Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Brisbane Heat Women Prediction, 21st Match – WBBL 2026
Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Brisbane Heat Women prediction for the 21st match of WBBL 2026 presents a chance for the defending champions to recover from a difficult start to their title defence. Hobart have lost their first five matches and are at the bottom of the table, while Brisbane have won three of their first five and sit third with six points. The contrast in results makes Brisbane the form side, but the Hurricanes will be keen to use home conditions to change their campaign.
Hobart’s problems have been apparent in both innings. Their batting has struggled to put together a complete performance, and they have not yet secured a win. Their latest match against Adelaide Strikers ended in a four-wicket defeat. However, the Hurricanes have received a timely boost with the return of left-arm spinner Linsey Smith, who missed the opening five matches with a quad injury. She took 15 wickets during Hobart’s title-winning campaign last season.
Brisbane arrive with three consecutive wins after losing their first two matches. Their recent improvement has lifted them into the top four, and the Heat have already beaten Hobart once this season, winning by four wickets at Allan Border Field on 7 November. That result gives them a psychological advantage, although playing away at Bellerive Oval presents a different challenge.
The main contest is between Brisbane’s improving batting and Hobart’s need for greater consistency. The Hurricanes have experienced players such as Lizelle Lee, Danni Wyatt-Hodge, Nicola Carey and Heather Graham, while Brisbane can call on Georgia Redmayne, Grace Harris, Charli Knott and Jess Jonassen. Hobart need a stronger all-round performance; Brisbane will look to extend their winning run.
Match Details
| Match Information | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Brisbane Heat Women, 21st Match |
| Date | Saturday, 14 November 2026 |
| Time | 10:10 AM IST |
| Australia Local Time | 3:40 PM AEDT |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval (Ninja Stadium), Hobart |
| Tournament | Women’s Big Bash League 2026 |
| Format | T20 |
Hobart Hurricanes Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | Hobart Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov 2026 | Adelaide Strikers | Lost | 138/5 | 139/6 | 4 wickets |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Brisbane Heat | Lost | 116/9 | 119/6 | 4 wickets |
| 4 Nov 2026 | Melbourne Renegades | Lost | 154/7 | 155/6 | 4 wickets |
| 1 Nov 2026 | Sydney Sixers | Lost | 109 all out | 196/8 | 87 runs |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Melbourne Stars | Lost | 174/8 | 192/4 | 18 runs |
Brisbane Heat Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | Brisbane Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2026 | Melbourne Stars | Won | 166/2 | 165/5 | 8 wickets |
| 7 Nov 2026 | Hobart Hurricanes | Won | 119/6 | 116/9 | 4 wickets |
| 5 Nov 2026 | Adelaide Strikers | Won | 184/4 | 170/5 | 14 runs |
| 1 Nov 2026 | Sydney Thunder | Lost | 178/5 | 180/4 | 6 wickets |
| 30 Oct 2026 | Sydney Sixers | Lost | 154/5 | 157/6 | 4 wickets |
Recent Form Comparison
Hobart have lost all five of their matches. Their batting has improved in the last three games, reaching 154 against Melbourne Renegades and 138 against Adelaide, but they have been unable to defend or chase those totals. Nicola Carey’s unbeaten 66 against Adelaide was a positive individual performance, though the team still fell short.
Brisbane have won their last three matches after losing their opening two. Their latest win was especially convincing: they chased 166 against Melbourne Stars with seven balls remaining, with Georgia Redmayne scoring 74 not out and Orla Prendergast making 52 not out. Brisbane have the stronger momentum and a more settled batting combination entering this fixture.
Hobart Hurricanes Women Preview
Hobart Hurricanes are struggling to defend their WBBL title. Five consecutive defeats have left them bottom of the standings, and the main issue has been their inability to put together a complete performance with both bat and ball. Their latest loss to Adelaide was narrow, but the previous 87-run defeat against Sydney Sixers exposed how vulnerable their batting can become when early wickets fall.
Nicola Carey is one of Hobart’s most important players. Her unbeaten 66 from 53 balls against Adelaide showed that she can anchor the innings and bat deep, but she needs stronger support from the top order. Lizelle Lee has the ability to provide an aggressive start, while Rachel Trenaman and Maddy Green can help rebuild if early wickets are lost. Heather Graham and Chinelle Henry add power and all-round value in the middle and lower order.
The return of Linsey Smith is a significant boost. The left-arm spinner missed the first five matches with a quad injury but has been named in the 13-player squad for this match. She took 15 wickets in Hobart’s title-winning campaign last season and gives the Hurricanes another option to control the middle overs. Her inclusion comes in place of Chamari Athapaththu, who was retired out in the previous match against Adelaide.
Hobart also have Molly Strano, Lauren Smith and Amy Smith as bowling options. Strano has taken 24 wickets in women’s T20 matches at Bellerive Oval, while Heather Graham has 23 at the venue in the available historical record. That experience could be valuable against Brisbane’s aggressive top order.
The Hurricanes need to improve their powerplay batting and avoid allowing Brisbane’s spinners to dictate the middle overs. They have enough experience to challenge the Heat, but the batting unit must turn promising starts into a total that gives their bowlers a realistic chance.
Brisbane Heat Women Preview
Brisbane Heat have recovered well after a difficult opening to the season. They lost their first two matches but have since won three consecutive games, moving into third place with six points. Their latest victory over Melbourne Stars was a strong statement: they chased 166 with eight wickets in hand and 1.1 overs remaining.
Georgia Redmayne is central to Brisbane’s batting plans. Her unbeaten 74 from 50 balls against Melbourne Stars demonstrated her ability to control a chase without taking unnecessary risks. Orla Prendergast also made an unbeaten 52 from 36 balls in that match, giving the Heat a strong partnership through the middle overs. Charli Knott’s 30 from 24 balls provided a useful contribution at the top.
Grace Harris offers a more aggressive option. She scored 58 from 37 balls against Sydney Thunder earlier in the tournament, showing how quickly she can lift the scoring rate. Jess Jonassen, if selected, would add experience and control with spin, while Sarah Glenn and Prendergast provide further bowling options. Lucy Hamilton and Sianna Ginger have also made useful contributions with the ball.
Brisbane’s bowling was decisive in the previous meeting with Hobart. Lily Bassingthwaighte took 3/16, while Lucy Hamilton claimed 3/24, helping restrict the Hurricanes to 116/9. Sarah Glenn and Orla Prendergast also took wickets, showing the variety available to the Heat.
The main challenge for Brisbane will be adapting to Hobart conditions and handling the returning Linsey Smith. If Redmayne and Knott give them a stable start, the Heat have enough batting depth to post or chase a competitive score. Their recent form and balanced bowling attack make them strong contenders, but they should not underestimate a Hurricanes side playing at home.
Team Squad & Team News
Hobart Hurricanes Women
Nicola Carey (c), Heather Graham, Maddy Green, Chinelle Henry, Ruth Johnston, Lizelle Lee, Isa Malgioglio, Kate Pelle, Hayley Silver-Holmes, Lauren Smith, Linsey Smith, Molly Strano and Rachel Trenaman.
Important Hobart team news: Linsey Smith returns from a quad injury after missing the opening five matches. She replaces Chamari Athapaththu in the squad. Athapaththu was retired out during the previous match against Adelaide, and the coach confirmed that her selection position was not guaranteed.
Brisbane Heat Women
Georgia Redmayne (c/wk), Charli Knott, Grace Harris, Yastika Bhatia, Orla Prendergast, Annie O’Neil, Lucy Hamilton, Sianna Ginger, Mikayla Wrigley, Sarah Glenn, Lily Bassingthwaighte and other squad options. The latest match XI included the players listed above, with Redmayne, Knott, Harris and Prendergast playing key roles.
Probable Playing XI
| Hobart Hurricanes Women Probable XI | Brisbane Heat Women Probable XI |
|---|---|
| Lizelle Lee (wk) | Georgia Redmayne (c/wk) |
| Kate Pelle | Charli Knott |
| Rachel Trenaman | Grace Harris |
| Nicola Carey (c) | Yastika Bhatia |
| Heather Graham | Orla Prendergast |
| Maddy Green | Annie O’Neil |
| Chinelle Henry | Lucy Hamilton |
| Hayley Silver-Holmes | Sianna Ginger |
| Molly Strano | Sarah Glenn |
| Lauren Smith | Lily Bassingthwaighte |
| Linsey Smith | Mikayla Wrigley |
Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.
Dream11 / Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Fantasy Picks |
|---|---|
| Wicketkeepers | Georgia Redmayne, Lizelle Lee |
| Batters | Grace Harris, Charli Knott, Rachel Trenaman |
| All-rounders | Nicola Carey, Heather Graham, Orla Prendergast, Chinelle Henry |
| Bowlers | Linsey Smith, Sarah Glenn, Lily Bassingthwaighte |
Georgia Redmayne is a strong fantasy option after her unbeaten 74 against Melbourne Stars. Orla Prendergast also offers value because she can contribute in both departments, while Charli Knott has been involved at the top of Brisbane’s batting order. For Hobart, Nicola Carey’s recent 66 not out makes her a useful pick, and Linsey Smith’s return adds wicket-taking potential.
Captain Options
- Georgia Redmayne – Coming off a match-winning unbeaten 74 and offers wicketkeeping points.
- Charli Knott – Provides batting and bowling opportunities.
Vice-Captain Options
- Orla Prendergast – Scored an unbeaten 52 in the latest match and contributes with the ball.
- Nicola Carey – Hobart’s captain and recent leading run-scorer.
Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.
Weather Report
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology forecast for Saturday, 14 November indicates a very high chance of showers across Hobart, with 4–15 mm of possible rainfall. Showers are expected to be most likely in the morning and ease later, but the match begins at 3:40 PM local time, so residual showers remain a concern.
| Weather Factor | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 13–21°C |
| Rain Chance | 95% chance of rain during the day |
| Possible Rainfall | 4–15 mm |
| Wind | Southwesterly 15–25 km/h in the morning, tending westerly later |
| Conditions | Cloudy; showers expected to ease |
The forecast creates a meaningful interruption risk. A delayed start or reduced-overs match is possible if showers persist, making the DLS method relevant. Conditions may improve later in the afternoon, but both teams should prepare for a shortened contest rather than assume a full 20 overs per side.
Toss Prediction & Strategy
If Hobart Hurricanes Women Win the Toss
Hobart should consider bowling first. Linsey Smith’s return gives them another option in the powerplay and middle overs, while Nicola Carey and Heather Graham can manage the pace-bowling workload. Chasing may also be preferable if rain affects the scheduled overs.
If Brisbane Heat Women Win the Toss
Brisbane should also consider fielding first. Their bowling attack has already restricted Hobart to 116 in the previous meeting, and they can use Sarah Glenn, Lily Bassingthwaighte and Lucy Hamilton to put pressure on the Hurricanes’ top order.
Toss Prediction
Predicted toss winner: Hobart Hurricanes Women
This is a marginal call, with no meaningful statistical edge in predicting the toss itself. The more important decision is likely to be bowling first because of the chasing trend and the possibility of rain interruptions.
Score Prediction
| Batting-First Scenario | Projected Score |
|---|---|
| Hobart Hurricanes Women batting first | 140–155 |
| Brisbane Heat Women batting first | 145–160 |
Winning Chances
| Team | Winning Probability |
|---|---|
| Hobart Hurricanes Women | 44% |
| Brisbane Heat Women | 56% |
| Total | 100% |
Why the Win Percentage?
| Factor | Hobart Hurricanes Women | Brisbane Heat Women | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batting | Carey and Lee provide experience, but recent consistency is poor | Redmayne, Knott and Harris have shown better form | Brisbane |
| Bowling | Linsey Smith’s return strengthens the attack | Bassingthwaighte, Glenn and Hamilton have been effective | Even |
| All-round depth | Carey, Graham and Henry | Knott and Prendergast | Even |
| Powerplay | Have struggled to build consistent starts | More reliable recent starts | Brisbane |
| Middle overs | Smith and Strano can control the innings | Glenn and Prendergast provide control and wickets | Even |
| Death overs | Graham and Henry offer experience | Heat have recently finished games more effectively | Brisbane |
| Recent form | Five consecutive defeats | Three consecutive wins | Brisbane |
| Venue suitability | Home ground and familiar conditions | Strong historical record at Bellerive | Even |
| Head-to-head | Five wins in 20 meetings | 14 wins in 20 meetings | Brisbane |
| Player availability | Linsey Smith returns | Recent winning XI largely settled | Even |
| Weather adaptability | Home knowledge may help | Recent form gives them confidence | Even |
Key Player Matchups
| Matchup | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| Lizelle Lee vs Lily Bassingthwaighte | Bassingthwaighte took 3/16 in the previous meeting, including early wickets. If she removes Lee in the powerplay again, Hobart could be forced to rebuild rather than attack. |
| Nicola Carey vs Lucy Hamilton | Carey scored an unbeaten 66 against Adelaide and is Hobart’s most dependable recent batter. Hamilton took three wickets against Hobart last week, making this an important contest in the middle overs. |
| Georgia Redmayne vs Linsey Smith | Redmayne scored 74 not out in Brisbane’s latest match. Smith’s return gives Hobart a left-arm spin option capable of challenging Redmayne’s scoring rhythm and creating chances through the middle overs. |
Match Prediction
Brisbane Heat Women are predicted to win the 21st match of WBBL 2026, with a 56% winning probability against Hobart Hurricanes Women’s 44%. Brisbane have won their last three matches, defeated Hobart in their previous meeting and hold a strong historical record at Bellerive Oval. The return of Linsey Smith gives Hobart a better bowling combination, but Brisbane’s batting form and recent results make them favourites. The weather could still influence the outcome if rain reduces the match.
Predicted winner: Brisbane Heat Women
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