The much-anticipated India vs New Zealand Final ODI of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set to take place on Sunday, 9th March 2025, at the Dubai International Cricket Stadium, Dubai. Both teams have shown exceptional form throughout the tournament, but only one can lift the trophy. Let’s dive into the India vs New Zealand prediction, team previews, squads, playing XIs, and more to find out who will win this thrilling encounter.
The stage is set for an epic final as India and New Zealand lock horns in yet another ICC tournament showdown. India, the tournament favorites, have made it to the final with a dominant run, while New Zealand, known for their ability to perform under pressure, have lost just one game in their campaign.
With India having played all their matches at this venue and New Zealand struggling on this ground in their only previous outing, the conditions seem to favor the Men in Blue. However, New Zealand’s history of upsetting India in ICC knockout matches keeps this contest wide open.
Table of content
- 1 Match Details
- 2 Team Previews
- 3 India Preview
- 4 New Zealand Preview
- 5 Key Battles to Watch
- 6 Team Squads
- 7 Probable Playing XI
- 8 Fantasy Team XI – Dream11 Prediction for Today India vs New Zealand
- 9 Top 3 Captain and Vice-Captain Choices for IND vs NZ
- 10 Favourite Team in Today’s Match
- 11 India ODI History
- 12 New Zealand ODI History
- 13 Head-to-Head Stats
- 14 Pitch Report
- 15 Weather Report
- 16 Toss Prediction:
- 17 Match Prediction?
- 18 Betting Tips for India vs New Zealand Final ODI 2025
- 19 FAQ – IND vs NZ Final ODI
- 20 Share this:
- 21 Like this:
- 22 Related
Match Details
Match | Details |
---|---|
Teams | India vs New Zealand |
Event | ICC Champions Trophy 2025 Final |
Date | Sunday, 9th March 2025 |
Time | 2:30 PM (IST) |
Venue | Dubai International Cricket Stadium |
Broadcast | JioHotstar, Star Sports Network, Sports 18 Network |
Team Previews
India Preview

India have looked unbeatable in this tournament, winning crucial matches with a mix of strong batting, potent spin bowling, and disciplined pace attack. They defeated Australia in the semi-final by four wickets, showcasing their ability to chase under pressure.
With home-like conditions favoring them, India are the favorites to clinch the title.
India’s Key Strengths
1️⃣ World-Class Spin Attack
India’s biggest advantage is their exceptional spin bowling unit, which includes:
- Axar Patel – Provides tight lines in the powerplay.
- Kuldeep Yadav – A wicket-taking wrist spinner.
- Varun Chakravarthy – Mystery spinner who can trouble New Zealand’s batters.
- Ravindra Jadeja – The experienced all-rounder who brings control and breakthroughs.
On a pitch that assists spin, these four could dominate New Zealand’s batting lineup.
2️⃣ In-Form Batting Lineup
- Virat Kohli (84 in SF vs AUS) – The backbone of India’s batting, always rising to the occasion in big matches.
- Shreyas Iyer (45 in SF) – One of the most consistent performers in the middle order.
- KL Rahul (42 in SF) – Reliable finisher who stabilizes the chase.
- Hardik Pandya & Ravindra Jadeja – Provide much-needed depth and finishing firepower.
With Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill at the top, India’s batting lineup has the ability to post big totals or chase down tricky targets.
3️⃣ Balanced Pace Attack
- Mohammed Shami (3 wickets in SF vs AUS) – India’s most experienced and lethal pacer.
- Hardik Pandya & Axar Patel – Provide pace variation and support to the spinners.
Shami’s ability to strike early and bowl well at the death will be key against New Zealand’s top order.
India’s Concerns
❌ Over-Reliance on Spinners – If New Zealand’s batters play spin well, India might struggle to break partnerships.
❌ Openers’ Inconsistent Form – Rohit Sharma and Shubman Gill haven’t been at their best, which could be a concern if India lose early wickets.
❌ Pressure of Another ICC Final – India have struggled in ICC finals in recent years. Can they finally cross the line?
India’s Semi-Final Performance (vs Australia)
- Bowling First: India bowled out Australia for 264 runs in 49.3 overs.
- Mohammed Shami: 3 wickets, 48 runs in 10 overs.
- Varun Chakravarthy & Ravindra Jadeja: 2 wickets each.
- Chasing 265: India reached the target in 48.1 overs.
- Virat Kohli: 84 off 98 balls (5 boundaries).
- Shreyas Iyer: 45 off 62 balls.
- KL Rahul: 42* not out.
India’s ability to perform under pressure and chase efficiently makes them a dangerous opponent in the final.
Also Check: Rohit Sharma Creates History, Becomes 1st Captain In The World To…
New Zealand Preview

New Zealand have been outstanding in this tournament, winning all but one match. Their only loss came against India at this very venue, where they struggled to chase a 250-run target.
They are coming into the final full of confidence, after a dominant 50-run win over South Africa in the semi-finals.
New Zealand’s Key Strengths
1️⃣ Strong Middle Order
New Zealand’s batting revolves around their experienced core:
- Kane Williamson (102 in SF vs SA) – The team’s backbone, brilliant against spin.
- Rachin Ravindra (108 in SF) – The young star who has been a consistent run-getter.
- Daryl Mitchell & Tom Latham – Provide stability and finishing ability.
- Glenn Phillips (49 in SF)* – The explosive hitter who can accelerate in the final overs.
New Zealand will rely heavily on Williamson and Ravindra to handle India’s spinners in the middle overs.
2️⃣ Well-Balanced Bowling Attack
- Matt Henry & Kyle Jamieson – Lethal pace duo that can trouble India’s top order.
- Mitchell Santner (3 wickets in SF vs SA) – The best spinner in the squad, will be crucial against India.
- Michael Bracewell & Rachin Ravindra – Provide variety in the spin department.
- Glenn Phillips (2 wickets in SF) – A handy part-time bowler.
New Zealand’s bowling attack has depth, with a mix of pace and spin options to challenge India’s batters.
New Zealand’s Concerns
❌ Struggled on This Pitch – Their only loss in the tournament was on this ground against India.
❌ Chasing Woes – If New Zealand bat second, handling India’s spinners under pressure will be tough.
❌ Heavy Dependence on Williamson & Ravindra – If they get out early, New Zealand might struggle.
New Zealand’s Semi-Final Performance (vs South Africa)
- Batting First: New Zealand posted 362 runs in 50 overs.
- Rachin Ravindra: 108 off 101 balls (13 boundaries, 1 six).
- Kane Williamson: 102 off 94 balls (10 boundaries, 2 sixes).
- Glenn Phillips & Daryl Mitchell: 49 each.
- Bowling Performance:
- Mitchell Santner: 3 wickets for 43 runs.
- Matt Henry & Glenn Phillips: 2 wickets each.
- South Africa bowled out for 312 runs.
New Zealand’s ability to bat deep and post big scores makes them a dangerous opponent for India.
Also Check: Rachin Ravindra Breaks Shikhar Dhawan’s World Record, Becomes Fastest Batter To…
Key Battles to Watch
🔥 Virat Kohli vs Mitchell Santner – Kohli is in great form, but Santner has troubled him in the past.
🔥 Kane Williamson vs Kuldeep Yadav – Williamson is New Zealand’s best player of spin, while Kuldeep is India’s key wicket-taker.
🔥 Rohit Sharma vs Matt Henry – If Henry gets Rohit early, it could expose India’s middle order.
🔥 Rachin Ravindra vs Mohammed Shami – The battle between New Zealand’s top young batter and India’s pace spearhead.
🔥 Shreyas Iyer vs Kyle Jamieson – Iyer has been solid, but Jamieson’s bounce could trouble him.
Team Squads
New Zealand Squad
Tom Latham (wk), Mitchell Santner (c), Will Young, Devon Conway, Kane Williamson, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, William O’Rourke, Daryl Mitchell, Nathan Smith, Mark Chapman, Jacob Duffy
India Squad
Rohit Sharma (c), KL Rahul (wk), Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, Shreyas Iyer, Axar Patel, Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, Harshit Rana, Mohammed Shami, Kuldeep Yadav, Rishabh Pant, Washington Sundar, Varun Chakravarthy, Arshdeep Singh
Probable Playing XI
India
- Rohit Sharma (c)
- Shubman Gill
- Virat Kohli
- Shreyas Iyer
- KL Rahul
- Hardik Pandya
- Ravindra Jadeja
- Axar Patel
- Kuldeep Yadav
- Mohammed Shami
- Arshdeep Singh
New Zealand
- Devon Conway
- Rachin Ravindra
- Kane Williamson
- Daryl Mitchell
- Tom Latham (wk)
- Glenn Phillips
- Mitchell Santner (c)
- Kyle Jamieson
- Matt Henry
- Nathan Smith
- Jacob Duffy
Fantasy Team XI – Dream11 Prediction for Today India vs New Zealand

Player | Role |
---|---|
Rohit Sharma | Batsman |
Shubman Gill | Batsman |
Virat Kohli | Batsman |
Kane Williamson | Batsman |
Shreyas Iyer | Batsman |
Hardik Pandya | All-rounder |
Ravindra Jadeja | All-rounder |
Mitchell Santner | All-rounder |
Kuldeep Yadav | Bowler |
Matt Henry | Bowler |
Mohammed Shami | Bowler |
Explanation:
- Top Order: Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, and Kane Williamson are reliable picks for consistent runs.
- Middle Order: Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer provide stability and firepower.
- All-rounders: Hardik Pandya, Ravindra Jadeja, and Mitchell Santner offer balance with both bat and ball.
- Bowlers: Kuldeep Yadav, Matt Henry, and Mohammed Shami are wicket-takers who can dominate in the death overs.
2 Players to Avoid in Fantasy Team
- KL Rahul: Has been inconsistent in the tournament and may not deliver in high-pressure games.
- Jacob Duffy: Lacks experience in big matches and may struggle against India’s strong batting lineup.
Top 3 Captain and Vice-Captain Choices for IND vs NZ
With the Dubai pitch expected to favor spinners and assist pacers early on, team selection becomes crucial. The slow surface has made run-scoring difficult, with an average first-innings score of around 220. Any total above 250 could prove to be a match-winning one. Given the conditions, the toss will be vital, and the team winning it is likely to bowl first.
3. Rachin Ravindra
If there’s one Kiwi batter in red-hot form, it’s Rachin Ravindra. The young left-hander has been a standout performer in the tournament, scoring 226 runs in three matches at an average of 75.33, including two centuries. His ability to handle both pace and spin makes him a solid fantasy choice. Given New Zealand’s dependence on him in the top order, Ravindra could once again play a defining role in this high-stakes encounter.
2. Varun Chakravarthy
New Zealand struggled against Varun Chakravarthy in the group stage, where he dismantled their batting with a brilliant 5/42. The slow Dubai pitch will assist his mystery spin, making him a key threat once again. With seven wickets in just two matches, he’s in top form and could turn the game in India’s favor. Depending on the toss, he is an excellent captain or vice-captain pick.
1. Virat Kohli
Big games call for big players, and there’s no bigger match-winner than Virat Kohli. With 217 runs in four matches at an average of 72.33, he has been India’s anchor in crucial moments. His unbeaten century against Pakistan and 84 in the semi-final underline his ability to thrive under pressure. If India is chasing, expect another masterclass, making him the top captaincy pick.
Also Check: Get The Best Dream11 Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match
India is the favourite to win the final, and here’s why:
- Home Advantage: India has played all their matches at Dubai and is well-acquainted with the conditions.
- Strong Spin Attack: The pitch favours spinners, and India has the best spin-bowling unit in the world.
- Batting Depth: With Kohli, Iyer, and Pandya in form, India’s batting lineup is hard to stop.
- Recent Form: India has been dominant throughout the tournament, losing only one game.
- Head-to-Head Record: India has a better record against New Zealand in recent encounters.
India ODI History
India has played 1065 ODIs, winning 566 and losing 445, with 44 no results and 10 ties. They are one of the most successful teams in ODI cricket.
New Zealand ODI History
New Zealand has played 838 ODIs, winning 387 and losing 401, with 44 no results and 6 ties. They are known for their consistency in ICC tournaments.
Head-to-Head Stats
Matches Played | India Won | New Zealand Won | No Result | Tied |
---|---|---|---|---|
119 | 61 | 50 | 7 | 1 |
India and New Zealand have clashed in 119 ODIs, with India winning 61 matches and New Zealand claiming victory 50 times. One game ended in a tie, while seven had no result. In the Champions Trophy, both teams have won one match each in their previous encounters.
Pitch Report

The pitch at Dubai is expected to offer a balanced contest between bat and ball. Early on, batters will enjoy good bounce and pace, making stroke play easier. However, as the game progresses under lights, spinners will come into play, and the surface will slow down.
The same pitch used in the India-Pakistan clash will be used, where the ball came onto the bat nicely but later assisted spinners. Given these conditions, both teams will likely rely on their spin arsenal to control the game. Winning the toss could be crucial, with teams preferring to set a total rather than chase on a deteriorating pitch.
Dubai International Cricket Stadium |
City | Dubai | ||
Country | United Arab Emirates | ||
Matches Played | 62 | ||
Matches Won Batting First | 23 (37.10%) | ||
Matches Won Batting Second | 37 (59.68%) | ||
Matches Won Winning Toss | 28 (45.16%) | ||
Matches Won Losing Toss | 32 (51.61%) | ||
Matches Tied | 1 (1.61%) | ||
Matches with No Result | 1 (1.61%) | ||
Highest Individual Innings | 144 | Mushfiqur Rahim (Bangladesh) | 15/09/2018 v Sri Lanka |
Best Bowling | 6/38 | Shahid Afridi (Pakistan) | 22/04/2009 v Australia |
Highest Team Innings | 355/5 (England) | 20/11/2015 v Pakistan | |
Lowest Team Innings | 91 (Namibia) | 23/02/2023 v United Arab Emirates | |
Highest Run Chase Achieved | 287/8 (Sri Lanka) | 20/12/2013 v Pakistan | |
Average Runs per Wicket | 27.48 | ||
Average Runs per Over | 4.65 | ||
Average Score Batting First | 220 |
Weather Report
The much-awaited IND vs NZ match kicks off at 1 PM (local time) under mostly cloudy skies with temperatures around 30°C and West-Southwest winds blowing at 18 km/h. As the game progresses into the afternoon, conditions will remain partly to mostly cloudy, with temperatures fluctuating between 28-30°C. By evening, cloud cover will reduce, and skies will turn partly cloudy, with temperatures dropping to 27°C.
With dry conditions and temperatures around 30-31°C in the afternoon, the pitch is expected to remain hard and batting-friendly. However, increasing winds (up to 26 km/h) could aid fast bowlers, especially in the initial overs. Spinners may benefit later if the pitch slows down.
Dew is unlikely to play a significant role due to low humidity. With cooler evening temperatures, chasing might be a preferable option, making the toss crucial, as teams could opt to bowl first.
Also Check For More: Champions Trophy 2025 Match Prediction
Toss Prediction:
Winner: New Zealand
Match Prediction?
Our Winner: India Will Win
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Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Betting Tips for India vs New Zealand Final ODI 2025
The India vs New Zealand Final ODI of the ICC Champions Trophy 2025 is set to be a thrilling encounter, and for those looking to place bets, here are some betting tips to consider:
1. Match Winner: India (Favourite)
India is the strong favourite to win this match, with a 75% chance of victory according to experts. Their familiarity with the Dubai conditions, strong spin attack, and in-form batting lineup make them the safer bet. However, New Zealand’s ability to perform in high-pressure games means they cannot be completely ruled out.
2. Top Batsman for India: Virat Kohli
Virat Kohli has been in sublime form throughout the tournament, especially in knockout games. He is a reliable pick for India’s top batsman. Other options include Shreyas Iyer and Rohit Sharma, who have the potential to score big.
3. Top Batsman for New Zealand: Kane Williamson
Kane Williamson is the backbone of New Zealand’s batting lineup. His ability to anchor the innings and play spin well makes him the best bet for New Zealand’s top batsman. Rachin Ravindra and Daryl Mitchell are also good options.
4. Top Bowler for India: Kuldeep Yadav
Kuldeep Yadav has been exceptional in the tournament, especially on spin-friendly pitches. He is a strong contender for India’s top bowler. Mohammed Shami and Ravindra Jadeja are also good picks.
5. Top Bowler for New Zealand: Matt Henry
Matt Henry has been New Zealand’s leading wicket-taker in the tournament. His ability to pick early wickets makes him the best bet for New Zealand’s top bowler. Kyle Jamieson and Mitchell Santner are also worth considering.
6. Total Runs in the Match: 250-270
The Dubai pitch is balanced, and a score of 250-270 is considered par. Betting on the total runs to fall within this range is a safe option.
7. Toss Winner: New Zealand
New Zealand is predicted to win the toss, which could influence their decision to bat or bowl first depending on the conditions.
8. Player Performance Bets
- Virat Kohli to score 50+ runs: Kohli has a strong record in knockout games and is likely to deliver.
- Kuldeep Yadav to take 2+ wickets: The spinner has been in great form and can exploit the Dubai pitch.
- Kane Williamson to score 40+ runs: Williamson’s consistency makes him a reliable pick.
FAQ – IND vs NZ Final ODI
Who will win the India vs New Zealand Final ODI?
India is the favourite to win due to their strong form and familiarity with the conditions.
What is the head-to-head record between India and New Zealand?
India leads 61-50 in 119 matches.
Who are the key players to watch?
Virat Kohli, Kane Williamson, Ravindra Jadeja, and Matt Henry.
What is the pitch like in Dubai?
Balanced, with assistance for both batsmen and spinners.
What is the weather forecast for the match?
Clear skies with no rain expected.
Who is the favourite in the toss?
New Zealand is predicted to win the toss.
Which team has a better spin attack?
India, with Kuldeep Yadav, Axar Patel, and Ravindra Jadeja.
What is the predicted score if India bats first?
India is likely to score 256+ if they bat first.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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