Queensland vs Victoria Prediction, 2nd Match, Australia Domestic One-Day Cup 2026-27

Queensland vs Victoria prediction for the second match of the Australia Domestic One-Day Cup 2026-27 presents a rematch of last season’s corresponding fixture at Allan Border Field. Queensland begin the new Dean Jones Trophy campaign at home after finishing third in the previous edition, while Victoria finished sixth. The Bulls therefore enter with the benefit of home conditions and a strong recent record in this competition, although Victoria have several experienced players available for the season opener.

Queensland’s most recent completed One-Day Cup match was a 125-run victory over South Australia in February. Marnus Labuschagne scored 126, while Mitchell Swepson produced the competition’s best-ever bowling figures for a Queensland player with 7/28. Labuschagne will captain the Bulls again, giving Queensland a proven anchor at the top of the order.

Victoria’s last completed One-Day Cup match ended in an eight-wicket defeat against Western Australia in February. They have nevertheless retained substantial squad depth, while Will Sutherland arrives in Brisbane after making an impact with both bat and ball during the Top End T20 series. Matt Short is also back in Victorian colours following his overseas commitments.

Team availability is an important part of this contest. Queensland are without Matt Renshaw and Xavier Bartlett because of Australia’s ODI commitments, while Michael Neser remains unavailable as he continues his recovery from a calf issue. Victoria are also affected by representative absences, with several players unavailable for the opening games, creating opportunities for younger players.

The match is particularly interesting because Queensland won this fixture by 55 runs at the same venue last season, but Victoria subsequently defeated Queensland by seven wickets in Melbourne in February 2026. The current squads are different, so the previous meetings provide useful context rather than a definitive guide.

Match Details

Queensland Last 5 One-Day Matches

Queensland’s five most recent matches give them a 2–3 record. Their latest performance, however, was emphatic: they scored 260 and dismissed South Australia for 135. Labuschagne’s 126 and Swepson’s 7/28 were the defining contributions.

Victoria Last 5 One-Day Matches

Victoria also went 2–3 in their latest five One-Day Cup matches. Their February victory over Queensland showed that their bowling attack can restrict the Bulls before their top order completes a chase, but their defeat to Western Australia in their latest match highlighted the difficulty they had containing a strong batting unit.

Queensland Preview

Queensland enter the new campaign with a mixture of established international-level experience and emerging domestic talent. Marnus Labuschagne will captain the side, while the squad includes Max Bryant, Lachlan Hearne, Hugo Burdon, Jack Clayton, Dylan McLachlan, Hayden Kerr, Ollie Patterson, Jem Ryan, Tom Straker, Hugh Weibgen and Mitchell Swepson.

The batting unit is led by Labuschagne, whose 126 against South Australia in February demonstrated his ability to build a long ODI-style innings. Lachlan Hearne also has a strong recent association with this format, while Hugh Weibgen arrives after making an unbeaten century in Queensland’s intra-squad practice match. Weibgen and Dylan McLachlan combined for a 181-run practice partnership, which gives the younger group some useful preparation before the opener.

Queensland’s batting will need to compensate for the absence of Matt Renshaw, who is on Australian ODI duty. Xavier Bartlett is also unavailable for the same reason, while Michael Neser continues his build-up from a calf issue. Those absences reduce Queensland’s experienced depth, particularly in the bowling department.

The bowling attack nevertheless has a major weapon in Swepson. His 7/28 against South Australia was not simply a good individual spell; it demonstrated how quickly the match can change when Queensland’s spin attack gets wickets in the middle overs. In a 50-over game, Swepson’s ability to attack rather than merely contain can be particularly valuable once the initial fielding restrictions disappear.

Powerplay

Queensland should aim to preserve wickets while exploiting the fielding restrictions through Bryant, Hearne and Labuschagne. Their most important objective will be preventing Victoria’s seamers from establishing early control. If Queensland can reach the first 10 overs with limited damage, their middle-order depth should allow Labuschagne to build the innings.

Middle Overs

This could be Queensland’s strongest phase. Labuschagne’s ability to rotate strike provides an anchor, while Weibgen, Hearne and the all-round options can keep the innings moving. With Swepson also capable of changing the game with wickets, Queensland will want to force Victoria’s middle order to face spin before the final overs.

Death Overs

Queensland’s lower-order combination needs to provide enough acceleration after the platform has been established. The absence of Neser removes some experience, making contributions from the all-rounders particularly important.

The major tactical question is whether Queensland can maintain batting depth while still fielding enough bowling options. If Labuschagne bats deep and Swepson controls the middle overs, the Bulls have a clear route to putting Victoria under pressure.

Victoria Preview

Victoria begin the season with a younger-looking group than in previous campaigns, but they still have important experience through players such as Matt Short and Will Sutherland. Cricket Victoria has confirmed Liam Blackford, Mitchell Jamieson and Harry Hoekstra are in line for Victorian debuts, while Sutherland enters the match in good form after the Top End T20 series.

The opening squad includes Matthew Short, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Liam Blackford, Harry Dixon, Dylan Brasher, Blake Macdonald, Will Sutherland, Sam Elliott, Doug Warren, Harry Hoekstra, Austin Anlezark and Mitchell Jamieson.

Victoria’s selection situation is heavily influenced by representative commitments. The broader state squad contains several established players, but Peter Handscomb, Sam Harper, Campbell Kellaway, Todd Murphy and Fergus O’Neill are unavailable for the opening two games because of Australia A commitments, while Oliver Peake is involved with Australia’s ODI squad. Scott Boland is also listed with Australia for the upcoming Test period.

That makes Sutherland especially important. His value is not limited to one discipline: he can contribute with the bat and provide meaningful overs with the ball. Short brings additional experience and white-ball versatility, while the younger batters will need to handle Queensland’s experienced attack without allowing early wickets to expose the lower order.

Powerplay

Victoria’s opening phase will be a significant test. Queensland can deploy pace before bringing Swepson into the game, so Victoria need Short, Dixon and Rogers to avoid a cluster of early wickets.

Middle Overs

The middle overs could revolve around Sutherland’s all-round contribution and the ability of Brasher and Macdonald to rotate strike. Victoria will need to avoid a period of low scoring against Swepson or other spin options.

Death Overs

Victoria’s finishing depends heavily on how many wickets remain. If Sutherland and the middle order reach the final 10 overs with a strong platform, the younger batting group has the opportunity to accelerate. With fewer established all-rounders than a full-strength Victorian squad, preserving wickets is particularly important.

Victoria’s route to victory is therefore likely to involve a disciplined start with the ball, followed by a controlled chase or a first-innings total built around Short and Sutherland.

Team Squad & Team News

Queensland Squad

Marnus Labuschagne (c), Max Bryant, Hugo Burdon, Jack Clayton, Lachlan Hearne, Hayden Kerr, Dylan McLachlan, Ollie Patterson, Jem Ryan, Tom Straker, Mitchell Swepson, Hugh Weibgen.

Team news: Dylan McLachlan is set to keep wicket because regular wicketkeeper Jimmy Peirson is recovering from a minor hamstring injury. Jem Ryan is in line for his List A debut after taking 12 Sheffield Shield wickets at 18.41 in three matches last summer. Matt Renshaw and Xavier Bartlett are on Australian ODI duty, while Michael Neser is unavailable with his calf issue.

Victoria Squad

Matthew Short, Thomas Fraser Rogers, Liam Blackford, Harry Dixon, Dylan Brasher, Blake Macdonald, Will Sutherland (c), Sam Elliott, Doug Warren, Harry Hoekstra, Austin Anlezark, Mitchell Jamieson.

Team news: Blackford, Mitchell Jamieson and Harry Hoekstra are in line for Victorian debuts. Several established Victorian players are unavailable because of Australia A or national commitments.

Probable Playing XI

Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.

Victoria vs Queensland Fantasy / Dream11 Prediction

Captain Options

1. Marnus Labuschagne — combines a high-volume batting role with strong experience in 50-over cricket.
2. Will Sutherland — offers points through both batting and bowling.

Vice-Captain Options

1. Mitchell Swepson — wicket-taking potential makes him particularly relevant in the middle overs.
2. Matthew Short — an experienced white-ball batter capable of influencing the innings quickly.

Players to Avoid

1. Jem Ryan — potential List A debut makes his workload less certain.
2. Liam Blackford — debut involvement creates greater uncertainty around his fantasy output.

Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.

Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts

QLD vs VIC Head-to-Head — Last 5 One-Day Meetings

Last 5 Head-to-Head One-Day Matches

The recent five meetings give Victoria a 3–2 advantage, despite Queensland holding the broader List A record. The most relevant meeting is last season’s match at Allan Border Field, when Labuschagne made 130 and Queensland won by 55 runs. Victoria subsequently reversed the result in Melbourne in February 2026, winning by seven wickets.

Pitch Report

The surface can offer some assistance to seamers early, as demonstrated in the 2025 Queensland-Victoria match when Queensland’s batters had to negotiate early movement before Labuschagne established control. Once the ball becomes older, batting becomes more about strike rotation and building partnerships rather than simply attacking every delivery.

The middle overs should be particularly important for spin. Queensland have a significant tactical advantage in having Swepson available, especially after his 7/28 against South Australia earlier this year.

For the second innings, the historical chasing record gives some encouragement to the side batting second, although a target around the 250-plus range would still require sustained partnerships rather than relying entirely on late hitting.

Weather Report

The latest Bureau of Meteorology forecast for Brisbane indicates sunny conditions on Saturday, 19 September, with a minimum around 12°C and maximum around 31°C. The forecast currently gives a 0% chance of rain, with light winds becoming north to northeasterly during the afternoon.

DLS/Interruption Risk: Low

The current forecast suggests minimal interruption risk. Dry conditions should allow both innings to be completed without weather materially changing the tactical balance. There is also no strong weather-based reason to adjust the prediction.

Broadcast Details

The One-Day Cup is available through cricket.com.au and the CA Live app, with Kayo Sports carrying matches in Australia. In India, the competition is available on FanCode. The Queensland Cricket announcement also confirms live coverage through Kayo and cricket.com.au.

Match start: 9:30 AM IST / 2:00 PM local.

Queensland vs Victoria Toss Prediction & Strategy

If Queensland wins the toss

Queensland should consider batting first if the surface looks reliable. Their batting is built around Labuschagne, and setting a target would allow Swepson to attack Victoria’s middle order later in the day. A first-innings score around the mid-250s would create meaningful pressure.

If Victoria wins the toss

Victoria could also choose to bowl first, particularly given the historical advantage for chasing teams at Allan Border Field. Their young bowling group would get an opportunity to use the newer ball, while Short and Sutherland could then anchor a chase.

Toss Prediction

Predicted toss winner: Victoria

The prediction is based only on the toss being an independent event and does not imply a meaningful probability advantage. If Victoria win it, bowling first would be a logical tactical choice given the venue’s historical chasing record.

ODI Score Prediction

Projected Competitive Score

A score around 255–270 should represent a competitive first-innings total under normal conditions.

Queensland’s batting depth gives them the potential to push beyond 270 if Labuschagne bats deep and the middle order accelerates effectively. Victoria’s most realistic route to a higher total would be an efficient powerplay followed by a strong Sutherland-led middle and late-innings acceleration.

If Chasing

The venue has historically produced more wins for chasing sides than teams batting first, although the difference is not large enough to make chasing an automatic choice. A target around 250 is manageable, while a total approaching 280 would place considerably greater pressure on the chasing team.

Winning Chances

Why the Win Percentage?

The largest factors behind the 57–43 split are Queensland’s home advantage, Labuschagne’s top-order role, Swepson’s ability to influence the middle overs and the fact that Queensland’s latest completed One-Day Cup performance was a dominant victory. Victoria’s strongest counterarguments are Sutherland’s all-round contribution, Short’s experience and their seven-wicket win over Queensland earlier in 2026.

Key ODI Player Matchups

Key Batting & Bowling Targets

Expected Top Batter

Marnus Labuschagne — His 126 in Queensland’s most recent One-Day Cup match and 130 against Victoria at the same venue last season make him the central batting reference point.

Expected Top Bowler

Mitchell Swepson — His 7/28 against South Australia was a match-winning spell and gives Queensland a specialist wicket-taking option in the middle overs.

Potential X-Factor

Will Sutherland — His value comes from his ability to influence the game in both innings, while his recent Top End T20 performances provide current form context.

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