The New Zealand vs Pakistan 3rd ODI at Bay Oval presents an intriguing contest as the dominant Kiwis look to complete a series sweep against a struggling Pakistan side. With New Zealand leading 2-0, can Pakistan salvage pride or will the hosts continue their dominance? Let’s analyze the match prediction.
Match Details
| Match | New Zealand vs Pakistan |
|---|---|
| Series | Pakistan tour of NZ 2025 |
| Date | 5th April 2025 |
| Time | 3:30 AM IST |
| Venue | Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui |
| Broadcast | Fancode |
Team Previews
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand has completely dominated the ODI series so far, securing victories in the first two matches. With the series already in the bag, they will aim for a clean sweep in the third ODI.
Batting Performance
- Mark Chapman has been the standout batter with 132 runs in two matches.
- Mitchell Hay played a match-winning knock of 99 in the last game, guiding New Zealand to a strong total.
- Daryl Mitchell and Tom Latham provide stability in the middle order.
- Will Young and Henry Nicholls need to step up, as their form has been inconsistent.
Bowling Performance
- Jacob Duffy has been the best bowler for New Zealand, taking 5 wickets in two matches.
- Michael Bracewell’s all-round ability makes him a key player in this match.
- Ben Sears and Nathan Smith have been consistent with their line and length.
With momentum on their side, New Zealand will be looking to finish the series on a high note.
Pakistan Preview
Pakistan has struggled in the series so far, losing both matches convincingly. The visitors need a much-improved performance in the final game.
Batting Performance
- Babar Azam has been Pakistan’s best batter, scoring 79 runs in two matches.
- Faheem Ashraf played a brilliant knock of 73 in the last game, showing his all-round ability.
- Abdullah Shafique and Imam-ul-Haq need to provide a strong start at the top.
- Mohammad Rizwan and Khushdil Shah must perform better in the middle order to set up a competitive total.
Bowling Performance
- Akif Javed has been Pakistan’s top bowler with 3 wickets, but he has lacked support.
- Naseem Shah was impressive in the last match, contributing with both bat and ball.
- Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Wasim Jnr must find breakthroughs early to restrict New Zealand’s batting unit.
Pakistan needs a collective team effort to avoid a whitewash in the series.
New Zealand vs Pakistan 3rd ODI Betting Tips & Predictions
With New Zealand holding a commanding 2-0 lead in the ODI series against Pakistan, the upcoming match at Bay Oval presents several intriguing betting opportunities. The Kiwis have dominated so far through superior batting performances and disciplined bowling, while Pakistan’s struggles with both bat and ball make them underdogs heading into this dead rubber.
For bettors looking to capitalize on this mismatch, backing New Zealand to win outright remains the safest option at odds around 1.50. Their batting lineup has fired consistently, with Mitchell Hay’s unbeaten 99 in the last game showcasing their depth. Pakistan’s fragile top order makes them vulnerable against New Zealand’s new ball attack, particularly Jacob Duffy who has taken 5 wickets in the series. A wager on Duffy as New Zealand’s top bowler at 3.75 odds offers good value given his current form.
The player performance markets present interesting propositions, with Mark Chapman being a strong candidate for top New Zealand batsman at 4.50 odds after scoring 132 runs in the series. For Pakistan, Babar Azam remains their most reliable batter despite recent struggles, making him worth considering for top team batsman at 3.25. The total runs market could see value in betting under 275.5 if Pakistan bats first, given their batting collapses in previous matches.
For those seeking higher odds, Mitchell Hay to score another fifty at 2.75 looks appealing after his match-winning knock last game. The method of dismissal market could yield returns by backing more Pakistan batsmen to fall caught rather than bowled, given New Zealand’s strong catching and Pakistan’s tendency to play loose shots. Live betting opportunities may emerge if Pakistan’s openers survive the powerplay, as their middle order has shown some resistance later in the innings.
The toss could play a crucial role, with teams preferring to chase at Bay Oval where conditions often improve under lights. If Pakistan wins the toss and elects to field first, their odds of causing an upset improve slightly. However, New Zealand’s all-round strength makes them the sensible choice across most betting markets, with their bowling attack particularly likely to capitalize on Pakistan’s batting frailties. For accumulator bets, combining New Zealand win with under 6.5 total sixes in the match at around 2.50 provides a balanced risk-reward proposition.
New Zealand vs Pakistan Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Player | Role | Team |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Hay (C) | Batsman | NZ |
| Babar Azam (VC) | Batsman | PAK |
| Mark Chapman | Batsman | NZ |
| Tom Latham | WK-Batsman | NZ |
| Faheem Ashraf | All-rounder | PAK |
| Daryl Mitchell | All-rounder | NZ |
| Jacob Duffy | Bowler | NZ |
| Naseem Shah | Bowler | PAK |
| Will O’Rourke | Bowler | NZ |
| Akif Javed | Bowler | PAK |
| Michael Bracewell | All-rounder | NZ |
Fantasy Tips
- Captain: Mitchell Hay (in red-hot form)
- Vice-Captain: Babar Azam (Pakistan’s best batter)
- Must-Have: Mark Chapman, Jacob Duffy
- Avoid: Imam-ul-Haq (struggling), Khushdil Shah (inconsistent)
Also Check: Get The Best Dream11 Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match?
New Zealand is the favourite to win today’s match because:
- They have already won the series 2-0 and are in great form.
- Their bowling attack has been superior, led by Jacob Duffy.
- Pakistan’s batting lineup has struggled, with only a few players contributing.
New Zealand’s consistency gives them a clear advantage in this match.
New Zealand ODI Stats and History
New Zealand has played 841 ODIs, winning 389, losing 402, with 44 no results and 6 ties.
Pakistan ODI Stats and History
Pakistan has played 986 ODIs, winning 520, losing 437, with 21 no results and 8 ties.
New Zealand vs Pakistan Head-to-Head Stats
| Total Matches | NZ Won | PAK Won | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 121 | 61 | 56 | 3 | 1 |
NZ vs PAK Squad
New Zealand ODI Squad: Tom Latham (capt, wk), Muhammad Abbas, Adithya Ashok, Michael Bracewell, Mark Chapman, Jacob Duffy, Mitch Hay (wk), Nick Kelly, Daryl Mitchell, Will O’Rourke, Ben Sears, Nathan Smith, Will Young
Pakistan ODI Squad: Mohammad Rizwan (captain), Salman Ali Agha (vice-captain), Abdullah Shafique, Abrar Ahmed, Akif Javed, Babar Azam, Faheem Ashraf, Imam-ul-Haq, Khushdil Shah, Mohammad Ali, Mohammad Wasim Jnr, Muhammad Irfan Khan, Naseem Shah, Sufiyan Muqeem and Tayyab Tahir
Probable Playing XI
New Zealand:
Tom Latham (c & wk), Will Young, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Hay, Michael Bracewell, Nathan Smith, Jacob Duffy, Will O’Rourke, Ben Sears, Adithya Ashok
Pakistan:
Mohammad Rizwan (c & wk), Imam-ul-Haq, Babar Azam, Abdullah Shafique, Salman Ali Agha, Faheem Ashraf, Khushdil Shah, Mohammad Wasim Jr, Naseem Shah, Akif Javed, Abrar Ahmed
Pitch Report – Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
- The pitch is batting-friendly, with high scores expected.
- Pacers get early swing, but the surface flattens out later.
- Spinners can play a role in the middle overs due to bounce and turn.
- A first-innings score of 280+ is a par total at this venue.
Weather Report – Mount Maunganui
- Temperature: 18-24°C
- Humidity: Moderate
- Chances of Rain: 10%
- Wind Speed: Light breeze expected
- Dew Factor: Slightly expected in the second innings
New Zealand vs Pakistan Score Prediction
| Scenario | Predicted Score |
|---|---|
| If NZ Bats First | 289+ |
| If PAK Bats First | 210+ |
Toss Prediction
Toss Winner: Pakistan
Match Prediction
Our Winner: New Zealand Will Win
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Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – NZ vs PAK 3rd ODI
Who will win today’s ODI match between New Zealand and Pakistan?
New Zealand is the favourite due to their dominant form and strong all-round squad.
What is the head-to-head record between New Zealand and Pakistan?
New Zealand leads with 61 wins, while Pakistan has 56 victories in ODIs.
What is the pitch condition at Bay Oval?
The pitch is good for batting, but pacers will get early swing. Expect a high-scoring game.
Which players should be picked as captain and vice-captain in fantasy cricket?
Daryl Mitchell (C) and Michael Bracewell (VC) are strong choices.
What is New Zealand’s ODI record?
New Zealand has won 389 out of 841 ODIs, with a win rate of 46.2%.
Will dew affect the match?
Yes, dew may play a slight role in the second innings, helping the chasing team
Where can I watch the match live?
The match will be live-streamed on FanCode.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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