Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women Prediction – 9th Match, WBBL 2026

Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women Prediction – 9th Match, WBBL 2026

Hobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women prediction for the ninth match of the Women’s Big Bash League 2026 centres on two teams searching for their first victory of the season. Both franchises have lost their opening two league matches and are positioned near the bottom of the early standings. The match at Bellerive Oval is therefore an important opportunity to get their campaigns moving and avoid falling further behind the leading teams.

Defending champions Hobart Hurricanes have had a difficult start. They lost their opening fixture against Melbourne Stars by 18 runs after conceding 192/4, despite Lizelle Lee scoring 57 and Nicola Carey making 32. Their second match was considerably worse: Sydney Sixers scored 196/8 before dismissing Hobart for 109, resulting in an 87-run defeat. Maddy Green’s unbeaten 42 was one of the few positives in that chase.

Melbourne Renegades have also lost both matches. They were beaten by Sydney Thunder by six wickets after making 138/9, then suffered a nine-wicket defeat against Perth Scorchers despite posting 136/6. Georgia Wareham’s 62 from 39 balls and Nicole Faltum’s 48 from 49 deliveries were encouraging contributions in Perth, but the top order struggled to build a substantial platform.

Both teams have zero points, but Hobart’s net run rate is slightly worse, leaving them eighth while Renegades are seventh. The Hurricanes have home-ground familiarity and a stronger historical head-to-head record. Renegades, however, defeated Hobart in their most recent meeting during the T20 Spring Challenge in October.

Hobart’s squad also has an important availability question: captain Nicola Carey is due to play her 150th WBBL match, but the club has indicated that family commitments may affect her participation. That uncertainty could influence the balance of the Hurricanes’ XI.

Match Details

Match InformationDetails
MatchHobart Hurricanes Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women
Match Number9th Match
DateWednesday, 4 November 2026
Time1:40 PM IST
Local Time7:10 PM AEDT
FormatT20
VenueBellerive Oval (Ninja Stadium)
CityHobart, Tasmania
TournamentWomen’s Big Bash League 2026
StageLeague Stage

Hobart Hurricanes Women Last 5 Matches

DateOpponentResultHobart ScoreOpponent ScoreMargin
1 Nov 2026Sydney Sixers WomenLost109 all out196/887 runs
29 Oct 2026Melbourne Stars WomenLost174/8192/418 runs
18 Oct 2026Melbourne Renegades WomenLost129/8132/28 wickets
17 Oct 2026Perth Scorchers WomenLost136/5166/830 runs
14 Oct 2026Adelaide Strikers WomenLost136/8165/529 runs

Melbourne Renegades Women Last 5 Matches

DateOpponentResultRenegades ScoreOpponent ScoreMargin
31 Oct 2026Perth Scorchers WomenLost136/6138/19 wickets
29 Oct 2026Sydney Thunder WomenLost138/9140/46 wickets
18 Oct 2026Hobart Hurricanes WomenWon132/2129/88 wickets
17 Oct 2026Sydney Thunder WomenLost121/9122/55 wickets
14 Oct 2026Melbourne Stars WomenWon180/4179/61 run

Recent Form Comparison

  • Hobart Hurricanes: Five consecutive defeats across the two competitions. Their 174 against Melbourne Stars showed batting potential, but the 109 all out against Sydney Sixers highlighted a serious consistency problem.
  • Melbourne Renegades: Two WBBL defeats, but their three most recent Spring Challenge matches included two wins. Their October victory over Hobart is relevant, although it came in a pre-season competition.
  • Batting: Hobart have received useful contributions from Lizelle Lee and Maddy Green. Renegades’ Georgia Wareham and Nicole Faltum were their leading scorers against Perth.
  • Bowling: Hobart have struggled to contain high-scoring opponents. Renegades have also conceded runs, but their bowling options include Sophie Molineux, Georgia Wareham, Hayley Matthews and Tayla Vlaeminck.
  • Momentum: Neither side has started the WBBL well. Renegades have the slight advantage from their recent Spring Challenge win over Hobart.

Hobart Hurricanes Women Preview

Hobart Hurricanes enter this match as defending champions, but their opening two results have been disappointing. They lost to Melbourne Stars by 18 runs after conceding 192/4, then suffered an 87-run defeat against Sydney Sixers. The second result was particularly concerning because Hobart were dismissed for 109 while chasing a substantial target.

Lizelle Lee remains one of Hobart’s most important batting options. Her 57 against Melbourne Stars demonstrated that she can provide an aggressive start and take advantage of the powerplay. Maddy Green’s unbeaten 42 against the Sixers was another positive, although the rest of the batting lineup could not build partnerships around her.

Chamari Athapaththu adds international experience and left-handed batting variety. Rachel Trenaman can contribute at the top or in the middle order, while Heather Graham and Chinelle Henry provide batting depth. Henry’s all-round ability is particularly useful because she can contribute with the ball as well as provide late-innings hitting.

The Hurricanes’ bowling attack has experience, but its execution has been inconsistent. Heather Graham took two wickets against Melbourne Stars, while Nicola Carey claimed three wickets against Sydney Sixers. Chinelle Henry also offers seam-bowling options, and Molly Strano and Lauren Smith provide additional bowling depth. Hobart need to prevent opposition batters from building long partnerships, especially during the middle overs.

The biggest selection question is Carey’s availability. The club’s announcement says she is in line for her 150th WBBL appearance but may have family commitments because the due date for her first child coincides with match day. Amy Smith has been ruled out for the remainder of the season with a bone stress injury, with Isa Malgioglio remaining with the squad as her replacement.

At Bellerive Oval, Hobart should look to use their familiarity with the ground to improve their bowling lengths and fielding. They need Lee and Athapaththu to give them a strong start, while Graham and Henry must contribute in both departments.

What Hobart need to do: avoid another top-order collapse, use their experienced all-rounders effectively, and improve their death-over bowling.

Melbourne Renegades Women Preview

Melbourne Renegades have also struggled to collect points, losing their opening matches against Sydney Thunder and Perth Scorchers. Their batting showed some resilience in Perth, where Georgia Wareham and Nicole Faltum rebuilt the innings after early wickets. However, the total of 136/6 proved insufficient against a Scorchers side that reached the target in only 13.3 overs.

Wareham is an important player for the Renegades because she can influence the match with both bat and leg-spin. Her 62 from 39 balls against Perth was a strong example of her ability to accelerate after a cautious start. Faltum’s 48 from 49 balls provided support, but the top order needs to contribute more consistently.

Hayley Matthews is another key all-rounder. She scored 45 from 30 balls against Sydney Thunder, but managed only seven against Perth. Her ability to contribute at the top of the order and bowl useful overs makes her central to the Renegades’ balance. Deandra Dottin and Chloe Tryon add power and all-round depth, while captain Sophie Molineux provides left-arm spin and middle-order batting.

The bowling attack has a mix of pace and spin. Tayla Vlaeminck can provide pace with the new ball, while Molineux and Wareham offer different spin options. Tess Flintoff and Milly Illingworth provide further seam-bowling choices. The team must improve its control in the powerplay after allowing Sydney Thunder to chase 139 in 17 overs and Perth to complete a chase of 137 in 13.3 overs.

The Renegades have a recent psychological boost from their eight-wicket win over Hobart in the T20 Spring Challenge. Annie Wikman scored 59 not out in that match, although the pre-season result should not be treated as a direct measure of WBBL form.

What Renegades need to do: get a better start from Matthews and Webb, allow Wareham and Dottin to attack later, and use Vlaeminck’s pace to put pressure on Hobart’s top order.

Team Squad & Team News

Hobart Hurricanes Women Squad

  • Nicola Carey (captain)
  • Ira Aery
  • Chamari Athapaththu
  • Ella Hayward
  • Heather Graham
  • Maddy Green
  • Chinelle Henry
  • Ruth Johnston
  • Lizelle Lee
  • Kate Pelle
  • Lauren Smith
  • Molly Strano
  • Rachel Trenaman

Availability updates:

  • Nicola Carey is named captain, but her participation is uncertain because the club has highlighted possible family commitments on the match date.
  • Amy Smith is ruled out for the remainder of WBBL|12 with a bone stress injury.
  • Isa Malgioglio is reported to remain with the squad as Amy Smith’s replacement, although she is not included in the published 13-player list for this fixture.

Melbourne Renegades Women Squad

  • Sophie Molineux (captain)
  • Georgia Wareham
  • Nicole Faltum
  • Tess Flintoff
  • Milly Illingworth
  • Tayla Vlaeminck
  • Hayley Matthews
  • Deandra Dottin
  • Chloe Tryon
  • Courtney Webb
  • Olivia Porter
  • Annie Wikman
  • Lucy Wilson

Confirmed squad change: Olivia Porter comes into the squad in place of Sara Kennedy.

Probable Playing XI

Hobart Hurricanes Women Probable XIMelbourne Renegades Women Probable XI
Lizelle Lee (WK)Hayley Matthews
Chamari AthapaththuCourtney Webb
Rachel TrenamanSophie Molineux (C)
Maddy GreenGeorgia Wareham
Heather GrahamNicole Faltum (WK)
Chinelle HenryDeandra Dottin
Nicola Carey (C)*Chloe Tryon
Ella HaywardTess Flintoff
Molly StranoTayla Vlaeminck
Lauren SmithMilly Illingworth
Ruth JohnstonAnnie Wikman

Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.

Dream11 / Fantasy Prediction

RoleFantasy Picks
WicketkeepersLizelle Lee, Nicole Faltum
BattersCourtney Webb, Maddy Green, Rachel Trenaman
All-roundersHayley Matthews, Chamari Athapaththu, Georgia Wareham, Deandra Dottin, Heather Graham
BowlersSophie Molineux, Tayla Vlaeminck, Molly Strano

Captain Options

  1. Georgia Wareham – Her 62 against Perth showed her ability to score quickly, and she also provides leg-spin.
  2. Hayley Matthews – Offers potential points through both opening batting and bowling.

Vice-Captain Options

  1. Lizelle Lee – Hobart’s leading recent batting option after her 57 against Melbourne Stars.
  2. Chamari Athapaththu – Her all-round involvement gives her multiple routes to fantasy points.

Players to Avoid

  1. Nicola Carey – Her selection is uncertain because of the family commitments mentioned by Hobart’s official announcement. Check the final XI before including her.
  2. Tess Flintoff – Her recent batting returns have been modest, so there are stronger options with more established fantasy involvement.

Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.

HBHW vs MLRW Head-to-Head – Last 5 Meetings

StatisticResult
WBBL Matches in the 17-match dataset17
Hobart Hurricanes Women Wins11
Melbourne Renegades Women Wins6
No Result0
Tied0

Last 5 Head-to-Head Matches

DateVenueWinnerResult/Margin
20 Nov 2025North Sydney OvalHobart HurricanesWon by 6 wickets (DLS)
21 Nov 2024Bellerive OvalMelbourne RenegadesWon by 22 runs
23 Nov 2023Bellerive OvalHobart HurricanesWon by 93 runs
19 Nov 2023Junction OvalHobart HurricanesWon by 8 wickets
7 Nov 2022Bellerive OvalHobart HurricanesWon by 8 wickets

Pitch Report

Bellerive Oval generally offers a reasonable balance between bat and ball. Batters can score once they settle, but early movement and bounce can help seamers, particularly under cloudy conditions.

The middle overs can be important because the surface may offer opportunities for spin and changes of pace. Hobart have Molly Strano and Lauren Smith, while Renegades can use Sophie Molineux and Georgia Wareham. If the pitch is damp or affected by showers, seamers may receive additional assistance, and batters could find timing more difficult.

Weather Report

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology forecast for Bellerive on 4 November indicates a very high chance of showers, particularly during the afternoon and early evening. This is a significant concern for a match scheduled to begin at 7:10 PM local time.

Weather FactorForecast
TemperatureMinimum 10°C, maximum 21°C
Rain Chance90%
Possible Rainfall2–9 mm
WindWesterly 15–20 km/h later in the evening
ConditionsCloudy, with showers increasing

The forecast creates a genuine risk of interruptions or a shortened match. Cloud cover and moisture could help seamers, while a damp outfield may make fielding difficult. If enough overs are lost, a DLS target could determine the result. Weather is therefore a major uncertainty in this prediction.

Broadcast Details

The Hobart Hurricanes’ official match announcement confirms Fox Cricket as the Australian television broadcaster and Kayo Sports as the streaming platform. For Indian viewers, the published regional broadcast listing names Star Sports Network and JioHotstar/FanCode

  • Match start: 1:40 PM IST
  • Local start: 7:10 PM AEDT
  • Venue: Bellerive Oval, Hobart

Toss Prediction & Strategy

If Hobart Hurricanes Women Win the Toss

Hobart should consider bowling first. The forecast of showers and possible damp conditions makes it sensible to assess the target before batting. Their seamers could also benefit from the cloudy conditions if the match starts on time.

If Melbourne Renegades Women Win the Toss

Renegades should also lean towards fielding first. Their pace options, particularly Vlaeminck, could make use of any early movement, while a chase would allow Molineux and Matthews to manage the innings according to the revised target if rain interrupts play.

Toss Prediction

Predicted toss winner: Melbourne Renegades Women

This is a low-confidence toss prediction. The more important decision is likely to be bowling first, especially given the forecast risk of showers.

Score Prediction

Batting-First ScenarioProjected Score
Hobart Hurricanes Women batting first140–155
Melbourne Renegades Women batting first140–155

Winning Chances

TeamWinning Probability
Hobart Hurricanes Women51%
Melbourne Renegades Women49%

Why the Win Percentage?

FactorHobart Hurricanes WomenMelbourne Renegades WomenAdvantage
BattingLee, Athapaththu, Green and GrahamMatthews, Wareham, Dottin and FaltumEven
BowlingStrano, Graham, Henry and Lauren SmithVlaeminck, Molineux, Wareham and TryonEven
All-round depthAthapaththu, Carey, Graham and HenryMatthews, Wareham, Dottin, Tryon and MolineuxRenegades
PowerplayLee can provide an aggressive startMatthews and Webb need more consistencyHobart
Middle oversGraham, Strano and HaywardMolineux and WarehamEven
Death oversHenry and Graham offer optionsDottin, Tryon and VlaeminckRenegades
Recent WBBL formTwo defeatsTwo defeatsEven
Recent T20 formFive straight defeats Two wins in the last fiveRenegades
Venue suitabilityHome groundAway sideHobart
Head-to-headLeads 11–6 in the 17-match datasetSix wins in that datasetHobart
Player availabilityCarey uncertain; Amy Smith ruled outOlivia Porter added to squadRenegades
Tactical matchupsLee and Athapaththu against spinWareham and Matthews offer all-round optionsEven

Key Player Matchups

MatchupWhy It Matters
Lizelle Lee vs Tayla VlaeminckLee is Hobart’s key powerplay batter, while Vlaeminck’s pace can challenge her early. If Renegades remove Lee quickly, Hobart’s batting depth will be tested.
Hayley Matthews vs Heather GrahamMatthews can influence the game at the top of the order, while Graham has already taken important wickets this season. Their contest could determine whether Renegades get a strong start.
Georgia Wareham vs Molly StranoWareham is an attacking middle-order batter and a leg-spin option. Strano’s off-spin and experience at Bellerive could make this a significant middle-over battle.

Match Prediction

Hobart Hurricanes Women receive a marginal edge in the ninth match of WBBL 2026, with a predicted winning probability of 51% against Melbourne Renegades Women’s 49%. Home-ground familiarity and Hobart’s stronger historical record at Bellerive support the defending champions. However, both teams have lost their opening two league fixtures, and Renegades beat Hobart in their recent Spring Challenge meeting. The biggest tactical question is whether Hobart can negotiate Renegades’ pace and spin options without another batting collapse.

Predicted Winner: Hobart Hurricanes Women

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Cricketwebs Editorial Team is responsible for producing and reviewing cricket content across Cricketwebs, including match previews, predictions, team news, player analysis, schedules and tournament coverage. Our editorial process focuses on recent form, player statistics, team combinations, venue conditions, pitch reports and other relevant match factors. Match predictions are analytical estimates based on available information and are not guaranteed results. We aim to provide readers with clear, timely and useful cricket analysis. Stay updated with all the cricketing action, follow Cricketwebs on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram

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