Western Australia vs Victoria Prediction: Who Will Win WAUS vs VIC 21st ODI Match on 21st February 2026?
The Western Australia vs Victoria prediction for the 21st ODI of the Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 highlights a crucial mid-table battle at the iconic W.A.C.A Cricket Stadium. With the group stage entering its decisive phase, both teams are desperate for points to improve their standings and net run rate. Western Australia (WA) currently have three wins from six matches with a slightly better NRR (-0.073), while Victoria sit lower with two wins and a concerning NRR of -0.856.
WA have shown resilience this season, particularly in tight finishes. Their thrilling one-wicket win over Tasmania while chasing 319 demonstrated strong lower-order composure. Joel Curtis has been their batting pillar, scoring 340 runs at an impressive average of 56.66. Aaron Hardie and Cameron Bancroft add stability, while the pace attack—featuring Joel Paris, Bryce Jackson, and Lance Morris—thrives on Perth’s bounce.
Victoria, meanwhile, have struggled for consistency but remain dangerous. Peter Handscomb has led admirably with 271 runs at 54.20, while Sam Harper has provided brisk starts. Their recent seven-wicket win over Queensland showed balance, but heavy defeats earlier have hurt confidence.
Historically, WA hold a 4-1 edge in recent head-to-head encounters and traditionally dominate at the WACA. With conditions favoring pace and home familiarity playing a role, WA appear better placed. However, Victoria’s batting depth ensures this contest remains competitive.
Cricketwebs provides detailed match prediction insights including fantasy tips, pitch analysis, and winning probabilities.
Match Details
| Match | WAUS vs VIC, 21st ODI 2026 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 21st February 2026 |
| Time | 11:30 AM IST |
| Venue | W.A.C.A Cricket Stadium, Perth |
| Tournament | Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 |
| Broadcast | Fancode & YouTube |
Western Australia Preview
Western Australia’s campaign has been defined by fine margins. Three wins and three losses reflect a side capable of brilliance but vulnerable under pressure. Their most memorable win came against Tasmania, chasing down 319 with contributions across the lineup. Joel Curtis has anchored the batting order, providing consistency at the top. Aaron Hardie’s composed middle-order presence and Ashton Turner’s leadership offer stability.
Cameron Bancroft and Sam Whiteman are experienced campaigners capable of setting solid platforms. Cooper Connolly and Josh Philippe add firepower, giving WA flexibility in chasing or setting totals.
Bowling is WA’s primary strength. Joel Paris has been outstanding with 12 wickets at an exceptional average. Bryce Jackson (11 wickets) and Lance Morris bring pace and aggression, ideally suited for Perth’s lively surface. Matt Kelly adds control during middle overs.
WA’s ability to defend totals and chase under pressure gives them an edge. If their top order capitalizes on home conditions, they could dominate Victoria.
Victoria Preview
Victoria’s season has been inconsistent, reflected in their two wins from six matches. However, their seven-wicket chase against Queensland highlighted their potential. Peter Handscomb’s leadership and batting form have been central to their competitiveness. Sam Harper’s aggressive starts and Thomas Rogers’ adaptability strengthen the top order.
Campbell Kellaway and Mackenzie Harvey must convert starts into big scores. The middle order relies heavily on Mitchell Perry and Sam Elliott to provide stability and late acceleration.
Bowling has been a concern. Chris McClure and Xavier Crone have contributed wickets but struggled with economy. Todd Murphy’s spin provides control, while Fergus O’Neill and David Moody add depth to the pace unit.
Victoria’s challenge lies in sustaining pressure across 50 overs. Against WA’s powerful batting and pace-friendly conditions, they must strike early and field sharply to stay competitive.
Team Squad
Western Australia Squad
Cameron Bancroft, Joel Curtis, Sam Whiteman, Aaron Hardie, Josh Philippe (wk), Ashton Turner (c), Cooper Connolly, Joel Paris, Bryce Jackson, Matt Kelly, Lance Morris.
Victoria Squad
Peter Handscomb (c), Sam Harper (wk), Thomas Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, Mackenzie Harvey, Todd Murphy, Mitchell Perry, Sam Elliott, Fergus O’Neill, Xavier Crone, David Moody.
Probable Playing XI
Western Australia: Bancroft, Curtis, Whiteman, Hardie, Philippe (wk), Turner (c), Connolly, Paris, Jackson, Kelly, Morris.
Victoria: Handscomb (c), Harper (wk), Rogers, Kellaway, Harvey, Murphy, Perry, Elliott, O’Neill, Crone, Moody.
Fantasy Team XI
| Player | Team | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Joel Curtis | WA | Batter |
| Peter Handscomb | VIC | Batter |
| Aaron Hardie | WA | All-rounder |
| Sam Harper | VIC | WK |
| Josh Philippe | WA | WK |
| Joel Paris | WA | Bowler |
| Bryce Jackson | WA | Bowler |
| Todd Murphy | VIC | Bowler |
| Mitchell Perry | VIC | All-rounder |
| Lance Morris | WA | Bowler |
| Thomas Rogers | VIC | Batter |
Explanation: This combination covers in-form batters, dual-impact all-rounders, and pace bowlers suited to Perth conditions.
Captain Options: Joel Curtis, Aaron Hardie
Vice-Captain Options: Peter Handscomb, Joel Paris
Players to Avoid: David Moody, Cooper Connolly
Favourite Team in Today’s Match – Why?
Western Australia are the favorite in today’s contest against Victoria due to home advantage and a more balanced squad, especially in bowling and depth batting. WA’s pace attack—led by Joel Paris and Bryce Jackson—thrives on the pace and bounce of the WACA surface, which traditionally favors fast bowlers and makes run-scoring more challenging for visiting sides. WA’s recent chase against Tasmania showcased resilience and the ability to perform under pressure, while Joel Curtis’s consistency with the bat adds stability to the top order.
Victoria, although boasting strong batters like Peter Handscomb and Sam Harper, have struggled to maintain consistent bowling performances this tournament, reflected in their negative Net Run Rate. Their batting has shown promise but lacks the depth to fully challenge WA’s attack in Perth conditions. Therefore, considering conditions, form, and squad balance, Western Australia hold the edge going into today’s match.
Western Australia ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 341 | 199 | 135 | 5 | 2 |
Western Australia have a strong ODI record with nearly 200 wins, showcasing consistency in domestic 50-over formats.
Victoria ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 326 | 155 | 162 | 7 | 2 |
Victoria’s record is competitive but slightly below WA’s, reflecting fluctuating performance over seasons.
Pitch Report
The W.A.C.A Cricket Stadium pitch in Perth is traditionally one of Australia’s fastest and most batter-friendly surfaces early on, but in recent seasons it has offered bowlers plenty of assistance too. Fast bowlers can exploit bounce and carry, especially under lights, making early overs crucial. Spinners come into play in middle overs but tend to be secondary compared to seam options. Teams batting first can post big totals if they build a strong platform, but anything around 260+ is competitive here. Running hard between the wickets is key, as the true bounce rewards positive batting.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | ~25–30°C |
| Rain Chance | 5–10% |
| Humidity | ~40–55% |
| Wind | Moderate |
| Conditions | Mostly Sunny |
Weather at Perth is expected to be dry and clear with minimal rain, ideal for a full 50-over match. Warm afternoon conditions should help batters settle in before bowlers leverage early movement.
Broadcast Details
The Western Australia vs Victoria 21st ODI 2026 will be live-streamed on Fancode and YouTube, with live scorecards, commentary, and expert analysis available across cricket portals and apps. Fans can watch the entire match online and follow live updates on major cricket platforms for ball-by-ball action.
Toss Prediction
At the WACA, teams often prefer batting first due to the true bounce and the challenge of chasing under lights. Batting teams can use the morning to settle before exploiting surface pace. Toss Prediction: Victoria is more likely to bat first if they win the toss.
Score Prediction
- If Western Australia bat first: 259+
- If Victoria bat first: 254+
Both sides have capable batting lineups, but the pace and bounce of the WACA mean totals above 250 are competitive.
Probable Best Batsman & Bowler
Joel Curtis is the standout candidate to be the best batsman of the match for Western Australia. With 340 runs this tournament at an average over 56, his consistency at the top provides a solid foundation. Peter Handscomb is Victoria’s most dependable batter, capable of anchoring and scoring big if he gets in.
In bowling, Joel Paris could be the most threatening, using pace and bounce to trouble Victoria’s top order. Bryce Jackson also represents a key wicket-taking option with his aggressive seam bowling. For Victoria, Todd Murphy’s spin could be influential, particularly in middle overs to control runs and pick crucial breakthroughs. Mitchell Perry offers valuable all-round contributions that could turn the game if conditions suit.
Western Australia vs Victoria Winning Chances?
| Team | Winning Odds | Why | Why Not |
|---|---|---|---|
| Western Australia | 70% | Home advantage, powerful pace attack | Occasional batting inconsistency |
| Victoria | 30% | Strong middle-order, capable chasers | Weak NRR & less bowling depth |
Match Prediction
Western Australia’s familiarity with the WACA conditions and stronger pace attack make them the likely winners in today’s match against Victoria. While Victoria have shown resilience in chase situations, WA’s balanced lineup gives them an edge. Barring early collapses, WA should control key phases of the game.
Prediction: Western Australia Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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