South Australia vs Tasmania Prediction: Who Will Win SAUS vs TAS 11th Test Sheffield Shield on 10th November 2025?
The South Australia vs Tasmania prediction for the 11th Test of the Sheffield Shield 2025-26 promises an intense four-day battle between two mid-table sides eager to rise in the standings. The match will be played from Monday, November 10, 2025, at the Bellerive Oval, Hobart — a venue known for assisting seamers early before flattening out into a good batting surface.
South Australia, currently 5th on the points table, are yet to register a win this season, having drawn one and lost two matches. Their batting order, led by Henry Hunt (291 runs) and Nathan McSweeney, has shown signs of promise, while spinner Lloyd Pope continues to impress with 8 wickets. Despite inconsistent starts, their second-innings fightback in the previous draw against Western Australia highlighted the resilience within the team.
Tasmania, placed just above South Australia in 4th position, have a similar record with one win, one loss, and one draw. Their batting has revolved around Jake Doran, who has scored 253 runs, while Riley Meredith’s 12 wickets underline his importance in the pace-friendly conditions at Hobart. However, their collapse against Victoria exposed their vulnerability against quality pace and spin.
Both sides possess young, emerging talents, but the home advantage slightly tilts the conditions in Tasmania’s favor. Still, South Australia’s stronger batting depth and the form of their top order could be decisive. In this South Australia vs Tasmania 2025 prediction, expect a close contest, but South Australia appear better balanced to pull off a narrow win at Bellerive Oval.
Match Details
| Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | South Australia vs Tasmania, 11th Test (Sheffield Shield 2025-26) |
| Date | Monday, November 10, 2025 |
| Time | 5:30 AM Local Time |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval, Hobart |
| Live Streaming | FanCode |
| Toss Prediction | Tasmania |
| Match Prediction | South Australia to win |
South Australia Team Preview
South Australia’s 2025-26 Sheffield Shield campaign has been a mix of promise and frustration. The Redbacks currently sit 5th on the table but have shown progress in their recent performances, including a hard-fought draw against Western Australia.
Batting Overview:
The batting lineup looks solid, led by Henry Hunt, who has been their most consistent performer with 291 runs this season. Nathan McSweeney, the vice-captain, has also been crucial, scoring a century in the last match. Jake Lehmann, fresh from a gritty 96, continues to anchor the middle order, while Travis Head and Alex Carey bring much-needed international experience. Young talents like Jake Fraser-McGurk and Daniel Drew add depth and aggression.
Bowling Overview:
On the bowling front, Lloyd Pope’s leg-spin remains a game-changer, especially on worn-out surfaces. Nathan McAndrew and Wes Agar lead the pace attack, backed by Spencer Johnson’s left-arm swing. South Australia’s seamers were instrumental in keeping Western Australia in check, while Pope and McAndrew combined effectively in the middle overs.
Their ability to post competitive second-innings totals and create pressure through spin in the later stages makes them a dangerous side at any venue. A win here could significantly improve their standing in the points table.
South Australia Probable Playing XI:
Henry Hunt, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Nathan McSweeney, Jake Lehmann, Travis Head (c), Alex Carey (wk), Nathan McAndrew, Wes Agar, Spencer Johnson, Lloyd Pope, Ben Manenti
Tasmania Team Preview
Tasmania have had an up-and-down start to their Sheffield Shield season. After a strong win earlier in the campaign, they fell short against Victoria in their last match, losing by 144 runs. They’ll look to regroup quickly at home in Hobart, where seamers tend to thrive.
Batting Overview:
The Tigers’ batting has relied heavily on Jake Doran, who has scored 253 runs so far, including a crucial 73 against Victoria. Openers Caleb Jewell and Tim Ward have shown glimpses of form but must convert starts into big scores. Jordan Silk and Beau Webster form the backbone of the middle order, while all-rounders Mac Wright and Nathan Ellis provide lower-order stability.
Bowling Overview:
Tasmania’s bowling attack is spearheaded by Riley Meredith, who has been outstanding with 12 wickets this season. His raw pace, coupled with Jackson Bird’s experience and Gabe Bell’s consistency, makes for a potent new-ball combination. The inclusion of Matt Kuhnemann provides a spin option to balance their attack, while Lawrence Neil-Smith offers variety as a medium pacer.
Tasmania’s key to success will be utilizing the early morning seam movement at Bellerive Oval and capitalizing on South Australia’s top-order vulnerabilities. If their batting holds firm, Tasmania could push the match deep and potentially force a result.
Tasmania Probable Playing XI:
Caleb Jewell, Tim Ward, Jake Doran (wk), Jordan Silk (c), Beau Webster, Mac Wright, Nathan Ellis, Riley Meredith, Jackson Bird, Matt Kuhnemann, Lawrence Neil-Smith
Dream11 Prediction for Today South Australia vs Tasmania 11th Test
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Alex Carey |
| Batters | Henry Hunt, Nathan McSweeney, Jake Doran, Travis Head |
| All-rounders | Beau Webster, Nathan McAndrew |
| Bowlers | Riley Meredith, Jackson Bird, Spencer Johnson, Lloyd Pope |
Captain: Henry Hunt
Vice-Captain: Riley Meredith
Fantasy Team Explanation
Henry Hunt is an ideal captain choice due to his consistency at the top and current red-hot form. Riley Meredith, Tasmania’s strike bowler, is a perfect vice-captain pick for his wicket-taking ability at Hobart.
Travis Head and Nathan McSweeney strengthen the middle order, while Jake Doran brings reliability behind the stumps and with the bat. Alex Carey adds class as a wicketkeeper and finisher.
Lloyd Pope offers spin potential, especially in the later stages, while Spencer Johnson and Jackson Bird can exploit the early movement. Avoid Mac Wright and Jake Fraser-McGurk due to their inconsistency against quality pace attacks.
Also Check: Get The Best Dream11 Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match: South Australia
The South Australian Redbacks enter this game with renewed confidence after their impressive draw against Western Australia. Their batting lineup, led by Henry Hunt and Nathan McSweeney, has been in fine touch, while their bowling unit — particularly Lloyd Pope — has shown the ability to turn matches on its head.
South Australia’s experience, with players like Travis Head and Alex Carey, gives them a tactical edge over Tasmania, who remain overly reliant on a few key performers. Moreover, South Australia’s balanced mix of seam and spin makes them adaptable to varying conditions at Bellerive Oval.
Tasmania will look to utilize their home conditions, but South Australia’s recent improvement in resilience and all-round strength makes them favorites to notch their first win of the season.
Team Test Records
South Australia Test History:
909 matches – 251 wins, 415 losses, 242 draws, 1 tie.
Tasmania Test History:
462 matches – 118 wins, 181 losses, 163 draws.
Pitch Report
The Bellerive Oval surface in Hobart is known for early assistance to fast bowlers due to the coastal conditions. Seamers will enjoy movement off the surface during the first session of each day, while batters who settle in can score freely once the ball softens. Spinners may find some turn on days four and five, but overall, this is a good pitch for batters who apply themselves. A first-innings total of 260–280 will be competitive.
Weather Report
Hobart’s weather will be cool and breezy, with temperatures ranging between 17°C and 22°C. Morning sessions may see light cloud cover, aiding seamers early on. There’s a minimal 10% chance of rain, ensuring an uninterrupted match.
Broadcast Details
- Live Streaming: FanCode App & Website
- Telecast: Not available on TV
Toss Prediction
Toss Winner: Tasmania
Decision: Bowl first – conditions will favor seamers in the morning session.
Match Prediction
Winner: South Australia to Win
With in-form top-order batters, a stronger spin department, and a balanced bowling attack, South Australia are favorites to defeat Tasmania and climb up the Sheffield Shield standings.
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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