New South Wales vs Victoria Prediction: Who Will Win NSW vs VIC 10th Test Sheffield Shield on 10th November 2025?

The New South Wales vs Victoria prediction for the 10th Test of the Sheffield Shield 2025-26 promises to be a classic battle between two of Australia’s most decorated domestic sides. The match will be played from Monday, November 10, 2025, at the Sydney Cricket Ground (SCG), where conditions traditionally favor batters early before offering assistance to spinners and reverse swing later in the contest.

Both teams are in strong form, with Victoria sitting at the top of the table after three wins and New South Wales close behind in third place with one win, one loss, and one draw. The game carries high stakes, as a victory for NSW could push them into title contention, while Victoria will aim to maintain their dominant position.

Victoria have been the standout performers so far, thanks to Peter Handscomb’s consistency (246 runs) and Mitchell Perry’s brilliance with the ball (15 wickets). Their recent 144-run win over Tasmania showcased their all-round strength and depth. Meanwhile, New South Wales have relied heavily on the experience of Steve Smith, Kurtis Patterson, and William Salzmann, who collectively powered them to a mammoth first-innings total in their previous drawn match against Queensland.

Given the balance of experience, form, and home advantage, the New South Wales vs Victoria 10th Test prediction tilts slightly in favor of New South Wales, though Victoria’s depth ensures this will be a tightly contested red-ball encounter at the SCG.

Match Details

New South Wales Team Preview

New South Wales (NSW) have shown strong resilience this season, and after a solid performance against Queensland, they’ll be looking to convert momentum into victory. Currently 3rd on the table, they have a good mix of youth and experience, making them a tough side to beat at home.

Batting Overview:
NSW’s batting lineup looks settled, with Steve Smith showing sublime touch after scoring 118 in the previous match. Kurtis Patterson continues to impress with his elegant stroke play and captaincy, while William Salzmann, the team’s leading run-scorer (257 runs), adds grit in the middle order. Young opener Sam Konstas and Nic Maddinson will look to capitalize on favorable SCG conditions.

Bowling Overview:
Bowling remains NSW’s biggest strength. Liam Hatcher leads the attack with 17 wickets this season, supported by Pat Cummins, Josh Hazlewood, and Mitchell Starc—a world-class pace trio capable of demolishing any batting lineup. Nathan Lyon’s spin at the SCG will be vital in later stages of the match, with Tanveer Sangha offering a youthful alternative.

With the right balance between batting and bowling, and the home advantage of SCG’s spin-friendly surface, NSW appear well-equipped to challenge Victoria in this pivotal encounter.

New South Wales Probable Playing XI:
Steve Smith, Kurtis Patterson (c), William Salzmann, Nic Maddinson, Sam Konstas, Josh Philippe (wk), Pat Cummins, Mitchell Starc, Nathan Lyon, Liam Hatcher, Tanveer Sangha

Victoria Team Preview

Victoria are in red-hot form, sitting comfortably at the top of the Sheffield Shield table. With three wins already, they’ve been the most consistent side in the competition, powered by a potent blend of experienced campaigners and emerging talents.

Batting Overview:
The Victorian batting lineup has been anchored by Peter Handscomb, who has scored 246 runs so far. Openers Marcus Harris and Campbell Kellaway have provided solid starts, with both notching up centuries in the last match against Tasmania. Youngster Ollie Peake has also impressed with his ability to rotate strike and build partnerships. Matthew Short and Will Sutherland add firepower in the middle order.

Bowling Overview:
On the bowling front, Mitchell Perry has been the standout, claiming 15 wickets this season, ably supported by Scott Boland and Todd Murphy. Boland’s accuracy and Perry’s bounce have created constant pressure on opposing teams. Will Sutherland’s seam-bowling versatility and Todd Murphy’s spin complement the attack perfectly, giving Victoria a strong bowling core capable of thriving even in away conditions.

While Victoria’s confidence is sky-high, their challenge lies in adapting to the SCG surface, which tends to assist spinners more than seamers. If their batters can handle Nathan Lyon and Sangha, they’ll remain competitive.

Victoria Probable Playing XI:
Marcus Harris, Campbell Kellaway, Peter Handscomb (c), Ollie Peake, Will Sutherland, Matthew Short, Sam Harper (wk), Mitchell Perry, Scott Boland, Todd Murphy, Fergus O’Neill

Fantasy Team XI Suggestion

Captain: Steve Smith
Vice-Captain: Will Sutherland

Team Explanation

Steve Smith is the most reliable captain pick, given his form and dominance at the SCG. Will Sutherland offers dual value with both bat and ball, making him the perfect vice-captain.

Peter Handscomb and Marcus Harris bring consistency to Victoria’s top order, while Kurtis Patterson adds solidity for NSW. William Salzmann has been NSW’s best all-round performer this season, making him a must-pick.

In the bowling department, Mitchell Starc and Scott Boland are proven match-winners, while Nathan Lyon’s experience at the SCG could make the difference in the latter stages. Avoid Ollie Peake and Sam Konstas as they are less consistent options.

Favourite Team in Today’s Match: New South Wales

The New South Wales team holds a slight edge heading into this contest. They possess one of the most balanced sides in domestic cricket, boasting a world-class bowling attack that thrives on home turf. The trio of Starc, Cummins, and Hazlewood, supported by Lyon, gives them unmatched depth.

Their batting lineup, led by Steve Smith and Kurtis Patterson, adds stability and class, while William Salzmann’s emergence as a dependable all-rounder has further strengthened the middle order. Playing at the SCG gives NSW a crucial advantage, where conditions tend to favor their spinners and reverse swing specialists.

Victoria, though in great form, may find it difficult to handle the home team’s superior experience and familiarity with the conditions.

Team Test Records

New South Wales Test History:
923 matches – 386 wins, 265 losses, 270 draws, 1 tie.

Victoria Test History:
919 matches – 358 wins, 262 losses, 298 draws, 1 tie.

Pitch Report

The Sydney Cricket Ground pitch traditionally offers good balance between bat and ball. Early in the match, batters enjoy even bounce, but as the game progresses, the surface tends to assist spinners with sharp turn and variable bounce. Seamers can exploit movement early with the new ball, while reverse swing may come into play on Day 3 onwards. A first-innings score around 350–370 will be competitive on this track.

Weather Report

Sydney’s weather will be mostly clear throughout the match with temperatures ranging between 21°C and 28°C. Mild humidity and light winds are expected, and there is no major threat of rain, ensuring a full five-day contest.

Broadcast Details

• Live Streaming: FanCode App & Website
• Telecast: Not available on TV

Toss Prediction

Toss Winner: New South Wales
Decision: Bat first – the SCG favors batters early and deteriorates later.

Match Prediction

Winner: New South Wales to Win
With home advantage, superior spin options, and a world-class pace attack, NSW are well-positioned to defeat Victoria and climb up the Sheffield Shield points table.

Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.

Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.

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