India vs New Zealand Prediction: Who Will Win IND vs NZ 1st ODI Match on 11th January 2026?
The India vs New Zealand prediction for the 1st ODI of the 2026 series points toward a high-quality contest between two of the most consistent ODI teams in world cricket. The opening match will be played on Sunday, 11 January 2026, at the BCA Stadium, marking the beginning of a crucial three-match ODI series that forms part of both teams’ long-term preparation for the 2027 ODI World Cup.
India enter this series with formidable home credentials. Since 2020, they have dominated ODI cricket on home soil, winning the majority of bilateral series and maintaining a strong run against New Zealand in particular. The hosts have not lost an ODI to New Zealand since 2023 and boast an excellent record at Indian venues, where their batting depth and spin resources usually prove decisive. With senior players like Virat Kohli and Rohit Sharma still performing at elite levels, and youngsters such as Shubman Gill adding stability, India appear well-balanced across departments.
New Zealand, however, should not be underestimated. Even without several first-choice players, they arrive on the back of multiple bilateral series victories and have shown admirable adaptability in subcontinent conditions in recent years. Their batting core, led by Daryl Mitchell and Devon Conway, has been particularly effective against quality bowling attacks, while their pace unit, spearheaded by Kyle Jamieson, offers wicket-taking ability with the new ball.
Conditions in Vadodara are expected to be batting-friendly, with minimal weather interruptions. This sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter, where execution in the middle overs and death bowling could prove decisive. From a tactical standpoint, India’s spin depth and familiarity with conditions give them a clear edge, but New Zealand’s recent form ensures a competitive contest.
Overall, the India vs New Zealand prediction slightly favours the hosts, though New Zealand’s resilience suggests they will push India hard in this series opener.
- India hold a dominant recent ODI record against New Zealand at home
- New Zealand arrive with confidence from recent bilateral series wins
- Vadodara pitch expected to favour batters
- India start as favourites but must guard against New Zealand’s middle order
Match Details
| Match | IND vs NZ, 1st ODI |
|---|---|
| Date | Sunday, 11 January 2026 |
| Time | 1:30 PM IST |
| Venue | BCA Stadium |
| Format | One Day International |
Team Preview
India Team Preview
India head into the ODI series against New Zealand with confidence, depth, and clarity of roles, especially in home conditions where they have been dominant over the last decade. Playing at the BCA Stadium, Vadodara, the hosts will bank heavily on their formidable batting lineup, all-round balance, and a bowling attack well suited to Indian pitches. This series is also an important step in India’s long-term preparation for major ICC tournaments, making team combinations and form key focus areas.
At the top of the order, India possess one of the strongest opening combinations in world cricket. Rohit Sharma continues to be a cornerstone in ODIs, particularly at home, where his ability to dominate spin and pace alike gives India early momentum. Partnering him is skipper Shubman Gill, who has matured rapidly into a dependable ODI batter. Gill’s composure in the Powerplay and his ability to convert starts into big scores make him a vital asset. Together, this pair sets the tone for India’s innings and often dictates the match tempo within the first 15 overs.
The middle order is anchored by Virat Kohli, whose ODI numbers remain elite even in the later phase of his career. Kohli’s hunger for runs, ability to chase targets, and adaptability across situations make him India’s most reliable batter. Supporting him is Shreyas Iyer, who has established himself as a strong No.4 option, especially against pace and spin in the middle overs. His role is crucial in maintaining scoring momentum while preventing collapses.
KL Rahul is expected to take up the wicketkeeper-batter role, providing flexibility in the batting order. Rahul’s calmness under pressure and ability to finish innings add depth to India’s lineup. His experience in crunch situations makes him a key contributor, particularly if early wickets fall or if India are chasing a tricky target.
India’s all-round department is led by Ravindra Jadeja, whose value goes far beyond numbers. Jadeja offers control with the ball in the middle overs, sharp fielding, and dependable lower-order batting. His presence allows India to lengthen their batting while maintaining bowling strength. Depending on conditions and team balance, India may also rotate spin options like Kuldeep Yadav, whose wrist-spin has consistently troubled New Zealand batters. Kuldeep’s variations and ability to take wickets in the middle overs make him a genuine match-winner.
The pace attack is another major strength. Mohammed Siraj leads the group with his ability to swing the new ball and strike early. He is well supported by emerging pacers like Prasidh Krishna or Harshit Rana, who bring bounce and pace into play. Arshdeep Singh adds variety as a left-arm seamer, particularly effective in the death overs with his yorkers and slower deliveries.
Overall, India enter this contest as a well-rounded unit with minimal weaknesses. Their familiarity with home conditions, superior batting depth, and versatile bowling attack give them a clear edge. If the top order fires and the bowlers execute their plans, India will be difficult to stop in this series.
New Zealand Team Preview
New Zealand arrive in India with a relatively inexperienced ODI squad but with no shortage of confidence or fighting spirit. Traditionally known for punching above their weight, the Black Caps have built a reputation for adaptability and disciplined cricket, even when touring challenging conditions like the subcontinent. Although several senior players are unavailable, this tour presents an opportunity for younger and fringe players to prove their credentials on the international stage.
At the top of the order, Devon Conway remains one of New Zealand’s most dependable batters, especially in white-ball cricket. Conway’s technique against spin and his ability to rotate strike make him well suited for Indian conditions. Partnering him is likely to be Will Young or Henry Nicholls, both of whom bring stability rather than aggression. Their primary responsibility will be to see off the new ball and lay a foundation for the middle order.
The backbone of New Zealand’s batting lies in the middle order, particularly Daryl Mitchell. Mitchell has been in outstanding ODI form over the past year and has shown the ability to score runs in Asia. His strength against spin, coupled with his calm temperament, makes him New Zealand’s most important batter in this series. Alongside him, Glenn Phillips adds explosiveness and athleticism. Phillips’ ability to change the game in a short span makes him a dangerous player, especially in the final 15 overs.
Michael Bracewell, likely to lead the side, provides valuable all-round balance. Bracewell’s off-spin can be effective on Indian pitches, and his lower-order hitting gives New Zealand depth in batting. Players like Josh Clarkson and Mitch Hay will also be eager to make an impact, though consistency remains a concern in pressure situations.
New Zealand’s bowling attack will rely heavily on Kyle Jamieson, whose height and bounce can extract extra carry even on flatter Indian surfaces. Jamieson’s ability to pick up wickets with the new ball will be critical if New Zealand are to contain India’s powerful top order. Supporting him are seamers like Zak Foulkes and Michael Rae, who must maintain discipline and avoid leaking runs.
Spin bowling will play a decisive role for New Zealand. While they may not have a world-class spinner in the traditional sense, players like Bracewell and Adithya Ashok will be tasked with controlling the middle overs. Their success will depend on accuracy rather than turn, as Indian batters are adept at exploiting loose deliveries.
Fielding has always been a strength for New Zealand, and this remains a key weapon. Sharp catching, athletic ground fielding, and smart positioning can help compensate for any lack of experience in the squad.
In summary, New Zealand enter the series as underdogs but not pushovers. Their success hinges on early wickets, big contributions from Daryl Mitchell and Conway, and disciplined bowling. While conditions favour India, New Zealand’s resilience and team-first approach ensure they cannot be taken lightly.
Team Squads
India: Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, Virat Kohli, KL Rahul, Shreyas Iyer, Ravindra Jadeja, Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Prasidh Krishna, Yashasvi Jaiswal
New Zealand: Devon Conway, Will Young, Henry Nicholls, Daryl Mitchell, Glenn Phillips, Michael Bracewell, Kyle Jamieson, Zak Foulkes, Michael Rae, Mitchell Hay
Probable Playing XI
| India | New Zealand |
|---|---|
| Rohit Sharma | Devon Conway (wk) |
| Shubman Gill (c) | Will Young |
| Virat Kohli | Henry Nicholls |
| Shreyas Iyer | Daryl Mitchell |
| KL Rahul (wk) | Glenn Phillips |
| Ravindra Jadeja | Michael Bracewell (c) |
| Kuldeep Yadav | Kyle Jamieson |
| Mohammed Siraj | Zak Foulkes |
| Arshdeep Singh | Michael Rae |
| Prasidh Krishna | Mitchell Hay |
| Yashasvi Jaiswal | — |
India vs New Zealand Today’s Fantasy Prediction – 11th January
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| Batters | Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Shubman Gill, Daryl Mitchell |
| All-rounders | Ravindra Jadeja, Michael Bracewell |
| Bowlers | Kuldeep Yadav, Mohammed Siraj, Kyle Jamieson, Arshdeep Singh |
| Wicketkeeper | KL Rahul |
This fantasy XI is built around consistency, role clarity, and conditions at Vadodara. The top order is heavily prioritised because the pitch is expected to be flat and run-friendly. Rohit Sharma, Shubman Gill, and Virat Kohli are reliable ODI batters who face maximum deliveries and convert starts into big scores. Gill’s recent form and Kohli’s unmatched ODI record make them must-picks.
KL Rahul is preferred as wicketkeeper due to his stability in the middle order and added points from dismissals. Among all-rounders, Ravindra Jadeja is indispensable in Indian conditions—his economical bowling and late-order batting provide consistent fantasy returns. Michael Bracewell offers similar value for New Zealand, contributing in both departments.
In the bowling unit, Kuldeep Yadav is a strike bowler in ODIs, especially effective against teams unfamiliar with quality wrist spin. Mohammed Siraj and Arshdeep Singh cover powerplay and death overs, increasing wicket-taking chances. Kyle Jamieson adds bounce and seam movement, making him New Zealand’s most threatening bowler.
Overall, this team balances star batters with multi-dimensional players, maximising fantasy points potential.
Captain Picks: Virat Kohli, Rohit Sharma
Vice-Captain Picks: Shubman Gill, Daryl Mitchell
Players to Avoid: Mitchell Hay, Michael Rae
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today
India start as clear favourites in this contest due to their dominance in home ODI cricket and superior squad balance. Batting-friendly conditions at Vadodara suit India’s top-heavy lineup, which includes experienced match-winners capable of batting deep and accelerating when required. The presence of multiple spin options, especially Kuldeep Yadav and Ravindra Jadeja, further strengthens India’s control in the middle overs—often the decisive phase in ODIs on Indian pitches.
New Zealand remain competitive and disciplined, but the absence of several senior players reduces their margin for error. While their middle order can challenge India, sustaining pressure across 100 overs in Indian conditions is a demanding task. Considering recent head-to-head results, depth in batting, and familiarity with conditions, India are rightly favoured to win the opening ODI.
India ODI History
| Matches | Wins | Losses | NR | Tied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1072 | 570 | 448 | 44 | 10 |
India have been one of the most successful ODI teams, particularly dominant at home venues.
New Zealand ODI History
| Matches | Wins | Losses | NR | Tied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 848 | 396 | 402 | 44 | 6 |
New Zealand are known for consistency and adaptability across conditions.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | India Won | NZ Won | NR | Tied |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 | 62 | 50 | 7 | 1 |
India hold a narrow but clear advantage, especially in home ODIs.
Also Check: India vs New Zealand Head to Head in ODI – Records, Team & Players Stats
Pitch Report
The BCA Stadium, Vadodara pitch is expected to be a batting-friendly surface with true bounce and good carry. Stroke-making should be easy in the first innings, especially during the powerplay. As the match progresses, spinners may get some grip, but the wicket is unlikely to deteriorate significantly. Teams batting first should aim for 300+ to feel secure. Chasing sides will need disciplined shot selection, as run-scoring remains consistent throughout the innings.
Weather Report
Weather conditions in Vadodara are forecast to be clear and dry on match day. Temperatures will hover between 24–28°C, with low chances of rain throughout the afternoon and evening. Humidity levels are moderate and should not impact player fitness significantly. Overall, conditions are ideal for a full 50-over match with no weather-related interruptions expected.
Broadcast Details
The India vs New Zealand 1st ODI will be broadcast live on the Star Sports Network in India. Live streaming will also be available on JioHotstar, offering ball-by-ball coverage, expert analysis, and match highlights across digital platforms.
Toss Prediction
Given the batting-friendly nature of the Vadodara pitch, the team winning the toss is likely to bat first and put runs on the board. Early conditions are best for scoring, while chasing under scoreboard pressure can be tricky. New Zealand slightly edge the toss prediction in this match.
Probable Batsman & Bowler
Probable Batsman:
For India, Virat Kohli remains the standout batter due to his exceptional ODI consistency and ability to pace long innings. Shubman Gill is another strong contender, particularly against New Zealand, where he has an excellent record. For the visitors, Daryl Mitchell is the key batter—his recent ODI numbers and adaptability in Indian conditions make him New Zealand’s biggest threat.
Probable Bowler:
Among bowlers, Kuldeep Yadav is expected to play a decisive role with his wicket-taking ability in the middle overs. His variations often trouble New Zealand batters. For New Zealand, Kyle Jamieson is the bowler to watch, capable of extracting bounce and movement with the new ball and picking up early breakthroughs.
Match Prediction
Based on squad strength, recent form, and home conditions, the India vs New Zealand prediction favours India to win the 1st ODI. New Zealand are competitive and disciplined, but India’s batting depth and spin advantage at home give them the edge. Expect a high-scoring contest with India controlling key phases of the game.
Predicted Winner: India
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – IND vs NZ 1st ODI
When is the India vs New Zealand 1st ODI being played?
The match is scheduled for Sunday, 11 January 2026.
Where will the India vs New Zealand 1st ODI take place?
The match will be played at the BCA Stadium (Kotambi), Vadodara.
What time does the match start?
The match is set to begin at 1:30 PM IST.
Which team is favourite to win the 1st ODI?
India are favourites due to home conditions, stronger batting depth, and recent head-to-head dominance.
Who are the best captain and vice-captain choices for fantasy teams?
Captain choices: Virat Kohli or Rohit Sharma.
Vice-captain choices: Shubman Gill or Daryl Mitchell.
What kind of pitch is expected at Vadodara?
The pitch is expected to be batting-friendly with true bounce, making it suitable for high-scoring ODIs.
Will weather affect the India vs New Zealand 1st ODI?
No major interruptions are expected, as the weather forecast predicts clear and dry conditions.
Where can viewers watch the match live?
The match will be broadcast on Star Sports Network and streamed live on JioHotstar.
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