Afghanistan vs Nepal Prediction, 4th Match Asian Games 2026

Afghanistan vs Nepal prediction for the 4th match of the Asian Games 2026 men’s T20 competition will be shaped by a very different starting point for the two teams. Afghanistan have already opened their Group A campaign with a 48-run victory over Japan, while Nepal are entering the tournament for the first time in this competition. The match will be played on September 25 at Korogi Sports Park in Nisshin, with the first ball scheduled for 10:30 AM IST.

Afghanistan made 129/6 against Japan before dismissing the hosts for 81 in 19.3 overs. Mohammad Akram top-scored with 34, Darwish Rasooli made 29 and Mohammad Ishaq finished unbeaten on 25. The most significant part of the performance, however, was Afghanistan’s bowling: Arab Gul Momand took 4/8 and Nangyalai Kharote claimed 3 wickets.

Nepal arrive with a strong recent T20 record. Their last completed T20I before the Asian Games was the June 2026 Asian Games Qualifier final, where they defeated Hong Kong by 19 runs under the DLS method. They also beat Oman and Malaysia during that qualifier, showing considerable scoring potential.

The match is important within Group A because Afghanistan can strengthen their position before Nepal’s final group game against Japan on September 26. The top two teams from the three-team group progress to the quarter-final stage.

Afghanistan have the advantage of having already played at this venue, but Nepal possess experienced T20 players including Dipendra Singh Airee, Sandeep Lamichhane, Kushal Bhurtel, Rohit Paudel and Karan KC. That combination makes this more competitive than Afghanistan’s opening scoreline against Japan might suggest.

Match Details

Afghanistan Last 5 T20 Matches

Afghanistan’s most recent T20I form is therefore 1 win and 4 losses across the five matches listed above. The important distinction is that the latest victory came in the Asian Games itself, whereas the three immediately preceding T20Is were against India. Afghanistan lost that India series 3-0, including a 127-run defeat in the third match.

Nepal Last 5 T20 Matches

Nepal’s recent T20I record is extremely positive, with five consecutive wins in their most recent T20Is. Four of those victories came in the Asian Games Qualifier, where Nepal demonstrated both explosive batting and effective bowling.

Afghanistan Preview

Afghanistan arrive at this match with immediate knowledge of how the Korogi Sports Park surface behaves. Their first game produced only 129/6, but the bowling attack subsequently dismissed Japan for 81, giving Afghanistan a 48-run victory.

Mohammad Akram was Afghanistan’s leading scorer with 34 from 29 balls in the opener. Darwish Rasooli added 29 and Mohammad Ishaq supplied late acceleration with an unbeaten 25 from 17 deliveries. The innings was therefore built around several contributions rather than one dominant individual performance.

Akram’s selection is particularly relevant because he entered the Asian Games squad after an excellent Shpageeza Cricket League campaign. The Afghanistan Cricket Board reported that he scored 339 runs in eight innings, including a hundred and two fifties. Ismat Alam also came into the squad after scoring 294 runs and taking nine wickets in the same domestic tournament.

The bowling performance against Japan is Afghanistan’s biggest positive. Arab Gul Momand claimed 4/8 while Nangyalai Kharote took 3 wickets. Abdullah Ahmadzai also picked up two wickets. The combination of left-arm spin from Kharote and leg-spin from Arab Gul gives Afghanistan an especially relevant option at a venue where the available match-centre data shows spinners have accounted for slightly more wickets than pace bowlers.

Afghanistan’s experienced players also matter. Karim Janat brings all-round ability, while Najibullah Zadran provides experience in the middle order. Darwish Rasooli is the captain and played an important stabilising role in the opening game.

The main concern is batting efficiency. Afghanistan scored only 129 against Japan despite batting the full 20 overs, and their recent India series showed how vulnerable the batting can become against disciplined bowling. They will need a better powerplay and stronger middle-over rotation against Nepal’s spin resources.

For Afghanistan, the clearest route to victory is to make the most of the first innings if they bat first and then use their spin-heavy attack to put pressure on Nepal’s middle order.

Nepal Preview

Nepal enter the Asian Games with a squad containing considerable T20 experience. Dipendra Singh Airee has been appointed captain, while the squad also includes Rohit Paudel, Sandeep Lamichhane, Kushal Bhurtel, Aasif Sheikh, Kushal Malla, Karan KC and Sompal Kami.

Their recent T20 results are impressive. Nepal won all five of the latest completed T20Is listed above, including an eight-wicket victory over Oman and a 167-run victory over Malaysia. They also produced 313/2 against China, demonstrating the batting ceiling available to this squad.

Kushal Bhurtel provides attacking intent at the top of the order, while Aasif Sheikh offers both batting stability and wicketkeeping. Rohit Paudel can provide a more controlled middle-order presence, while Dipendra adds flexibility because of his ability to contribute in both disciplines.

Nepal’s bowling has an interesting matchup against Afghanistan. Sandeep Lamichhane’s leg-spin can challenge Afghanistan’s middle order, while Lalit Rajbanshi offers left-arm orthodox variation. Karan KC and Sompal Kami provide experienced pace options. Nepal’s official senior-team information identifies Dipendra as an all-rounder, Sandeep as a leg-spinner, Karan and Sompal as fast-medium options, and Lalit as a slow left-arm orthodox bowler.

The biggest question is the long gap between Nepal’s most recent T20I and this match. Their last T20I came on June 8, whereas Afghanistan have just played at this venue. Nepal therefore have excellent recent T20 results but less immediate match rhythm.

Their tactical priority should be to avoid losing early wickets to Afghanistan’s spin attack. If Bhurtel and Aasif can provide a stable start, Nepal have enough middle-order and all-round depth to build a competitive total.

Also Read: Asian Games 2026 Cricket Schedule, Teams, Squads, Fixtures, Dates, Venues and More

Team Squad

Afghanistan Squad

Darwish Rasooli (C), Mohammad Ishaq (WK), Mohammad Akram, Hassan Eisakhil, Khalid Taniwal, Imran Mir, Faisal Khan Shinozada, Najibullah Zadran, Farmanullah Safi, Ismat Alam, Karim Janat, Nangyalai Kharote, Arab Gul Momand, Faridoon Dawoodzai and Abdullah Ahmadzai.

Nepal Squad

Dipendra Singh Airee (C), Rohit Kumar Paudel, Sompal Kami, Karan KC, Sandeep Lamichhane, Aarif Sheikh, Aasif Sheikh, Kushal Bhurtel, Lalit Rajbanshi, Gulshan Jha, Nandan Yadav, Lokesh Bam, Sandeep Jora, Sher Malla and Kushal Malla.

Probable Playing XI

Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.

Afghanistan vs Nepal Dream11 / Fantasy Prediction

Mohammad Akram deserves attention after scoring 34 in Afghanistan’s opening match and entering the tournament on the back of a strong domestic T20 season. Arab Gul Momand is another high-involvement option after taking 4/8 against Japan.

For Nepal, Dipendra Singh Airee combines batting and bowling involvement, while Sandeep Lamichhane offers wicket-taking potential in the middle overs. Kushal Bhurtel is a potential top-order option because his role gives him access to the powerplay.

Captain Options

1. Dipendra Singh Airee — offers potential involvement with both bat and ball.
2. Arab Gul Momand — comes into the game after a four-wicket performance against Japan.

Vice-Captain Options

1. Mohammad Akram — top-scored for Afghanistan in their opening match.
2. Sandeep Lamichhane — experienced wicket-taking spinner with a strong middle-over role.

Players to Avoid

1. Hassan Eisakhil — limited recent evidence from the current Asian Games campaign.
2. Sher Malla — selection in the final XI remains uncertain before the toss.

Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.

Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts

Afghanistan vs Nepal Head-to-Head

Last Head-to-Head Match

Nepal scored 141/5 before Afghanistan finished on 132/8. Jitendra Mukhiya was Player of the Match after taking 3/18.

That result gives Nepal a 1-0 historical T20I lead, but it has limited predictive value for the 2026 match. The game was played more than 12 years ago and the current squads are completely different.

Pitch Report & Venue Stats

Korogi Sports Park is a newly developed cricket venue. Reports from the venue describe a hybrid pitch, while the shortest boundary is approximately 65 metres. The preparation involved assistance from Sri Lanka Cricket, and the venue has produced both high totals and substantial collapses.

The first men’s Asian Games match also provides a direct clue: Afghanistan made 129/6 and then bowled Japan out for 81. The venue snapshot attached to that match classified the pitch as batting-friendly/flat with average batting conditions, while spin accounted for 52.94% of recorded wickets against 47.06% for pace.

That makes spin a particularly important factor in this fixture. Afghanistan’s Kharote and Arab Gul already demonstrated their effectiveness here, while Nepal have Lamichhane and Rajbanshi available.

The historical venue average is not the projected score for this match. Given the two experienced T20 attacks and the evidence from Afghanistan’s opening game, a score around the 140s could still be highly competitive.

Weather Report

A precise venue-specific forecast with all requested parameters was not reliably available from the current sources. The nearby Nagoya forecast for September 25 indicates a warm morning, temperatures around 24°C in the mid-morning and about 27°C in the afternoon, with partly cloudy conditions developing and scattered showers possible later.

Broadcast Details

Afghanistan vs Nepal Toss Prediction & Strategy

If Afghanistan wins the toss

Afghanistan should consider batting first. The available venue data shows a clear historical advantage for teams batting first, while Afghanistan’s spin attack has already demonstrated that a modest total can become difficult to chase when wickets fall regularly.

A first-innings score around 145 or higher would give their bowlers a useful platform.

If Nepal wins the toss

Nepal could also consider batting first, particularly because their recent T20 batting performances have produced very large totals. The important objective would be to establish a platform before Afghanistan’s spinners become influential.

If Nepal prefer to chase, they would need to keep wickets intact through the first 10–12 overs rather than attempting an overly aggressive start.

Toss Prediction

Predicted toss winner: Afghanistan

The prediction is not based on any inherent toss advantage; it is simply a pre-match forecast. Afghanistan have already played at the venue and won their opening game there, giving them more immediate experience of the conditions.

Score Prediction

Winning Chances

Why the Win Percentage?

Key Player Matchups

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