Who Will Win Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 3rd T20 2025 Match Prediction
The third match of the Pakistan T20 Tri-Series 2025 is set to take place at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, where Pakistan will lock horns with Sri Lanka in what promises to be an exciting contest. Both teams enter this clash with contrasting momentum. The hosts are riding high after a confident victory against Zimbabwe, while Sri Lanka are under pressure following a disappointing loss to the same opponent. In this detailed preview, we present the most accurate and data-driven Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction, analyzing team form, strengths, weaknesses, and key matchups that could decide the outcome.
Pakistan began their tri-series in style, chasing down Zimbabwe’s competitive total with five wickets in hand. Fakhar Zaman, Usman Khan, and Saim Ayub displayed promising form, while Mohammad Nawaz and Shaheen Afridi were effective with the ball. With multiple all-rounders and explosive batting options, Pakistan look well-balanced heading into this encounter.
Sri Lanka, on the other hand, were comprehensively defeated by Zimbabwe. Their intended chase of 163 collapsed dramatically as they were bundled out for just 95. Dasun Shanaka’s fighting knock was the only bright spot, while their bowlers—especially Hasaranga and Eshan Malinga—showed some discipline. The team needs a collective batting recovery to stay relevant in this tri-series.
Given Pakistan’s favourable head-to-head record—winning 14 out of 24 T20 matches—and their current form, they step into this game with a slight advantage. However, Sri Lanka’s unpredictability in the T20 format makes them dangerous opponents capable of surprising stronger teams. A score around 160–165 is expected to be competitive on this pitch, and early wickets will be crucial in shaping the contest.
This comprehensive Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction article assesses both squads, expected lineups, pitch conditions, fantasy selections, and win probabilities to give you a clear insight into today’s match.
- Pakistan enter this match after a comfortable win over Zimbabwe.
- Sri Lanka must fix their batting issues to remain competitive.
- Mohammad Nawaz, Fakhar Zaman, and Babar Azam will be key for Pakistan.
- Hasaranga, Shanaka, and Malinga will play major roles for Sri Lanka.
Match Details
| Match | Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, 3rd T20 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 22nd November 2025 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Venue | Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi |
| Tournament | Pakistan T20 Tri-Series 2025 |
Pakistan Team Preview
Pakistan enter this match with strong confidence after outplaying Zimbabwe in their opening game of the tri-series. Their batting depth, pace attack, and spin options make them the most balanced team in the tournament. Captain Salman Agha has been impressive in his leadership role, promoting attacking cricket and flexible batting strategies.
In the batting department, Pakistan rely heavily on the top-order trio of Saim Ayub, Fakhar Zaman, and Babar Azam. Fakhar looked in sublime touch in the previous match, scoring 44 off 32 balls. His combination of intent and experience makes him a pivotal figure. Usman Khan’s unbeaten 37 was another positive sign, showcasing his ability to absorb pressure and accelerate toward the end.
Sahibzada Farhan and Agha Salman add solidity in the middle order, while all-rounders Faheem Ashraf and Mohammad Nawaz extend Pakistan’s batting depth. Nawaz’s match-winning impact was visible in both departments—scoring a crucial 21* and picking 2 wickets for just 22 runs.
In bowling, Pakistan boast one of the most lethal pace combinations in world T20 cricket. Shaheen Shah Afridi remains the leader of the attack, capable of picking early wickets with his trademark in-swinging yorkers. Naseem Shah or Salman Mirza will accompany him, bringing pace variation and aggression. Abrar Ahmed’s mystery spin can trouble Sri Lanka’s right-hand dominant middle order.
Pakistan’s fielding has also improved significantly, adding to their overall strength. If Pakistan maintain their discipline, they are likely to dominate this fixture.
Sri Lanka Team Preview
Sri Lanka enter this match under pressure after a disappointing performance against Zimbabwe. Their batting collapse—being bowled out for just 95—highlighted major issues with shot selection and top-order temperament. Captain Dasun Shanaka will expect a much-improved effort from his experienced players.
Sri Lanka’s batting lineup has potential but lacks consistency. The top order of Kusal Perera, Pathum Nissanka, and Kusal Mendis must take responsibility for giving the team a strong start. Perera and Mendis have the talent to shift momentum quickly, but their recent form has been underwhelming. Kamindu Mendis and Bhanuka Rajapaksa bring power in the middle overs but must avoid reckless strokes early.
Dasun Shanaka remains the backbone of this lineup. His 34 off 25 in the previous match was the only fighting contribution, showcasing his ability to rescue the innings under pressure. He will again be Sri Lanka’s key performer.
Sri Lanka’s bowling, however, remains competitive. Wanindu Hasaranga was impressive, picking 3 wickets and proving once again why he is among the world’s best T20 bowlers. His ability to take wickets in the middle overs will be crucial. Eshan Malinga and Dushmantha Chameera provide pace and bounce, while Theekshana offers powerplay control.
Sri Lanka have the bowlers to trouble Pakistan, but their inconsistency in batting remains a major concern that needs immediate rectification.
Squads
Pakistan Squad
Salman Agha (c), Babar Azam, Saim Ayub, Sahibzada Farhan, Fakhar Zaman, Usman Khan (wk), Mohammad Nawaz, Faheem Ashraf, Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed, Naseem Shah, Salman Mirza.
Sri Lanka Squad
Dasun Shanaka (c), Kusal Perera, Pathum Nissanka, Kusal Mendis (wk), Bhanuka Rajapaksa, Kamindu Mendis, Wanindu Hasaranga, Eshan Malinga, Dushmantha Chameera, Mahesh Theekshana, Nuwan Thushara.
Probable Playing XI
Pakistan
Saim Ayub
Fakhar Zaman
Babar Azam
Sahibzada Farhan
Usman Khan (wk)
Salman Agha (c)
Faheem Ashraf
Mohammad Nawaz
Abrar Ahmed
Shaheen Afridi
Naseem Shah / Salman Mirza
Sri Lanka
Pathum Nissanka
Kusal Perera
Kusal Mendis (wk)
Kamindu Mendis
Bhanuka Rajapaksa
Dasun Shanaka (c)
Wanindu Hasaranga
Mahesh Theekshana
Eshan Malinga
Dushmantha Chameera
Nuwan Thushara
Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Usman Khan, Kusal Mendis |
| Batters | Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Pathum Nissanka |
| All-rounders | Mohammad Nawaz, Wanindu Hasaranga, Dasun Shanaka |
| Bowlers | Shaheen Afridi, Abrar Ahmed, Dushmantha Chameera |
This fantasy team combines strong top-order batters with impactful all-rounders and wicket-taking bowlers. Usman Khan and Kusal Mendis are natural picks due to their consistency and involvement throughout the match. Babar Azam and Fakhar Zaman bring stability and aggression, making them essential picks for high-scoring innings.
Pathum Nissanka adds balance as a technically sound opener for Sri Lanka.
In the all-rounder department, Mohammad Nawaz and Wanindu Hasaranga are game-changers—both capable of picking wickets and contributing crucial runs. Dasun Shanaka, Sri Lanka’s best batter in the previous match, is another valuable fantasy inclusion.
Shaheen Afridi and Dushmantha Chameera bring pace and early breakthroughs, while Abrar Ahmed’s spin threat provides wicket-taking potential in the middle overs.
Captain & Vice-Captain Picks
Captain: Mohammad Nawaz / Fakhar Zaman
Vice-Captain: Wanindu Hasaranga / Babar Azam
Players to Avoid
- Bhanuka Rajapaksa (poor recent form)
- Kamindu Mendis (inconsistent middle-order batting)
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today
Pakistan are the favourites heading into this match based on their superior squad balance, recent form, and home advantage in Rawalpindi. Their batting lineup is far more stable compared to Sri Lanka’s inconsistent middle order. With Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, and Usman Khan displaying strong form, Pakistan are well-equipped to chase or set a competitive total.
Their bowling attack is also more potent, with Shaheen Afridi capable of early breakthroughs and Mohammad Nawaz in excellent wicket-taking rhythm. Abrar Ahmed adds variety that Sri Lanka’s batters struggled against in the previous match.
Sri Lanka, meanwhile, have world-class performers but lack consistency as a unit. Unless their top order clicks collectively, they may find it tough to compete against Pakistan’s disciplined attack.
Pakistan T20 Stats & History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 283 | 163 | 113 | 7 | 0 |
Pakistan remain one of the most consistent limited-overs teams with a strong bowling foundation.
Sri Lanka T20 Stats & History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 | 98 | 115 | 2 | 0 |
Sri Lanka have shown flashes of brilliance but remain inconsistent in T20 cricket.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | Pakistan Wins | Sri Lanka Wins | NR |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 14 | 10 | 0 |
Pakistan hold a slight advantage historically with 14 wins to Sri Lanka’s 10.
Pitch Report
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium generally offers a batting-friendly surface with good bounce and carry. The new ball helps fast bowlers early, but as the game progresses, the pitch becomes ideal for stroke play. Spinners get minimal assistance, making variations crucial. A first-innings score around 160–165 is competitive, and chasing under lights becomes slightly challenging due to skiddy bounce. Expect fast scoring during the powerplay.
Weather Report
Clear skies with mild evening breeze. Zero chances of rain—ideal conditions for cricket.
Broadcast Details
Live streaming available on Youtube.
Toss Prediction
Winner: Pakistan – likely to bowl first.
Match Prediction
Pakistan enter this match with momentum, a well-balanced lineup, and home conditions in their favour. Sri Lanka need a big batting improvement to stay competitive. Expect Pakistan to dominate key phases and secure another win.
Predicted Winner: Pakistan
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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