Queensland vs South Australia Prediction: Who Will Win QLD vs SAUS 19th ODI Match on 21st February 2026?
The Queensland vs South Australia prediction for the 19th ODI of the Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 sets up a high-stakes clash at The Gabba. With Tasmania already through to the final, this fixture could determine who joins them in the showpiece event at Bellerive Oval. Queensland begin this round just one point outside the top two, while South Australia are four points adrift and must win convincingly to keep faint hopes alive.
Queensland suffered a setback against Victoria in their previous game, mainly due to a top-order collapse. Skipper Marnus Labuschagne, alongside Jack Clayton and Hugo Burdon, failed to provide momentum. However, their middle and lower order, featuring Jimmy Peirson, Jack Wildermuth, and Michael Neser, remains solid. The bowling trio of Neser, Mitchell Swepson, and Thomas Balkin will be crucial at the Gabba, a venue known for pace and bounce.
South Australia, meanwhile, have lost their last two matches. Despite promising contributions from Liam Scott and Jason Sangha in the lower middle order, the team’s inability to post imposing first-innings totals has hurt them. Jake Fraser-McGurk and Alex Carey are expected to take an aggressive approach at the top.
Historically, South Australia have won three of the last four head-to-head encounters in this format, which adds intrigue. However, Queensland’s stronger bowling attack and home advantage make them slight favorites in this must-win contest.
Match Details
| Match | QLD vs SAUS, 19th ODI 2026 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 21st February 2026 |
| Time | 5:30 AM IST |
| Venue | The Gabba, Brisbane |
| Tournament | Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 |
| Broadcast | Fancode & YouTube |
Queensland Preview
Queensland enter this contest under pressure after a disappointing batting display against Victoria. Their top three—Jack Clayton, Hugo Burdon, and captain Marnus Labuschagne—combined for just six runs in that outing. For a side chasing a place in the final, such performances are unsustainable.
Labuschagne remains the backbone of the batting lineup. His ability to anchor innings and accelerate when needed makes him indispensable. Hugh Weibgen and Lachlan Hearne must support the skipper in the middle overs. Wicketkeeper Jimmy Peirson has been a consistent performer in white-ball cricket, often stabilizing innings under pressure.
The all-round depth of Queensland is a major strength. Jack Wildermuth and Michael Neser can both contribute vital runs down the order while also delivering with the ball. Mitchell Swepson’s leg-spin provides variation, particularly effective on surfaces offering bounce. Thomas Balkin and Oli Patterson round out a disciplined pace unit.
Bowling will likely be Queensland’s primary weapon. Neser’s ability to swing the new ball and execute death overs makes him a match-winner. If the top order fires, Queensland possess enough depth to post a 250+ total, which could prove decisive at the Gabba.
South Australia Preview
South Australia’s campaign has been inconsistent, with two consecutive defeats hampering their qualification hopes. In their last match, they posted 242/7 but failed to defend it. Once again, insufficient top-order runs proved costly.
Jake Fraser-McGurk is the X-factor at the top. Known for his aggressive style, he can change the momentum within a few overs. Alex Carey, a dependable wicketkeeper-batter, adds stability and experience. Captain Nathan McSweeney must shoulder responsibility in the middle order alongside Jake Lehmann.
The lower-middle order duo of Liam Scott and Jason Sangha has impressed, combining for over 100 runs recently. However, relying on late-order rescue acts is risky.
The bowling attack remains their Achilles’ heel. Jordan Buckingham and Campbell Thompson must strike early with the new ball. Lloyd Pope’s leg-spin offers wicket-taking potential, but consistency has been lacking.
If South Australia are to win, their top three must deliver at least 120–140 runs collectively.
Team Squad
Queensland Squad
Jack Clayton, Hugo Burdon, Marnus Labuschagne (c), Hugh Weibgen, Lachlan Hearne, Jimmy Peirson (wk), Jack Wildermuth, Michael Neser, Mitchell Swepson, Oli Patterson, Thomas Balkin.
South Australia Squad
Mackenzie Harvey, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Alex Carey (wk), Nathan McSweeney (c), Jake Lehmann, Liam Scott, Jason Sangha, Hanno Jacobs, Lloyd Pope, Jordan Buckingham, Campbell Thompson.
Probable Playing XI
Queensland XI: Clayton, Burdon, Labuschagne (c), Weibgen, Hearne, Peirson (wk), Wildermuth, Neser, Swepson, Patterson, Balkin.
South Australia XI: Harvey, Fraser-McGurk, Carey (wk), McSweeney (c), Lehmann, Scott, Sangha, Jacobs, Pope, Buckingham, Thompson.
Queensland vs South Australia Today’s Fantasy Prediction – 21st February
| Player | Team | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Marnus Labuschagne | QLD | Batter |
| Jake Fraser-McGurk | SA | Batter |
| Alex Carey | SA | WK |
| Jimmy Peirson | QLD | WK |
| Michael Neser | QLD | All-rounder |
| Jack Wildermuth | QLD | All-rounder |
| Liam Scott | SA | All-rounder |
| Mitchell Swepson | QLD | Bowler |
| Jordan Buckingham | SA | Bowler |
| Thomas Balkin | QLD | Bowler |
| Lloyd Pope | SA | Bowler |
Explanation: This combination balances top-order batters, all-rounders, and wicket-taking bowlers. Neser and Wildermuth add dual-point potential.
Captain Options: Marnus Labuschagne, Michael Neser
Vice-Captain Options: Jake Fraser-McGurk, Mitchell Swepson
Players to Avoid: Hanno Jacobs, Oli Patterson (limited fantasy impact expected)
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team – Why?
Queensland start as favorites due to their superior bowling attack and home advantage at the Gabba. While their batting faltered recently, they possess proven performers like Labuschagne and Peirson. South Australia’s inconsistent bowling and reliance on late-order runs make them vulnerable. Queensland’s depth in both departments and stronger points-table position tilt the balance in their favor.
Queensland ODI History
Queensland have played 324 ODIs, winning 174 and losing 143. They boast a strong domestic legacy with consistent top-four finishes in Australia’s premier 50-over competition.
South Australia ODI History
South Australia have featured in 316 ODIs, securing 131 wins and 179 losses. Despite producing quality players, they have struggled for sustained dominance in recent seasons.
Pitch Report
The Gabba traditionally offers pace and bounce, assisting fast bowlers early on. Batters who survive the initial overs can capitalize on true bounce. Spinners play a secondary role. A first-innings score above 245 is competitive here.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 23–27°C |
| Rain Chances | 15% |
| Humidity | 65% |
| Wind | Moderate |
| Conditions | Partly Cloudy |
Conditions are expected to remain mostly clear, with slight cloud cover aiding seamers early.
Broadcast Details
The match will be streamed live on Fancode and YouTube. Fans can follow live scores, commentary, and match highlights across digital platforms.
Toss Prediction
Given Gabba conditions, teams may prefer batting first to exploit early freshness and apply scoreboard pressure. Toss Winner Prediction: South Australia.
Score Prediction
If Queensland bat first: 245+
If South Australia bat first: 236+
Probable Best Batsman & Bowler
Marnus Labuschagne is the leading candidate for top scorer due to his technique and temperament. Jake Fraser-McGurk could provide explosive runs for South Australia.
Michael Neser is expected to shine with the ball, exploiting bounce and movement. Mitchell Swepson’s leg-spin may trouble SA’s middle order.
Queensland vs South Australia Winning Chances?
| Team | Winning % | Why | Why Not |
|---|---|---|---|
| Queensland | 78% | Strong bowling, home advantage | Top-order inconsistency |
| South Australia | 22% | Recent H2H edge | Weak bowling depth |
Match Prediction
Queensland appear better balanced and motivated with a final berth at stake. Their bowling strength and home conditions give them a clear edge. South Australia must produce a complete performance to upset the hosts, which seems unlikely based on recent form.
Prediction: Queensland Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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