Who Will Win Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women Final T20 2026 Match Prediction

The Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women prediction for the Final T20 of the Bhutan Women’s T20I Tri-Series 2026 strongly leans towards Hong Kong Women, despite Bhutan enjoying home advantage. This marquee clash will be played on Thursday, 29 January 2026, at the Gelephu International Cricket Stadium, Bhutan. Cricketwebs provides 100% match prediction tips for every cricket match, and this final promises an exciting contest between consistency and courage.

Hong Kong Women have dominated the tournament from the start, winning all their group matches and qualifying directly for the final. Their top-order has been prolific, scoring a combined 402 runs in the series, while their bowling unit has delivered wickets at regular intervals. On the other hand, Bhutan Women have scripted a remarkable underdog story. Playing at home, they defeated higher-ranked Malaysia three times, including in the semi-final, to book their place in the final.

Key individual performances have shaped this tournament. Bhutan’s Ngawang Choden has been the standout batter of the series with 187 runs, showing maturity beyond her years. In the bowling department, Hong Kong’s Kary Chan and Bhutan’s Ritshi Choden are joint-top wicket-takers with eight wickets each. While Bhutan’s fighting spirit cannot be underestimated, Hong Kong’s overall balance, experience, and depth make them the favourites heading into the final showdown.

Match Details

Team Preview

Hong Kong Women Preview

Hong Kong Women entered the tri-series as the highest-ranked side and have lived up to expectations with a flawless campaign. Ranked 22nd in the ICC Women’s T20I rankings, they have shown why they are considered one of the strongest Associate teams. Captain Natasha Miles has led from the front, amassing 168 runs in four matches, including a century early in the tournament and a composed 62 against Malaysia. Her leadership and calm presence at the top have set the tone for Hong Kong’s dominance.

The batting unit looks settled and reliable. Yasmin Daswani has contributed 148 runs, while Mariko Hill has added 86 crucial runs, giving Hong Kong consistent starts. Their best batting performance came earlier in the tournament when they posted an imposing 174 against Bhutan, highlighting the gulf in batting firepower between the two sides.

What truly separates Hong Kong from the rest is their bowling depth. Kary Chan has been outstanding with eight wickets, supported well by Charlotte Chan (7 wickets), Alison Siu (5), Ruchitha Venkatesh (4), and Iqra Sahar (3). This balanced attack ensures that Hong Kong do not rely on a single bowler. Their ability to defend modest totals and restrict opponents in the middle overs makes them a formidable unit going into the final.

Bhutan Women Preview

Bhutan Women have been the surprise package of the tournament. Few expected them to reach the final, but their spirited performances, especially against Malaysia, have earned them widespread praise. Playing at home has clearly boosted their confidence, and their bowlers have made the most of familiar conditions at Gelephu.

The batting has revolved largely around Ngawang Choden, the 19-year-old wicketkeeper-batter who has scored 187 runs in five matches at an exceptional average of over 62. She has shown composure against quality bowling attacks, including Hong Kong’s. Tshering Zangmo (72 runs) and Sonam Choden (50+ runs) have offered support, but the rest of the lineup has struggled to accelerate, particularly while chasing totals above 120.

Bhutan’s bowling attack has been the backbone of their success. Ritshi Choden leads the attack with eight wickets, well supported by Sonam (7 wickets), and Riya Pradhan, Anju Gurung, and Tshering Zangmo with four wickets each. Tshering Choden has added three more, ensuring wickets at crucial moments. For Bhutan to challenge Hong Kong in the final, they will need a collective batting effort alongside another disciplined bowling display.

Team Squads

Hong Kong Women Squad:
Natasha Miles, Mariko Hill, Yasmin Daswani, Kary Chan, Charlotte Chan, Maryam Bibi, Hiu Ying Cheong, Emma Lai, Ruchitha Venkatesh, Alison Siu, Yee Shan To

Bhutan Women Squad:
Ngawang Choden, Karma Dema, Mamta Rai, Tshering Zangmo, Anju Gurung, Chado Om, Sonam Choden, Ritshi Choden, Riya Pradhan, Sonam, Tshering Choden

Probable Playing XI

Favourite Team Today – Hong Kong Women (Why?)

Hong Kong Women start as favourites in today’s final due to their superior balance, experience, and consistency throughout the tournament. Unlike Bhutan, Hong Kong do not depend on one or two players; their top-order, led by Natasha Miles, Yasmin Daswani, and Mariko Hill, has collectively produced over 400 runs in the series. This depth ensures stability even if an early wicket falls.

Their bowling attack is another major advantage. With multiple wicket-takers like Kary Chan, Charlotte Chan, and Alison Siu, Hong Kong can adapt to different match situations and pitch conditions. They have already beaten Bhutan convincingly earlier in the tournament, which adds to their psychological edge. While Bhutan’s home support and spirited bowling can pose challenges, Hong Kong’s all-round strength and big-match temperament make them the stronger side heading into the final.

Pitch Report

The Gelephu International Cricket Stadium has offered assistance to bowlers throughout the tournament. The surface is generally slow, with low bounce, making stroke-making difficult as the match progresses. Batters who apply themselves early and rotate strike tend to succeed. Spinners and medium pacers who vary their pace have enjoyed success here. A first-innings score of around 100–110 is considered competitive, especially in pressure games like a final.

Weather Report

The weather in Gelephu on match day is expected to be clear with mild conditions. Temperatures will hover around 18–22°C, with no significant threat of rain. Ideal conditions are expected for a full 20-over contest.

Broadcast Details

The Hong Kong Women vs Bhutan Women Final T20 match will be broadcast live on FanCode. Fans can stream the match via the FanCode app and website, ensuring complete coverage of this exciting final.

Toss Prediction

Winning the toss could be crucial in the final. Teams may prefer to bat first and put runs on the board, considering the pressure of chasing on a slow pitch. Toss Winner Prediction: Hong Kong Women.

Probable Batsman & Bowler

Probable Batter: Natasha Miles and Ngawang Choden are the key batters to watch. Miles has been Hong Kong’s most reliable run-scorer, capable of anchoring the innings and accelerating when needed. For Bhutan, Ngawang Choden has been the tournament’s standout batter, and her performance will largely decide Bhutan’s fate.

Probable Bowler: Kary Chan and Ritshi Choden are expected to play vital roles with the ball. Chan’s ability to strike early and control the middle overs makes her Hong Kong’s trump card. Ritshi Choden, with eight wickets in the series, will be Bhutan’s biggest bowling threat, especially against Hong Kong’s strong top order.

Match Prediction

Considering current form, squad depth, and overall balance, Hong Kong Women hold a clear edge in this final. Bhutan Women may put up a strong fight, especially with home support, but sustaining pressure for 20 overs against a disciplined Hong Kong side will be challenging. Our Winner Prediction: Hong Kong Women will win the Final T20.

Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.

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