistent runs.
  • Middle Order: Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer provide stability and firepower.
  • All-rounders: Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, and Mitchell Santner offer balance with both bat and ball.
  • Bowlers: Kuldeep Yadav, Matt Henry, and Mohammed Shami are wicket-takers who can dominate in the death overs.

2 Players to Avoid in Fantasy Team

  1. KL Rahul: Has been inconsistent in the tournament and may not deliver in high-pressure games.
  2. Jacob Duffy: Lacks experience in big matches and may struggle against India’s strong batting lineup.

Also Check: Get The Best Dream11 Prediction From Cricket Experts

Favourite Team in Today’s Match

India is the favourite to win the final, and here’s why:

  • Home Advantage: India has played all their matches at Dubai and is well-acquainted with the conditions.
  • Strong Spin Attack: The pitch favours spinners, and India has the best spin-bowling unit in the world.
  • Batting Depth: With Kohli, Iyer, and Pandya in form, India’s batting lineup is hard to stop.
  • Recent Form: India has been dominant throughout the tournament, losing only one game.
  • Head-to-Head Record: India has a better record against New Zealand in recent encounters.

India ODI History

India has played 1065 ODIs, winning 566 and losing 445, with 44 no results and 10 ties. They are one of the most successful teams in ODI cricket.

New Zealand ODI History

New Zealand has played 838 ODIs, winning 387 and losing 401, with 44 no results and 6 ties. They are known for their consistency in ICC tournaments.

Head-to-Head Stats

Matches PlayedIndia WonNew Zealand WonNo ResultTied
119615071

India has a slight edge over New Zealand in head-to-head encounters, winning 61 out of 119 matches. However, New Zealand has often performed well in ICC knockout games.

Pitch Report

Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai

The Dubai pitch is known for being balanced, offering assistance to both batsmen and bowlers. Spinners will play a crucial role in the middle overs, while pacers may find some early movement. A score of 250-270 is considered par.

Dubai International Cricket Stadium   
CityDubai
CountryUnited Arab Emirates
Matches Played62
Matches Won Batting First23 (37.10%)
Matches Won Batting Second37 (59.68%)
Matches Won Winning Toss28 (45.16%)
Matches Won Losing Toss32 (51.61%)
Matches Tied1 (1.61%)
Matches with No Result1 (1.61%)
Highest Individual Innings144Mushfiqur Rahim (Bangladesh)15/09/2018 v Sri Lanka
Best Bowling6/38Shahid Afridi (Pakistan)22/04/2009 v Australia
Highest Team Innings355/5 (England)20/11/2015 v Pakistan
Lowest Team Innings91 (Namibia)23/02/2023 v United Arab Emirates
Highest Run Chase Achieved287/8 (Sri Lanka)20/12/2013 v Pakistan
Average Runs per Wicket27.48
Average Runs per Over4.65
Average Score Batting First220

Weather Report

The weather in Dubai is expected to be clear, with no chances of rain. The temperature will be around 25-30°C, making it ideal for a full game.

Also Check For More: Champions Trophy 2025 Match Prediction

Toss Prediction:

Winner: New Zealand

Match Prediction?

Our Winner: India Will Win

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Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.

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IND vs NZ – Who Will Win?

Who Will Win Today’s IND vs NZ Match?

Betting Tips for India vs New Zealand Final ODI 2025

The India vs New Zealand Final ODI of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set to be a thrilling encounter, and for those looking to place bets, here are some betting tips to consider:

1. Match Winner: India (Favourite)

India is the strong favourite to win this match, with a 75% chance of victory according to experts. Their familiarity with the Dubai conditions, strong spin attack, and in-form batting lineup make them the safer bet. However, New Zealand’s ability to perform in high-pressure games means they cannot be completely ruled out.

2. Top Batsman for India: Virat Kohli

Virat Kohli has been in sublime form throughout the tournament, especially in knockout games. He is a reliable pick for India’s top batsman. Other options include Shreyas Iyer and Rohit Sharma, who have the potential to score big.

3. Top Batsman for New Zealand: Kane Williamson

Kane Williamson is the backbone of New Zealand’s batting lineup. His ability to anchor the innings and play spin well makes him the best bet for New Zealand’s top batsman. Rachin Ravindra and Daryl Mitchell are also good options.

4. Top Bowler for India: Kuldeep Yadav

Kuldeep Yadav has been exceptional in the tournament, especially on spin-friendly pitches. He is a strong contender for India’s top bowler. Mohammed Shami and Ravindra Jadeja are also good picks.

5. Top Bowler for New Zealand: Matt Henry

Matt Henry has been New Zealand’s leading wicket-taker in the tournament. His ability to pick early wickets makes him the best bet for New Zealand’s top bowler. Kyle Jamieson and Mitchell Santner are also worth considering.

6. Total Runs in the Match: 250-270

The Dubai pitch is balanced, and a score of 250-270 is considered par. Betting on the total runs to fall within this range is a safe option.

7. Toss Winner: New Zealand

New Zealand is predicted to win the toss, which could influence their decision to bat or bowl first depending on the conditions.

8. Player Performance Bets

  • Virat Kohli to score 50+ runs: Kohli has a strong record in knockout games and is likely to deliver.
  • Kuldeep Yadav to take 2+ wickets: The spinner has been in great form and can exploit the Dubai pitch.
  • Kane Williamson to score 40+ runs: Williamson’s consistency makes him a reliable pick.

Also Check: ‘Retiring Is Rohit Sharma’s Call But Captaincy…’: BCCI To Decide India Star’s Future After Champions Trophy Final

FAQ – IND vs NZ Final ODI

Who will win the India vs New Zealand Final ODI?

India is the favourite to win due to their strong form and familiarity with the conditions.

What is the head-to-head record between India and New Zealand?

India leads 61-50 in 119 matches.

Who are the key players to watch?

Virat Kohli, Kane Williamson, Ravindra Jadeja, and Matt Henry.

What is the pitch like in Dubai?

Balanced, with assistance for both batsmen and spinners.

What is the weather forecast for the match?

Clear skies with no rain expected.

Who is the favourite in the toss?

New Zealand is predicted to win the toss.

Which team has a better spin attack?

India, with Kuldeep Yadav, Axar Patel, and Ravindra Jadeja.

What is the predicted score if India bats first?

India is likely to score 256+ if they bat first.

Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.

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About Pawan Goenka

Pawan Goenka is a Cricket Expert | Cricket Analyst | Co-founder of Cricketwebs Sports Business House. Pawan Goenka was born and raised in Delhi, India. Contact info - 7065437044 (WhatsApp only). E-mail - cricketwebs@gmail.com

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