Who Will Win Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women 15th ODI 2026 Match Prediction

The Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women prediction for the 15th ODI of the Women’s National Cricket League (WNCL) 2026 shapes up as a fascinating rematch between two well-matched sides, scheduled for Tuesday, 6th January 2026 at the Bellerive Oval, Hobart. Queensland Fire Women enter this contest riding a wave of confidence, having remained unbeaten throughout the season with five wins from five matches. Tasmania Women, meanwhile, have shown flashes of quality but will be keen to bounce back after their recent defeat to the same opposition.

Queensland Fire Women have looked like the most complete side in the tournament so far. Their batting has shown both resilience and firepower, while their bowling unit has consistently delivered breakthroughs at crucial moments. The depth in their lineup allows them to recover even after losing early wickets, as seen in their previous outing against Tasmania where a strong middle-order partnership laid the foundation for a competitive total. This consistency makes Queensland a formidable opponent, particularly in pressure situations.

Tasmania Women, on the other hand, have won three and lost two of their last five matches, placing them firmly in the mix but still searching for greater stability. One of their biggest positives this season has been the form of Lizelle Lee, who is currently the leading run-scorer for Tasmania with 323 runs in just four matches. However, the team has often struggled to build partnerships around her, leading to collapses when chasing large targets.

The head-to-head record between these two sides remains evenly balanced, with both Queensland and Tasmania winning two matches each in their last four encounters. This parity adds extra intrigue to the Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women prediction, suggesting that while Queensland may start as favourites due to form, Tasmania are more than capable of mounting a serious challenge.

Conditions at Bellerive Oval traditionally offer assistance to batters once they are set, but early movement with the new ball can trouble top orders. This makes the toss and first 10 overs crucial. Overall, the Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women prediction leans towards Queensland extending their unbeaten run, though Tasmania will be desperate to level the contest and reassert themselves in the WNCL standings.

Match Details

Tasmania Women Preview

Tasmania Women come into this match having won three and lost two games so far in the WNCL 2026. While their overall campaign has been competitive, their most recent loss against Queensland exposed a few familiar weaknesses, particularly in handling pressure during run chases.

In that match, Tasmania were set a challenging target of 294 runs. Openers began with promise, as Rachel Trenaman scored a composed 48, providing a solid platform. However, the innings lost momentum when the middle order failed to capitalise, and the team slipped to 111/5, placing them firmly on the back foot. Captain Elyse Villani tried to stabilise the innings with a fighting 36, while Lauren Smith also contributed 36, but the required run rate continued to rise.

The standout batter for Tasmania this season has been Lizelle Lee, who has amassed 323 runs in four matches, making her the leading run-scorer for the side. Her ability to dominate bowlers in the powerplay and convert starts into big scores makes her Tasmania’s most important asset. However, the lack of consistent support around her has often meant that her efforts have not translated into victories.

In the bowling department, Tasmania showed discipline but lacked penetration in key phases. Maisy Gibson and Courtney Sippel both picked up two wickets in the previous game, while Sippel also impressed with a late unbeaten 30, highlighting her all-round value. Hayley Silver-Holmes and Callie Wilson add variety, but the attack needs to find a way to contain Queensland’s deep batting lineup more effectively.

For Tasmania Women to challenge strongly in this fixture, their top order must shoulder more responsibility and avoid collapses in the middle overs. If they can build partnerships and give their bowlers a manageable total to defend, Tasmania have the quality to push Queensland deep into the contest.

Queensland Fire Women Preview

Queensland Fire Women have been the standout performers of the WNCL 2026 so far, winning all five of their matches and sitting comfortably at the top of the table. Their recent 32-run victory over Tasmania Women further underlined their dominance and all-round balance.

Batting has been a major strength for Queensland. In the previous encounter, they recovered from a slightly shaky start at 61/2 through a magnificent 128-run partnership between Mikayla Wrigley (88) and Lucinda Bourke (85). Both batters showed excellent temperament, rotating strike effectively before accelerating in the later stages. Their partnership ensured Queensland posted a formidable 293/8.

The depth of Queensland’s batting was evident once again when Nicola Hancock added a crucial unbeaten 39, pushing the total beyond Tasmania’s reach. This ability to score runs throughout the lineup makes Queensland particularly dangerous, as opposition bowlers find it difficult to settle into consistent plans.

Queensland’s bowling unit has complemented the batting superbly. Sianna Ginger has been outstanding, picking up 3/37 in the last match and consistently striking in the middle overs. Grace Parsons, with figures of 2/66, provided key breakthroughs, while the rest of the attack maintained pressure through disciplined lines and lengths.

Captain Georgia Redmayne has led the side calmly, contributing behind the stumps and ensuring smart field placements. Players like Laura Harris and Grace Collins add flexibility, allowing Queensland to adapt to different match situations.

Given their current form, composure under pressure, and depth in both batting and bowling, Queensland Fire Women look well placed to maintain their unbeaten run. If they execute their plans with the same clarity, they will once again be difficult to stop.

Team Squads

Queensland Fire Women:
Georgia Redmayne (C & WK), Mikayla Wrigley, Sianna Ginger, Lucinda Bourke, Laura Harris, Annie O’Neil, Nicola Hancock, Grace Collins, Ruby Strange, Grace Parsons, Bonnie Berry

Tasmania Women:
Rachel Trenaman, Ruth Johnston, Emma Manix-Geeves (WK), Naomi Stalenberg, Tabatha Saville, Hayley Silver-Holmes, Elyse Villani (C), Courtney Grace Sippel, Lauren Smith, Maisy Gibson, Callie Wilson

Probable Playing XI

Favourite Team Today – Queensland Fire Women

Queensland Fire Women are the clear favourites in today’s match due to their unbeaten run and consistent all-round performances. Their batting lineup has shown the ability to recover from early setbacks and post big totals, while the bowling unit has repeatedly delivered breakthroughs at crucial moments. Players like Mikayla Wrigley, Lucinda Bourke, and Sianna Ginger are in excellent form, giving Queensland an edge in both departments. Tasmania Women rely heavily on Lizelle Lee, and if she is dismissed early, their batting can struggle. With stronger depth, better momentum, and proven success against Tasmania earlier in the season, Queensland Fire Women are well placed to extend their winning streak.

Pitch Report

Bellerive Oval, Hobart, is traditionally a balanced surface that rewards disciplined batting and smart bowling. Early in the innings, seamers can extract some movement with the new ball, making the first 10 overs crucial. As the match progresses, the pitch tends to flatten out, allowing batters to play their shots freely. Teams that build partnerships and pace their innings well generally post competitive totals here.

Weather Report

Clear weather is expected in Hobart on match day, with no rain forecast. Mild temperatures and light winds should provide ideal conditions for a full uninterrupted ODI.

Broadcast Details

The Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women 15th ODI will be broadcast live on FanCode, offering digital streaming coverage for WNCL 2026 viewers.

Toss Prediction

Given the chasing-friendly nature of Bellerive Oval, the team winning the toss is likely to opt to bowl first and take advantage of early movement before settling into a chase.

Probable Batsman & Bowler

Probable Batsman: Lizelle Lee
Lee has been Tasmania’s most consistent batter this season, scoring 323 runs in four matches. Her aggressive approach at the top can put Queensland under pressure if she gets going.

Probable Bowler: Sianna Ginger
Ginger’s ability to pick up wickets in the middle overs makes her a key threat. Her recent figures of 3/37 highlight her knack for breaking partnerships.

Match Prediction

The Queensland Fire Women vs Tasmania Women prediction favours Queensland Fire Women. Their unbeaten run, deeper batting lineup, and disciplined bowling attack give them a clear advantage. Tasmania Women will fight hard, especially through Lizelle Lee, but unless they deliver a complete performance, Queensland Fire Women are expected to win and continue their dominant run in WNCL 2026.

Winner: Queensland Women Will Win

Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.

Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.

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