Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women Prediction – 9th Match, WBBL 2026
Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women prediction for the ninth match of the Women’s Big Bash League 2026 centres on two teams searching for their first victory of the season. Both franchises have lost their opening two league matches and are positioned near the bottom of the early standings. The match at Bellerive Oval is therefore an important opportunity to get their campaigns moving and avoid falling further behind the leading teams.
Defending champions Hobart Hurricanes have had a difficult start. They lost their opening fixture against Melbourne Stars by 18 runs after conceding 192/4, despite Lizelle Lee scoring 57 and Nicola Carey making 32. Their second match was considerably worse: Sydney Sixers scored 196/8 before dismissing Hobart for 109, resulting in an 87-run defeat. Maddy Green’s unbeaten 42 was one of the few positives in that chase.
Melbourne Renegades have also lost both matches. They were beaten by Sydney Thunder by six wickets after making 138/9, then suffered a nine-wicket defeat against Perth Scorchers despite posting 136/6. Georgia Wareham’s 62 from 39 balls and Nicole Faltum’s 48 from 49 deliveries were encouraging contributions in Perth, but the top order struggled to build a substantial platform.
Both teams have zero points, but Hobart’s net run rate is slightly worse, leaving them eighth while Renegades are seventh. The Hurricanes have home-ground familiarity and a stronger historical head-to-head record. Renegades, however, defeated Hobart in their most recent meeting during the T20 Spring Challenge in October.
Hobart’s squad also has an important availability question: captain Nicola Carey is due to play her 150th WBBL match, but the club has indicated that family commitments may affect her participation. That uncertainty could influence the balance of the Hurricanes’ XI.
Table of Contents
Match Details
| Match Information | Details |
|---|---|
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women |
| Match Number | 9th Match |
| Date | Wednesday, 4 November 2026 |
| Time | 1:40 PM IST |
| Local Time | 7:10 PM AEDT |
| Format | T20 |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval (Ninja Stadium) |
| City | Hobart, Tasmania |
| Tournament | Women’s Big Bash League 2026 |
| Stage | League Stage |
Hobart Hurricanes Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | Hobart Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2026 | Sydney Sixers Women | Lost | 109 all out | 196/8 | 87 runs |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Melbourne Stars Women | Lost | 174/8 | 192/4 | 18 runs |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Melbourne Renegades Women | Lost | 129/8 | 132/2 | 8 wickets |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Perth Scorchers Women | Lost | 136/5 | 166/8 | 30 runs |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Adelaide Strikers Women | Lost | 136/8 | 165/5 | 29 runs |
Melbourne Renegades Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | Renegades Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 | Perth Scorchers Women | Lost | 136/6 | 138/1 | 9 wickets |
| 29 Oct 2026 | Sydney Thunder Women | Lost | 138/9 | 140/4 | 6 wickets |
| 18 Oct 2026 | Hobart Hurricanes Women | Won | 132/2 | 129/8 | 8 wickets |
| 17 Oct 2026 | Sydney Thunder Women | Lost | 121/9 | 122/5 | 5 wickets |
| 14 Oct 2026 | Melbourne Stars Women | Won | 180/4 | 179/6 | 1 run |
Recent Form Comparison
- Hobart Hurricanes: Five consecutive defeats across the two competitions. Their 174 against Melbourne Stars showed batting potential, but the 109 all out against Sydney Sixers highlighted a serious consistency problem.
- Melbourne Renegades: Two WBBL defeats, but their three most recent Spring Challenge matches included two wins. Their October victory over Hobart is relevant, although it came in a pre-season competition.
- Batting: Hobart have received useful contributions from Lizelle Lee and Maddy Green. Renegades’ Georgia Wareham and Nicole Faltum were their leading scorers against Perth.
- Bowling: Hobart have struggled to contain high-scoring opponents. Renegades have also conceded runs, but their bowling options include Sophie Molineux, Georgia Wareham, Hayley Matthews and Tayla Vlaeminck.
- Momentum: Neither side has started the WBBL well. Renegades have the slight advantage from their recent Spring Challenge win over Hobart.
Hobart Hurricanes Women Preview
Hobart Hurricanes enter this match as defending champions, but their opening two results have been disappointing. They lost to Melbourne Stars by 18 runs after conceding 192/4, then suffered an 87-run defeat against Sydney Sixers. The second result was particularly concerning because Hobart were dismissed for 109 while chasing a substantial target.
Lizelle Lee remains one of Hobart’s most important batting options. Her 57 against Melbourne Stars demonstrated that she can provide an aggressive start and take advantage of the powerplay. Maddy Green’s unbeaten 42 against the Sixers was another positive, although the rest of the batting lineup could not build partnerships around her.
Chamari Athapaththu adds international experience and left-handed batting variety. Rachel Trenaman can contribute at the top or in the middle order, while Heather Graham and Chinelle Henry provide batting depth. Henry’s all-round ability is particularly useful because she can contribute with the ball as well as provide late-innings hitting.
The Hurricanes’ bowling attack has experience, but its execution has been inconsistent. Heather Graham took two wickets against Melbourne Stars, while Nicola Carey claimed three wickets against Sydney Sixers. Chinelle Henry also offers seam-bowling options, and Molly Strano and Lauren Smith provide additional bowling depth. Hobart need to prevent opposition batters from building long partnerships, especially during the middle overs.
The biggest selection question is Carey’s availability. The club’s announcement says she is in line for her 150th WBBL appearance but may have family commitments because the due date for her first child coincides with match day. Amy Smith has been ruled out for the remainder of the season with a bone stress injury, with Isa Malgioglio remaining with the squad as her replacement.
At Bellerive Oval, Hobart should look to use their familiarity with the ground to improve their bowling lengths and fielding. They need Lee and Athapaththu to give them a strong start, while Graham and Henry must contribute in both departments.
What Hobart need to do: avoid another top-order collapse, use their experienced all-rounders effectively, and improve their death-over bowling.
Melbourne Renegades Women Preview
Melbourne Renegades have also struggled to collect points, losing their opening matches against Sydney Thunder and Perth Scorchers. Their batting showed some resilience in Perth, where Georgia Wareham and Nicole Faltum rebuilt the innings after early wickets. However, the total of 136/6 proved insufficient against a Scorchers side that reached the target in only 13.3 overs.
Wareham is an important player for the Renegades because she can influence the match with both bat and leg-spin. Her 62 from 39 balls against Perth was a strong example of her ability to accelerate after a cautious start. Faltum’s 48 from 49 balls provided support, but the top order needs to contribute more consistently.
Hayley Matthews is another key all-rounder. She scored 45 from 30 balls against Sydney Thunder, but managed only seven against Perth. Her ability to contribute at the top of the order and bowl useful overs makes her central to the Renegades’ balance. Deandra Dottin and Chloe Tryon add power and all-round depth, while captain Sophie Molineux provides left-arm spin and middle-order batting.
The bowling attack has a mix of pace and spin. Tayla Vlaeminck can provide pace with the new ball, while Molineux and Wareham offer different spin options. Tess Flintoff and Milly Illingworth provide further seam-bowling choices. The team must improve its control in the powerplay after allowing Sydney Thunder to chase 139 in 17 overs and Perth to complete a chase of 137 in 13.3 overs.
The Renegades have a recent psychological boost from their eight-wicket win over Hobart in the T20 Spring Challenge. Annie Wikman scored 59 not out in that match, although the pre-season result should not be treated as a direct measure of WBBL form.
What Renegades need to do: get a better start from Matthews and Webb, allow Wareham and Dottin to attack later, and use Vlaeminck’s pace to put pressure on Hobart’s top order.
Team Squad & Team News
Hobart Hurricanes Women Squad
- Nicola Carey (captain)
- Ira Aery
- Chamari Athapaththu
- Ella Hayward
- Heather Graham
- Maddy Green
- Chinelle Henry
- Ruth Johnston
- Lizelle Lee
- Kate Pelle
- Lauren Smith
- Molly Strano
- Rachel Trenaman
Availability updates:
- Nicola Carey is named captain, but her participation is uncertain because the club has highlighted possible family commitments on the match date.
- Amy Smith is ruled out for the remainder of WBBL|12 with a bone stress injury.
- Isa Malgioglio is reported to remain with the squad as Amy Smith’s replacement, although she is not included in the published 13-player list for this fixture.
Melbourne Renegades Women Squad
- Sophie Molineux (captain)
- Georgia Wareham
- Nicole Faltum
- Tess Flintoff
- Milly Illingworth
- Tayla Vlaeminck
- Hayley Matthews
- Deandra Dottin
- Chloe Tryon
- Courtney Webb
- Olivia Porter
- Annie Wikman
- Lucy Wilson
Confirmed squad change: Olivia Porter comes into the squad in place of Sara Kennedy.
Probable Playing XI
| Hobart Hurricanes Women Probable XI | Melbourne Renegades Women Probable XI |
|---|---|
| Lizelle Lee (WK) | Hayley Matthews |
| Chamari Athapaththu | Courtney Webb |
| Rachel Trenaman | Sophie Molineux (C) |
| Maddy Green | Georgia Wareham |
| Heather Graham | Nicole Faltum (WK) |
| Chinelle Henry | Deandra Dottin |
| Nicola Carey (C)* | Chloe Tryon |
| Ella Hayward | Tess Flintoff |
| Molly Strano | Tayla Vlaeminck |
| Lauren Smith | Milly Illingworth |
| Ruth Johnston | Annie Wikman |
Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.
Dream11 / Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Fantasy Picks |
|---|---|
| Wicketkeepers | Lizelle Lee, Nicole Faltum |
| Batters | Courtney Webb, Maddy Green, Rachel Trenaman |
| All-rounders | Hayley Matthews, Chamari Athapaththu, Georgia Wareham, Deandra Dottin, Heather Graham |
| Bowlers | Sophie Molineux, Tayla Vlaeminck, Molly Strano |
Captain Options
- Georgia Wareham – Her 62 against Perth showed her ability to score quickly, and she also provides leg-spin.
- Hayley Matthews – Offers potential points through both opening batting and bowling.
Vice-Captain Options
- Lizelle Lee – Hobart’s leading recent batting option after her 57 against Melbourne Stars.
- Chamari Athapaththu – Her all-round involvement gives her multiple routes to fantasy points.
Players to Avoid
- Nicola Carey – Her selection is uncertain because of the family commitments mentioned by Hobart’s official announcement. Check the final XI before including her.
- Tess Flintoff – Her recent batting returns have been modest, so there are stronger options with more established fantasy involvement.
Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.
HBHW vs MLRW Head-to-Head – Last 5 Meetings
| Statistic | Result |
|---|---|
| WBBL Matches in the 17-match dataset | 17 |
| Hobart Hurricanes Women Wins | 11 |
| Melbourne Renegades Women Wins | 6 |
| No Result | 0 |
| Tied | 0 |
Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches
| Date | Venue | Winner | Result/Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2025 | North Sydney Oval | Hobart Hurricanes | Won by 6 wickets (DLS) |
| 21 Nov 2024 | Bellerive Oval | Melbourne Renegades | Won by 22 runs |
| 23 Nov 2023 | Bellerive Oval | Hobart Hurricanes | Won by 93 runs |
| 19 Nov 2023 | Junction Oval | Hobart Hurricanes | Won by 8 wickets |
| 7 Nov 2022 | Bellerive Oval | Hobart Hurricanes | Won by 8 wickets |
Pitch Report
Bellerive Oval generally offers a reasonable balance between bat and ball. Batters can score once they settle, but early movement and bounce can help seamers, particularly under cloudy conditions.
The middle overs can be important because the surface may offer opportunities for spin and changes of pace. Hobart have Molly Strano and Lauren Smith, while Renegades can use Sophie Molineux and Georgia Wareham. If the pitch is damp or affected by showers, seamers may receive additional assistance, and batters could find timing more difficult.
Weather Report
The Australian Bureau of Meteorology forecast for Bellerive on 4 November indicates a very high chance of showers, particularly during the afternoon and early evening. This is a significant concern for a match scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM local time.
| Weather Factor | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | Minimum 10°C, maximum 21°C |
| Rain Chance | 90% |
| Possible Rainfall | 2–9 mm |
| Wind | Westerly 15–20 km/h later in the evening |
| Conditions | Cloudy, with showers increasing |
The forecast creates a genuine risk of interruptions or a shortened match. Cloud cover and moisture could help seamers, while a damp outfield may make fielding difficult. If enough overs are lost, a DLS target could determine the result. Weather is therefore a major uncertainty in this prediction.
Broadcast Details
The Hobart Hurricanes’ official match announcement confirms Fox Cricket as the Australian television broadcaster and Kayo Sports as the streaming platform. For Indian viewers, the published regional broadcast listing names Star Sports Network and JioHotstar/FanCode
- Match start: 1:40 PM IST
- Local start: 7:10 PM AEDT
- Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart
Toss Prediction & Strategy
If Hobart Hurricanes Women Win the Toss
Hobart should consider bowling first. The forecast of showers and possible damp conditions makes it sensible to assess the target before batting. Their seamers could also benefit from the cloudy conditions if the match starts on time.
If Melbourne Renegades Women Win the Toss
Renegades should also lean towards fielding first. Their pace options, particularly Vlaeminck, could make use of any early movement, while a chase would allow Molineux and Matthews to manage the innings according to the revised target if rain interrupts play.
Toss Prediction
Predicted toss winner: Melbourne Renegades Women
This is a low-confidence toss prediction. The more important decision is likely to be bowling first, especially given the forecast risk of showers.
Score Prediction
| Batting-First Scenario | Projected Score |
|---|---|
| Hobart Hurricanes Women batting first | 140–155 |
| Melbourne Renegades Women batting first | 140–155 |
Winning Chances
| Team | Winning Probability |
|---|---|
| Hobart Hurricanes Women | 51% |
| Melbourne Renegades Women | 49% |
Why the Win Percentage?
| Factor | Hobart Hurricanes Women | Melbourne Renegades Women | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Batting | Lee, Athapaththu, Green and Graham | Matthews, Wareham, Dottin and Faltum | Even |
| Bowling | Strano, Graham, Henry and Lauren Smith | Vlaeminck, Molineux, Wareham and Tryon | Even |
| All-round depth | Athapaththu, Carey, Graham and Henry | Matthews, Wareham, Dottin, Tryon and Molineux | Renegades |
| Powerplay | Lee can provide an aggressive start | Matthews and Webb need more consistency | Hobart |
| Middle overs | Graham, Strano and Hayward | Molineux and Wareham | Even |
| Death overs | Henry and Graham offer options | Dottin, Tryon and Vlaeminck | Renegades |
| Recent WBBL form | Two defeats | Two defeats | Even |
| Recent T20 form | Five straight defeats | Two wins in the last five | Renegades |
| Venue suitability | Home ground | Away side | Hobart |
| Head-to-head | Leads 11–6 in the 17-match dataset | Six wins in that dataset | Hobart |
| Player availability | Carey uncertain; Amy Smith ruled out | Olivia Porter added to squad | Renegades |
| Tactical matchups | Lee and Athapaththu against spin | Wareham and Matthews offer all-round options | Even |
Key Player Matchups
| Matchup | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| Lizelle Lee vs Tayla Vlaeminck | Lee is Hobart’s key powerplay batter, while Vlaeminck’s pace can challenge her early. If Renegades remove Lee quickly, Hobart’s batting depth will be tested. |
| Hayley Matthews vs Heather Graham | Matthews can influence the game at the top of the order, while Graham has already taken important wickets this season. Their contest could determine whether Renegades get a strong start. |
| Georgia Wareham vs Molly Strano | Wareham is an attacking middle-order batter and a leg-spin option. Strano’s off-spin and experience at Bellerive could make this a significant middle-over battle. |
Match Prediction
Hobart Hurricanes Women receive a marginal edge in the ninth match of WBBL 2026, with a predicted winning probability of 51% against Melbourne Renegades Women’s 49%. Home-ground familiarity and Hobart’s stronger historical record at Bellerive support the defending champions. However, both teams have lost their opening two league fixtures, and Renegades beat Hobart in their recent Spring Challenge meeting. The biggest tactical question is whether Hobart can negotiate Renegades’ pace and spin options without another batting collapse.
Predicted Winner: Hobart Hurricanes Women
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