Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars Prediction: Who Will Win PRS vs MLS 39th T20 BBL Match?
The Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars prediction for the 39th match of the Big Bash League 2025–26 points to a blockbuster clash between two in-form sides fighting for a top-two finish. The match will be played on Saturday, 17th January 2026, at Perth Stadium, where the Scorchers have traditionally enjoyed a strong home advantage. Both teams have already qualified for the playoffs, but finishing higher on the table offers a crucial edge heading into the knockout stage.
Perth Scorchers come into this contest with supreme confidence, having won their last five matches against the Stars. Their aggressive top order, led by Finn Allen, has consistently provided flying starts, while their middle order has shown the ability to capitalize on strong platforms. The Stars, however, are no pushovers. With Sam Harper enjoying a dream season and a bowling unit stacked with experience and pace, Melbourne have the firepower to challenge any side on their day.
This Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars prediction becomes even more intriguing given the stakes. A win here could determine who finishes on top of the table, gaining momentum and psychological advantage before the playoffs. While Perth’s home dominance and recent head-to-head record tilt the balance slightly in their favor, Melbourne Stars’ balanced squad ensures a tightly fought contest. Fans can expect a high-intensity encounter with plenty of runs and key moments that could shape the rest of the tournament.
- Perth Scorchers have beaten Melbourne Stars in their last five encounters.
- Finn Allen is Perth’s leading run-scorer this season.
- Sam Harper is the highest run-scorer of the tournament.
- The winner is likely to finish at the top of the points table.
Match Details
| Match | Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars, 39th T20 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 17 January 2026 |
| Time | 2:45 PM IST |
| Venue | Perth Stadium |
| Competition | Big Bash League 2025–26 |
Team Previews
Perth Scorchers Preview
Perth Scorchers have once again proven why they are the most consistent franchise in Big Bash League history. With six wins from nine matches, they sit firmly in the top two and look primed for another deep playoff run. Their batting lineup has been their biggest strength this season, spearheaded by Finn Allen, who has been destructive at the top of the order. Allen’s ability to dominate the powerplay has allowed Perth to dictate terms early in most matches.
Mitchell Marsh’s return has added stability and leadership, while Aaron Hardie continues to be a vital all-round contributor. Hardie’s calm approach in the middle overs and ability to bowl crucial spells make him indispensable. Ashton Turner and Laurie Evans provide finishing firepower, ensuring Perth can post or chase competitive totals consistently.
Bowling remains an area where Perth have shown occasional vulnerability, especially at the death. However, the presence of Jhye Richardson and Joel Paris adds pace and control, while Cooper Connolly has emerged as a reliable wicket-taker in the middle overs. At home, Perth Scorchers are particularly dangerous, using bounce and pace to their advantage. Overall, they enter this match as slight favorites, especially considering their dominance over Melbourne Stars in recent seasons.
Melbourne Stars Preview
Melbourne Stars have enjoyed one of their most complete seasons in recent years, winning six matches and securing early qualification for the playoffs. Their campaign has been built around consistency with both bat and ball. Sam Harper has been the standout performer, leading the tournament’s run charts with remarkable consistency and composure at the top of the order.
Captain Marcus Stoinis has provided crucial leadership, often rescuing the team from tricky situations with his powerful batting and medium-pace bowling. The Stars’ middle order, featuring Glenn Maxwell and Tom Curran, gives them immense flexibility and explosive potential.
Bowling has arguably been Melbourne’s strongest suit. Haris Rauf’s raw pace, Peter Siddle’s experience, and Tom Curran’s variations have combined to create a formidable attack. The Stars have shown the ability to bowl teams out cheaply, as seen in their dominant win over Adelaide Strikers. However, their challenge will be handling Perth’s aggressive top order at a venue where the Scorchers rarely falter. If Melbourne can strike early and keep Allen quiet, they have a real chance of turning the tables.
Also Check: BBL 2025-26: Points Table, Most Runs & Most Wickets
Team Squads
Perth Scorchers: Finn Allen, Mitchell Marsh, Cooper Connolly, Aaron Hardie, Ashton Turner, Laurie Evans, Nick Hobson, Jhye Richardson, Joel Paris, David Payne, Mahli Beardman
Melbourne Stars: Sam Harper, Thomas Rogers, Campbell Kellaway, Marcus Stoinis, Glenn Maxwell, Tom Curran, Hilton Cartwright, Mitchell Swepson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle, Blake Macdonald
Probable Playing XI
| Perth Scorchers | Melbourne Stars |
|---|---|
| Finn Allen | Sam Harper |
| Mitchell Marsh | Thomas Rogers |
| Cooper Connolly | Campbell Kellaway |
| Aaron Hardie | Marcus Stoinis (c) |
| Ashton Turner (c) | Glenn Maxwell |
| Laurie Evans | Tom Curran |
| Nick Hobson | Hilton Cartwright |
| Jhye Richardson | Mitchell Swepson |
| Joel Paris | Haris Rauf |
| David Payne | Peter Siddle |
| Mahli Beardman | Blake Macdonald |
Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| Batters | Finn Allen, Sam Harper, Mitchell Marsh |
| All-rounders | Aaron Hardie, Marcus Stoinis, Tom Curran |
| Bowlers | Jhye Richardson, Haris Rauf, Peter Siddle |
| Wicketkeeper | Sam Harper |
| Flex | Cooper Connolly |
This fantasy combination balances form, consistency, and match impact. Finn Allen and Sam Harper are automatic picks given their run-scoring form at the top. Allen’s explosive powerplay hitting and Harper’s consistency make them reliable fantasy assets. Mitchell Marsh and Marcus Stoinis add value through both batting and leadership roles.
Aaron Hardie and Tom Curran are premium all-rounders, offering points with both bat and ball. Curran’s death-over bowling and Hardie’s middle-order stability enhance their fantasy value. The bowling unit features Jhye Richardson and Haris Rauf, both capable of picking up wickets in clusters. Peter Siddle’s experience at Perth Stadium makes him a smart inclusion. Cooper Connolly is a useful differential pick due to his wicket-taking ability in the middle overs.
Captain: Finn Allen
Vice-Captain: Sam Harper
Players to Avoid:
- Nick Hobson (inconsistent batting time)
- Blake Macdonald (limited fantasy impact)
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today – Perth Scorchers (Why?)
Perth Scorchers are the favorite in this match due to their exceptional home record and dominant head-to-head history against Melbourne Stars. They have won the last five encounters between the two sides and consistently perform well at Perth Stadium. Their batting depth, led by Finn Allen and supported by Marsh and Hardie, gives them a clear edge. Additionally, Perth’s familiarity with local conditions allows their bowlers to exploit bounce and pace more effectively than visiting sides. With momentum, crowd support, and a settled lineup, Perth Scorchers appear better placed to secure another important win.
Perth Scorchers T20 History
| Matches Played | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 179 | 104 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Perth Scorchers have been one of the most successful franchises in Big Bash League history, winning more matches than they’ve lost. Their strong batting lineups and clever bowling strategies have helped them maintain a winning record across multiple seasons.
Melbourne Stars T20 History
| Matches Played | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 | 77 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Melbourne Stars have had a competitive but mixed T20 history. While they have crossed the 75-win mark, they have also lost more matches than they’ve won. Their performances have often depended on key batters and strike bowlers to turn games in their favour.
Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars Head-to-Head
| Matches Played | Perth Scorchers Won | Melbourne Stars Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 |
In head-to-head T20 encounters, Perth Scorchers hold a clear edge over Melbourne Stars. Out of 24 matches played between these two franchises, the Scorchers have emerged victorious 15 times, while the Stars have won 8. One match ended without a result. This superior record reflects Perth’s historical dominance in this fixture and contributes strongly to the Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars prediction for future matchups.
Pitch Report
Perth Stadium offers a fast and bouncy surface, ideal for stroke-making batters and express pacers. The pitch generally provides good carry, allowing batsmen to play through the line confidently. Fast bowlers who hit the deck hard are rewarded, especially in the early overs. Spinners may find limited assistance, but those with variations can still be effective in the middle overs. A first-innings score of around 160–170 is considered competitive at this venue.
Weather Report
| Condition | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 26–28°C |
| Rain | No rain expected |
| Humidity | Moderate |
Clear conditions are expected, ensuring a full 40-over contest.
Broadcast Details
The Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars match will be broadcast live on the Star Sports Network, with live streaming available on JioHotstar. Fans can catch the action in multiple languages with expert commentary and in-depth pre-match and post-match analysis.
Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss may opt to bowl first, considering the chasing advantage at Perth Stadium under lights. Dew can sometimes play a role in the second innings, making it slightly easier for batters to time the ball. Expect captains to favor chasing.
Score Prediction
- If Perth Scorchers bat first: 160+
- If Melbourne Stars bat first: 152+
A high-scoring contest is expected, but Perth’s batting depth could help them post or chase a winning total.
Probable Batsman & Bowler
Probable Batsman: Finn Allen is the most likely top run-scorer. His aggressive approach in the powerplay and familiarity with Perth conditions make him a constant threat. Sam Harper is another strong contender, given his consistency throughout the season.
Probable Bowler: Jhye Richardson is expected to lead the bowling charts with his pace and bounce, particularly against Melbourne’s middle order. Haris Rauf, with his raw speed, could also trouble Perth batters and pick up key wickets.
Also Check For More: Big Bash League Prediction
Match Prediction
This Perth Scorchers vs Melbourne Stars prediction favors the home side. While Melbourne Stars have the quality to compete, Perth’s superior home record, recent dominance in head-to-head encounters, and explosive batting lineup give them the edge. Expect a close contest, but Perth Scorchers are likely to emerge victorious and finish the league stage on a high note.
Winner: Perth Scorchers Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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