Australia vs New Zealand Prediction: Who Will Win AUS vs NZ 3rd T20 Match on 4th October 2025?
Australia vs New Zealand prediction for the 3rd T20I of the Chappell-Hadlee Trophy 2025 promises to be a thrilling encounter as the two arch-rivals lock horns at the Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. The Aussies hold a 1-0 lead in the series after winning the opening game comfortably, while the second T20I was washed out due to rain. This match, therefore, becomes the series decider. With Australia in imperious form and New Zealand aiming for redemption, cricket fans can expect an intense contest.
Match Details
| Match | Australia vs New Zealand, 3rd T20I 2025 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, October 4, 2025 |
| Time | 11:30 AM Local Time |
| Venue | Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui |
| Broadcaster | Fancode |
Australia Preview
Australia are on a sensational run in T20 internationals, winning 11 of their last 12 matches. Under the leadership of Mitchell Marsh, they’ve built a formidable side brimming with match-winners.
In the series opener, Marsh led from the front with a stunning 85 off 43 deliveries, making the 182-run chase look effortless. Alongside him, Travis Head provided aggression at the top, while Tim David has been Australia’s biggest X-factor in the middle order. His current form, with a strike rate of over 200 this year, makes him one of the most dangerous hitters in world cricket.
The team boasts enviable depth, with Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis ready to unleash fireworks in the death overs. Matthew Short and Mitch Owen add stability in the middle, ensuring there are no weak links.
On the bowling front, Josh Hazlewood and Xavier Bartlett have been excellent with the new ball, while Adam Zampa’s spin continues to choke runs in the middle overs. Sean Abbott provides crucial support as a death-over specialist. With balance in every department, Australia will be looking to seal the series 2-0.
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand find themselves under pressure after being outclassed in the first T20I. Despite posting 182 runs, their bowling faltered against Australia’s power-hitters. The one shining light was Tim Robinson, who scored a magnificent century under pressure after the team slumped to 6 for 3.
Tim Seifert, the most consistent Kiwi batter this year, remains crucial. He has piled up 449 runs in 11 innings at an average of 50 and a strike rate of 170. Partnering with Devon Conway at the top, the duo needs to give New Zealand a brisk start to challenge the Aussies.
In the middle order, Daryl Mitchell and Mark Chapman have chipped in with valuable runs, while Michael Bracewell and James Neesham bring the finishing firepower. The bowling, however, has been a concern. While Matt Henry has been reliable with 12 wickets in just five games, others like Jacob Duffy and Ben Sears must step up against Australia’s in-form lineup. Spinners Ish Sodhi and Bracewell will have key roles on the Bay Oval surface.
New Zealand need all departments firing if they are to stop Australia from clinching the series.
Squads
Australia Squad:
Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh (c), Matthew Short, Tim David, Alex Carey (wk), Marcus Stoinis, Mitchell Owen, Xavier Bartlett, Sean Abbott, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood
New Zealand Squad:
Tim Seifert (wk), Devon Conway, Tim Robinson, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Ben Sears, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy
Probable Playing XI
Australia XI:
Travis Head, Mitchell Marsh (c), Matthew Short, Tim David, Alex Carey (wk), Marcus Stoinis, Mitchell Owen, Xavier Bartlett, Sean Abbott, Adam Zampa, Josh Hazlewood
New Zealand XI:
Tim Seifert (wk), Devon Conway, Tim Robinson, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Ben Sears, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy
Australia vs New Zealand Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Travis Head | Batter |
| Mitchell Marsh (c) | Batter |
| Tim Seifert (wk) | Batter |
| Devon Conway | Batter |
| Tim Robinson | Batter |
| Tim David | All-Rounder |
| Marcus Stoinis | All-Rounder |
| Adam Zampa | Bowler |
| Josh Hazlewood | Bowler |
| Matt Henry | Bowler |
| Michael Bracewell | All-Rounder |
Captaincy Picks:
- Mitchell Marsh (in form, match-winner with bat and ball)
- Tim Seifert (consistent runs at high strike rate)
Vice-Captain Picks:
- Tim David (finisher with explosive strike rate)
- Josh Hazlewood (economical and wicket-taking)
Players to Avoid in Fantasy Team:
- Jacob Duffy (struggling with economy rate)
- Devon Conway (out of rhythm against Australian pacers recently)
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match
Australia are the favorites heading into this clash. Their form, batting firepower, and bowling balance make them the stronger side compared to New Zealand. While the Kiwis rely heavily on Seifert and Robinson to deliver, Australia’s depth means multiple players can step up and change the game. The confidence from their first T20I win adds to their edge. Unless New Zealand produce something extraordinary, Australia look set to clinch the series.
Australia T20 History
Australia have been one of the most dominant teams in T20 cricket. With 121 wins in 212 matches, they boast a win percentage close to 57%. Their aggressive style, coupled with strong bowling resources, has kept them consistently among the top-ranked T20 nations. Notably, they won their maiden ICC T20 World Cup in 2021, proving their adaptability in all conditions.
New Zealand T20 History
New Zealand have played 236 T20 internationals, winning 125. Known for producing clutch performances in big tournaments, they reached the T20 World Cup 2021 final and the semifinals in 2022. Their batting depth and knack for nurturing all-rounders have made them consistent challengers, though they often fall short in crunch games against top teams like Australia and England.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | Australia Won | New Zealand Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 |
At Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui
| Matches | Australia Won | New Zealand Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Australia have dominated New Zealand in T20Is, winning 14 of 21 matches. At Bay Oval, the Aussies also hold an advantage, winning once while another match ended without a result.
Also Check: Australia vs New Zealand Head to Head in T20
Pitch Report
The Bay Oval is known for high-scoring matches. Batters who play through the line can enjoy plenty of runs, while bowlers need variations to survive. Expect totals close to 190–200 runs for teams batting first. Spinners may come into play in the middle overs.
Weather Report
The forecast for Mount Maunganui on match day is partly cloudy with mild chances of light showers. However, rain interruptions are unlikely to be significant, and a full game is expected.
Toss Prediction
The team winning the toss is likely to bat first, as defending totals above 180 has often proven successful at Bay Oval.
Score Prediction
- If Australia bat first: 179+
- If New Zealand bat first: 143+
Match Prediction
Australia look stronger on paper and in form. With Marsh, David, and Head firing, along with Hazlewood and Zampa in control with the ball, they have the tools to overpower New Zealand again.
Winner: Australia to Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – AUS vs NZ 3rd T20
When is the AUS vs NZ 3rd T20I 2025 scheduled?
Saturday, 4th October 2025 at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui.
Who is the captain of Australia in this series?
Mitchell Marsh leads the Australian side.
Which New Zealand batter is in top form?
Tim Seifert, with an average of 50 in 2025, is New Zealand’s most consistent batter.
What is the head-to-head record between Australia and New Zealand?
Australia lead 14–6 in T20Is, with one no result.
Who are the fantasy captaincy picks for AUS vs NZ?
Mitchell Marsh and Tim Seifert are the best captaincy choices.
What is the expected score at Bay Oval?
Teams need close to 190–200 runs to feel safe while batting first.
Which players should be avoided in fantasy picks?
Jacob Duffy and Devon Conway due to inconsistent form.
Who will win AUS vs NZ 3rd T20 match?
Our prediction: Australia will win.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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