Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Prediction: Who Will Win PAK vs SL Final T20 Match
The grand finale of the Pakistan Tri-Series 2025 brings an electrifying clash between two determined sides, and fans are eagerly searching for a reliable and detailed Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction ahead of this high-stakes match. With the series showcasing thrilling performances, last-over nail-biters, and unpredictable momentum swings, this final promises to deliver drama until the last delivery. Pakistan were the first team to storm into the finals, winning three consecutive games, including a strong victory over Sri Lanka earlier in the series.
However, their momentum took a hit after a disappointing defeat in the last game, where their death bowling faltered and key batters once again failed to fire. Their inconsistency at the top has been a recurring issue, and heading into the final, the pressure is squarely on them to deliver in front of a passionate Rawalpindi crowd.
Sri Lanka, meanwhile, have scripted a fantastic turnaround. After losing their first two matches—including a shocking defeat to Zimbabwe—they bounced back strongly. Their openers shifted to an attacking mentality, producing back-to-back match-winning stands. Pathum Nissanka’s 98 and Kamil Mishara’s 76 highlighted their ability to take down pace and spin alike. Dushmantha Chameera has been their standout bowler, delivering a sensational last-over defense against Zimbabwe to drag his side into the final. Such grit and composure make Sri Lanka a dangerous challenger in this title match.
With Pakistan having a stronger historical record at home and Sri Lanka gaining form at just the right time, this Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction becomes extremely intriguing. The Pindi pitch promises pace and bounce early on, which suits both teams’ fast-bowling strengths. Given the competitive head-to-head, identical form coming into the final, and the pressure of a trophy at stake, fans can expect a thrilling contest. Let’s dive deep into team analysis, stats, probable XIs, fantasy picks, and full match prediction.
- Pakistan and Sri Lanka meet in the Final of the 2025 Tri-Series.
- Pakistan dominated early, Sri Lanka bounced back late to seal qualification.
- Chameera & Nawaz lead the wicket charts with 7 wickets each.
- A competitive total at Rawalpindi should be 175+.
Match Details
| Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, Final T20 |
| Date | Saturday, 29 November 2025 |
| Time | 6:30 PM |
| Venue | Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium |
| Broadcast | Youtube |
Pakistan Team Preview
Pakistan enter the final with mixed emotions—confidence from their early dominance, but also frustration after letting the last match slip through their fingers. Their batting has lacked stability at the top, and Babar Azam’s inconsistent returns this series have amplified the pressure on young openers. Despite this, the one batter who has stood tall throughout the tournament is Sahibzada Farhan. His aggregate of 168 runs in four matches makes him the leading run-scorer and undoubtedly Pakistan’s biggest weapon in this final.
The decision to use Fakhar Zaman in the middle order has been a revelation. His strike rate of 160 has given Pakistan the much-needed acceleration during the middle overs, while Usman Khan has shown promise but needs to convert starts into match-winning knocks. Captain Salman Agha will aim for composure under pressure, especially if Pakistan lose early wickets.
Bowling has traditionally been Pakistan’s strength, but the previous match exposed their death-over vulnerability. Mohammad Nawaz has been their standout performer with both bat and ball—scoring 52 crucial runs and taking 7 wickets. His ability to break partnerships will be vital against Sri Lanka’s aggressive top order.
Mohammad Wasim Jr brings pace and sharp movement, while Salman Mirza and Abrar Ahmed need more control in execution. The bowling unit must deliver a disciplined performance to prevent Sri Lanka from running away early.
Rawalpindi’s pitch favors Pakistan’s quicks, and they will rely heavily on early breakthroughs to set the tone.
Sri Lanka Team Preview
Sri Lanka’s journey to the final has been a story of resilience, guts, and smart cricket. After losing their opening two games, many had written them off. But the Lankans found renewed spirit with significant changes in batting intent. Their top three—Nissanka, Mishara, and Mendis—shifted into attack mode, leading to impressive totals in must-win matches.
Pathum Nissanka’s sublime 98 showcased his class, timing, and temperament. Kamil Mishara followed it up with a brilliant 76, cementing the top order’s confidence. Kusal Mendis, often a big-match performer, has played two crucial knocks and remains a vital stabilizing force.
Sri Lanka’s middle order, led by Dasun Shanaka, adds experience and finishing capability. Wanindu Hasaranga is their most versatile match-winner with a handy bat and six wickets so far. His battle with Pakistan’s middle order will be one of the defining matchups of the final.
Sri Lanka’s biggest concern has been their pace attack. Apart from Dushmantha Chameera, who has bowled with pace, fire, and accuracy, the rest have struggled. His last-over brilliance in the semifinal-like clash sealed their place in the final. Maheesh Theekshana and Eshan Malinga offer variations but must step up to contain Pakistan’s hitters.
With improved aggression and renewed confidence, Sri Lanka pose a real threat—even in Pakistan’s backyard.
Team Squad
Pakistan Squad
Farhan, Ayub, Babar, Salman Agha, Usman Khan, Fakhar, Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Wasim Jr, Salman Mirza, Abrar Ahmed
Sri Lanka Squad
Nissanka, Mishara, Mendis, Perera, Liyanage, Shanaka, Rathnayake, Hasaranga, Chameera, Theekshana, Malinga
Probable Playing XI
| Pakistan | Sri Lanka |
|---|---|
| Sahibzada Farhan | Pathum Nissanka |
| Saim Ayub | Kamil Mishara |
| Babar Azam | Kusal Mendis (wk) |
| Salman Agha (c) | Kusal Perera |
| Usman Khan | Janith Liyanage |
| Fakhar Zaman | Dasun Shanaka (c) |
| Mohammad Nawaz | Pavan Rathnayake |
| Faheem Ashraf | Wanindu Hasaranga |
| Mohammad Wasim Jr | Dushmantha Chameera |
| Salman Mirza | Maheesh Theekshana |
| Abrar Ahmed | Eshan Malinga |
Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Kusal Mendis |
| BAT | Farhan, Babar, Nissanka, Mishara |
| ALL | Nawaz, Hasaranga, Shanaka |
| BOWL | Chameera, Wasim Jr, Theekshana |
This lineup is crafted to balance consistency, form, and match impact. Kusal Mendis is the ideal wicketkeeper with his aggressive batting and reliability. Farhan is in red-hot form and is an automatic pick, while Nissanka and Mishara are essential after their massive knocks. Babar Azam remains a strong fantasy choice due to his class and potential to stabilize the innings.
In the all-rounders’ department, Nawaz and Hasaranga are top-tier options—both contribute in two departments and guarantee high fantasy value. Shanaka adds depth with his finishing ability and occasional bowling.
Chameera brings wicket-taking consistency with his pace, Theekshana offers economical spells with breakthroughs in the middle overs, and Wasim Jr is Pakistan’s best pace option for early wickets.
Captain & Vice-Captain Choices
- Captain: Wanindu Hasaranga
- Vice-Captain: Mohammad Nawaz
Players to Avoid
- Usman Khan – inconsistent
- Rathnayake – low fantasy return
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today – Pakistan
Pakistan enter this final as the stronger overall side, especially due to home advantage and a more experienced bowling attack. Their record in Rawalpindi is solid, and their top performers—Farhan, Nawaz, and Wasim Jr—have consistently made an impact in this series. Pakistan also have superior depth in batting and more stable finishers compared to Sri Lanka.
While Sri Lanka have found form late, Pakistan’s familiarity with local conditions, spin-to-seam balance, and crowd support tilt the balance in their favor. If the top order fires even moderately, Pakistan should control the middle overs and death overs effectively. This gives them the edge today.
Pakistan T20I History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 286 | 165 | 114 | 7 | 0 |
Pakistan have been one of the strongest T20I teams historically with high win percentages.
Sri Lanka T20I History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | 100 | 117 | 2 | 0 |
Sri Lanka have had fluctuating T20I success but remain dangerous in big matches.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | Pakistan Won | Sri Lanka Won | NR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
At Rawalpindi
| Matches | Pakistan Won | Sri Lanka Won |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 1 |
Pakistan hold the upper hand overall but Sri Lanka are competitive.
Also Check: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Head to Head in T20
Pitch Report
The Rawalpindi surface is known for pace, bounce, and strong carry to the keeper. Seamers enjoy movement under lights, especially in the first six overs. Spinners get less help early but become effective as the pitch slows down later. Batting is strong if the top order survives the new ball. A total over 175 is challenging while anything below 155 is chaseable.
Weather Report
Clear sky expected with cool evening breeze. No rain forecast. Ideal conditions for a full T20 match.
Broadcast Details
Live streaming will be available exclusively on Youtube for viewers globally. No TV broadcast announced.
Top Batsmen & Bowlers
Best Batters
- Sahibzada Farhan: Leading run-scorer, supreme touch.
- Pathum Nissanka: Brilliant against pace, consistent scorer.
- Babar Azam: Big-match temperament could shine.
Best Bowlers
- Dushmantha Chameera: Raw pace, death-over specialist.
- Mohammad Nawaz: Spin threat + handy lower-order runs.
- Wasim Jr: Early wicket-taker.
These players are expected to influence the match heavily with their form and skill sets.
Match Prediction
Pakistan are the favourites to lift the Tri-Series trophy. Their superior depth, home advantage, and balance across departments give them the edge. Sri Lanka will push hard, but Pakistan’s consistency and strong record in Rawalpindi should prove decisive.
Winner: Pakistan Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – PAK vs SL Final T20
Who will win the Pakistan vs Sri Lanka final T20?
Pakistan are favourites due to home advantage and stronger squad balance.
What is the best Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction for fantasy teams?
Hasaranga (C) and Nawaz (VC) offer the highest dual-impact points.
What is a good total at Rawalpindi?
Anything above 175 is highly competitive.
Who are the top batters to watch?
Nissanka, Farhan, and Babar Azam.
Who leads the wicket charts in the series?
Nawaz and Chameera with 7 wickets each.
What are Pakistan’s chances of winning?
68% based on current form and conditions.
Where to watch the match live?
Streaming exclusively on Youtube.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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