Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Prediction: Who Will Win PAK vs SL 1st ODI Match?
The Pakistan vs Sri Lanka prediction for the 1st ODI 2025 promises an exciting contest between two well-balanced Asian powerhouses. The match will take place on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, at the Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium. Both sides are entering the series in fine form — Pakistan coming off a morale-boosting 2–1 ODI series win over South Africa at home, while Sri Lanka whitewashed Zimbabwe 3–0 earlier this year.
Pakistan, led by Shaheen Shah Afridi, will look to continue their recent ODI dominance. The Green Shirts have relied heavily on the trio of Fakhar Zaman, Babar Azam, and Mohammad Rizwan to anchor the batting, while their lethal fast-bowling attack featuring Shaheen Afridi, Naseem Shah, and Haris Rauf remains one of the most feared in world cricket. Pakistan’s spin department, with Abrar Ahmed and Mohammad Nawaz, will be crucial against Sri Lanka’s right-heavy batting lineup.
Sri Lanka, on the other hand, will be captained by Charith Asalanka, who has been in sublime form in 2025, scoring 456 runs at an average of 50.66. Supported by the ever-reliable Kusal Mendis and in-form opener Pathum Nissanka, the islanders boast a well-rounded top order. In the bowling department, Asitha Fernando, Dushmantha Chameera, and Wanindu Hasaranga will be key weapons.
With Pakistan’s pace strength and home advantage against Sri Lanka’s spin flair, this Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 1st ODI prediction points towards a thrilling battle. Historically, Pakistan have dominated this rivalry, winning 93 of the 157 ODIs between the sides, and they’ll be confident of maintaining that record at Rawalpindi.
Match Details
| Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | Pakistan vs Sri Lanka, 1st ODI 2025 |
| Date | Tuesday, November 11, 2025 |
| Time | 2:30 PM Local Time |
| Venue | Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium, Rawalpindi |
| Live Streaming | YouTube |
| Toss Prediction | Sri Lanka |
| Match Prediction | Pakistan to win |
Pakistan Team Preview
Pakistan enters this ODI series full of confidence after their recent success at home. The focus remains on building stability in the top order and testing younger players ahead of the 2026 Champions Trophy.
Batting Overview:
The opening combination of Fakhar Zaman and Saim Ayub is expected to provide an aggressive start. Fakhar, known for his explosive powerplay batting, will look to dominate early, while Saim offers flair and innovation. Babar Azam, Pakistan’s premier batter, will anchor the innings at No. 3 — his calm presence and impeccable consistency make him the key wicket for Sri Lanka.
Mohammad Rizwan will bat at No. 4, adding composure in the middle order, while captain Salman Agha provides stability and the ability to accelerate. Pakistan’s lower order, including Faheem Ashraf and Mohammad Nawaz, adds valuable all-round depth.
Bowling Overview:
Pakistan’s bowling is their biggest strength. Captain Shaheen Shah Afridi leads a pace unit that includes Naseem Shah and Haris Rauf, all capable of delivering breakthroughs in any condition. Abrar Ahmed brings mystery spin, while Nawaz’s left-arm orthodox spin adds balance.
Pakistan will look to exploit Rawalpindi’s slightly seamer-friendly pitch early on before letting spinners take over in the middle overs.
Pakistan Probable Playing XI:
Shaheen Shah Afridi (C), Mohammad Rizwan (wk), Fakhar Zaman, Saim Ayub, Babar Azam, Salman Agha, Faheem Ashraf, Mohammad Nawaz, Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf, Abrar Ahmed
Sri Lanka Team Preview
Sri Lanka comes into this series in good spirits after their 3–0 win over Zimbabwe. The team has found a new sense of confidence under Charith Asalanka’s captaincy, especially with young players stepping up in both batting and bowling departments.
Batting Overview:
Openers Pathum Nissanka and Kusal Mendis form a reliable pair, capable of building partnerships while maintaining a healthy strike rate. Mendis, with his experience, will be vital in tackling Pakistan’s new-ball attack. Charith Asalanka, the captain and the team’s most consistent performer this year, anchors the middle order.
Kamindu Mendis and Janith Layenge will look to provide support in the middle overs, while Sadeera Samarawickrama can accelerate toward the back end. The batting unit has improved in rotating strike and playing spin, but facing Pakistan’s pace trio will be their biggest test.
Bowling Overview:
Sri Lanka’s bowling revolves around Asitha Fernando and Dushmantha Chameera with the new ball. Fernando has taken 22 wickets in 10 ODIs in 2025, while Chameera’s experience will be crucial. Wanindu Hasaranga and Mahesh Theekshana form one of the most effective spin duos in world cricket, providing control in the middle overs.
With their balanced attack and growing confidence, Sri Lanka will aim to challenge Pakistan despite the unfamiliar conditions.
Sri Lanka Probable Playing XI:
Charith Asalanka (C), Kusal Mendis, Pathum Nissanka, Sadeera Samarawickrama, Kamindu Mendis, Janith Layenge, Asitha Fernando, Dushmantha Chameera, Mahesh Theekshana, Wanindu Hasaranga, Pramod Madushan
Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Today’s Fantasy Prediction – 11th November
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Mohammad Rizwan |
| Batters | Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, Pathum Nissanka, Charith Asalanka |
| All-rounders | Faheem Ashraf, Wanindu Hasaranga |
| Bowlers | Shaheen Afridi, Haris Rauf, Asitha Fernando, Mahesh Theekshana |
Captain: Babar Azam
Vice-Captain: Wanindu Hasaranga
Fantasy Team Explanation
Babar Azam is the ideal captain pick due to his phenomenal ODI record and consistency on home soil. Wanindu Hasaranga, as vice-captain, provides dual value as a wicket-taking spinner and lower-order hitter.
Mohammad Rizwan and Fakhar Zaman offer reliability and aggression, respectively. Pathum Nissanka and Charith Asalanka are key for Sri Lanka’s batting, while Faheem Ashraf brings valuable all-round contributions.
Among bowlers, Shaheen Afridi and Haris Rauf are likely to exploit Rawalpindi’s early seam movement. Asitha Fernando and Mahesh Theekshana will be crucial for wickets in different phases.
Avoid Saim Ayub and Kamindu Mendis due to inconsistent ODI performances and lack of experience against top-tier opposition.
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match: Pakistan
Pakistan enters the series opener as the clear favourite. Their top order is in sublime form, and they possess a world-class pace attack that can dismantle any batting lineup. Playing in familiar conditions at Rawalpindi further boosts their confidence.
The likes of Babar Azam, Fakhar Zaman, and Mohammad Rizwan have proven track records in ODIs, while Shaheen Afridi and Naseem Shah have the ability to strike early and maintain pressure. Pakistan’s home dominance and superior recent form make them difficult to beat.
Sri Lanka will pose a challenge, particularly through their spinners Hasaranga and Theekshana, but Pakistan’s depth in both departments gives them a significant edge.
Pakistan ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 993 | 523 | 441 | 21 | 8 |
Pakistan have played 993 ODIs, winning 523 — one of the best win ratios in international cricket history.
Sri Lanka ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 939 | 434 | 458 | 41 | 6 |
Sri Lanka have won 434 of their 939 ODIs, establishing themselves as one of Asia’s most competitive sides.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | Pakistan Won | Sri Lanka Won | Tie | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157 | 93 | 59 | 1 | 4 |
Pakistan dominates the ODI rivalry, winning 93 of 157 matches against Sri Lanka. The last series between them in 2019 ended 2–0 in Pakistan’s favor.
Also Check: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka Head to Head in ODI
Pitch Report (Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium)
The Rawalpindi pitch traditionally favors batters, but early morning moisture offers help for seamers. The average first-innings score is around 270–280, with chasing sides often finding success due to dew. Spinners get minimal turn, but pace and swing play a key role in the opening 10 overs.
Weather Report
Rawalpindi will experience clear skies with temperatures ranging between 22°C and 30°C. Humidity will hover around 55%, and there’s no forecast of rain, ensuring a full 50-over contest.
Broadcast Details
- Live Streaming: YouTube
- Telecast: Not available on TV in India
Toss Prediction
Toss Winner: Sri Lanka
Decision: Bowl first – early seam movement could benefit their pacers.
Match Prediction
Winner: Pakistan to Win
Pakistan’s strong batting lineup, pace attack, and home advantage make them overwhelming favorites in this fixture. Expect a comfortable win for the hosts.
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – PAK vs SL 1st ODI
Who will win today’s Pakistan vs Sri Lanka 1st ODI?
Pakistan are favorites to win, thanks to their home advantage and strong pace attack.
Who is the captain of Pakistan?
Shaheen Shah Afridi leads Pakistan in this ODI series.
Who is the key player for Pakistan?
Babar Azam remains Pakistan’s most consistent ODI performer.
Who is the key player for Sri Lanka?
Charith Asalanka and Wanindu Hasaranga are Sri Lanka’s key players.
What is the pitch condition at Rawalpindi?
It’s a batting-friendly surface with early seam movement for pacers.
What is the head-to-head record between Pakistan and Sri Lanka?
Pakistan leads 93–59 in ODIs.
What is the weather forecast for the match?
Clear skies and ideal cricketing conditions are expected.
What are Pakistan’s winning chances?
Pakistan have a 70% chance of winning this match based on form and conditions.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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