Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Prediction: Who Will Win HBH vs MLR 15th T20 BBL Match?
The Big Bash League 2025 continues with an exciting contest as Hobart Hurricanes face Melbourne Renegades in the 15th T20 match at the Bellerive Oval on Monday, 29 December 2025. This fixture arrives at an important stage of the tournament, with the Hurricanes looking to consolidate their strong start while the Renegades search for consistency. The Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction becomes particularly relevant given their recent head-to-head encounter, where Hobart secured a comfortable seven-wicket victory earlier this season.
Hobart Hurricanes, the defending champions, have carried forward their winning momentum into BBL|15. With three wins from their first four matches, they currently sit second on the points table and appear settled across departments. Their batting unit has been reliable, and the bowling attack has executed plans effectively, especially in the powerplay and death overs.
Melbourne Renegades, in contrast, have struggled to find rhythm. With only one win from two matches, they remain near the bottom of the table. While there have been individual performances of note, the Renegades have lacked consistency as a unit, particularly in the middle overs. Playing away at Hobart adds another layer of difficulty.
Bellerive Oval is known for producing competitive contests, with scores in the 165–170 range often proving decisive. With home advantage, better form, and recent dominance, this Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction slightly favours the Hurricanes, though the Renegades possess enough firepower to challenge if they execute well.
- Hobart Hurricanes are the defending champions and in strong form
- Melbourne Renegades are struggling for consistency
- Bellerive Oval generally offers balanced conditions
- Hobart won the previous meeting earlier this season
Match Details
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades, 15th T20 |
|---|---|
| Date | Monday, 29 December 2025 |
| Time | 1:45 PM (Local) |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval, Hobart |
| Tournament | Big Bash League 2025 |
Team Preview
Hobart Hurricanes Preview
Hobart Hurricanes have once again shown why they are one of the most consistent sides in the Big Bash League. Their campaign so far has been marked by balanced performances across batting and bowling units. The top order has laid strong foundations, allowing the middle order to play with freedom.
Nikhil Chaudhary has been in excellent form, scoring freely and providing momentum at the top. Ben McDermott has been the standout batter, leading the run charts for Hobart this season. His ability to anchor the innings or accelerate when required has been invaluable. Matthew Wade adds experience and calmness in the middle order, while youngsters like Mitchell Owen and Macalister Wright provide depth.
Bowling remains Hobart’s biggest strength. Riley Meredith’s pace and aggression have unsettled batters, while captain Nathan Ellis continues to be effective with variations, especially at the death. Chris Jordan brings international experience and reliability in crunch moments. The inclusion of wrist-spinner Rishad Hossain adds variety, particularly useful on surfaces that offer grip.
With home advantage and a settled playing XI, Hobart Hurricanes look well-positioned to extend their winning run.
Melbourne Renegades Preview
Melbourne Renegades have endured a mixed start to BBL 2025. While there have been flashes of brilliance, the team has struggled to put together complete performances. Tim Seifert has been their most consistent batter, scoring aggressively at the top and providing quick starts. Oliver Peake has also impressed with his fearless stroke play.
However, the middle order has been inconsistent. Experienced names like Mohammad Rizwan and Jake Fraser-McGurk have yet to fire consistently, placing pressure on the lower order. Will Sutherland’s leadership will be crucial in stabilising both batting and bowling units.
In bowling, Jason Behrendorff has led the attack with early breakthroughs, while Adam Zampa remains the key spin option. Despite these positives, the Renegades have conceded too many runs in the middle and death overs. Tightening these phases will be essential if they are to challenge a strong Hobart side.
Also Check: BBL 2025-26: Points Table, Most Runs & Most Wickets
Team Squads
Hobart Hurricanes: Mitchell Owen, Tim Ward, Nikhil Chaudhary, Matthew Wade, Ben McDermott, Macalister Wright, Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis, Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith
Melbourne Renegades: Josh Brown, Tim Seifert, Mohammad Rizwan, Jake Fraser-McGurk, Oliver Peake, Hassan Khan, Will Sutherland, Fergus O’Neill, Gurinder Sandhu, Adam Zampa, Jason Behrendorff
Probable Playing XI
| Hobart Hurricanes | Melbourne Renegades |
|---|---|
| Mitchell Owen | Josh Brown |
| Tim Ward | Tim Seifert |
| Nikhil Chaudhary | Mohammad Rizwan (wk) |
| Matthew Wade (wk) | Jake Fraser-McGurk |
| Ben McDermott | Oliver Peake |
| Macalister Wright | Hassan Khan |
| Rehan Ahmed | Will Sutherland (c) |
| Chris Jordan | Fergus O’Neill |
| Nathan Ellis (c) | Gurinder Sandhu |
| Rishad Hossain | Adam Zampa |
| Riley Meredith | Jason Behrendorff |
Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| Batters | Ben McDermott, Tim Seifert, Oliver Peake |
| All-rounders | Nikhil Chaudhary, Will Sutherland |
| Bowlers | Riley Meredith, Nathan Ellis, Adam Zampa |
| Wicketkeeper | Matthew Wade |
For this Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction, fantasy teams should lean slightly towards Hobart players due to form and home advantage. Ben McDermott is a must-pick given his consistency. Nikhil Chaudhary offers value with his batting form. Matthew Wade adds reliability and wicketkeeping points.
From Melbourne, Tim Seifert is the standout batting option, while Oliver Peake can be a differential pick. In bowling, Riley Meredith’s pace makes him a strong wicket-taking choice, while Nathan Ellis is dependable in death overs. Adam Zampa remains Melbourne’s best bowling hope.
Captain Choices: Ben McDermott, Nikhil Chaudhary
Vice-Captain Choices: Tim Seifert, Riley Meredith
Players to Avoid: Josh Brown, Fergus O’Neill
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team in Today’s Match
Hobart Hurricanes are the favourite in today’s Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction due to superior form, depth, and execution across all departments. The Hurricanes have started BBL|15 strongly, winning three of their first four matches and showcasing a balanced lineup that combines aggressive batting with disciplined bowling. Ben McDermott and Nikhil Chaudhary have provided consistent runs, while the bowling attack led by Riley Meredith and Nathan Ellis has delivered key breakthroughs at crucial stages.
In contrast, the Renegades have struggled to string together complete performances, despite individual contributions from Tim Seifert and Oliver Peake. Their bowling, particularly in middle and death overs, has been less effective, allowing opposition batters to capitalize.
Additionally, Hobart’s familiarity with Bellerive Oval conditions gives them an edge, as they understand how to pace innings and control scoring on this surface. Considering momentum, balance, and home advantage, Hobart Hurricanes are better positioned to secure a win.
Hobart Hurricanes T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 80 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Melbourne Renegades T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 | 61 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Head-to-Head: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades
| Matches | Hurricanes Won | Renegades Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Hobart Hurricanes hold a slight advantage in this rivalry, having won 12 out of 21 matches against Melbourne Renegades, with the remaining nine won by the Renegades.
Also Check: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades Head to Head in T20 – Records, Team & Players Stats
Pitch Report
Bellerive Oval typically offers a balanced playing surface that rewards both batters and bowlers. Early in the innings, fast bowlers can extract bounce and movement, making the powerplay crucial for setting the tone. Once the ball gets older, batters who have settled can capitalize on the true bounce and play through the line. Spinners may not get significant turn but can be effective with variations and accuracy. Overall, totals in the 165–175 range are competitive, and teams that execute disciplined bowling plans—especially during the middle overs—often gain the upper hand in deciding matches.
Weather Report
| Condition | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 18–22°C |
| Rain Chance | Low |
| Humidity | Moderate |
Clear and pleasant conditions are expected in Hobart, with minimal chance of rain and comfortable temperatures ideal for a full T20 contest.
Broadcast Details
The match will be broadcast live on the Star Sports Network and streamed on JioHotstar for Indian viewers. Fans internationally can follow digital streaming via official BBL platforms and licensed broadcasters in respective regions, with live commentary, real-time scores, and post-match highlights available across apps and social media.
Toss Prediction
Given the balanced nature of the Bellerive Oval surface, teams may prefer to chase targets under the scoreboard pressure. In this Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction, Melbourne Renegades are tipped to win the toss and opt to bowl first, aiming to restrict the Hurricanes early and plan a calculated chase with a known target.
Score Prediction
- If Hobart Hurricanes bat first: 165–175
- If Melbourne Renegades bat first: 145–155
Competitive totals around 170 are likely at Bellerive Oval, with disciplined bowling and fielding often determining final outcomes.
Probable Batsman & Bowler
In this Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction, Ben McDermott is expected to be the most influential batter for Hobart due to his consistency and ability to accelerate through middle overs. Nikhil Chaudhary’s top-order presence offers additional batting depth. For Melbourne Renegades, Tim Seifert remains the key batting threat, capable of strong starts and rapid scoring. Oliver Peake’s aggressive style can change momentum quickly if he gets set.
On the bowling front, Riley Meredith’s pace makes him Hobart’s primary wicket-taking option, especially early and at the death. Nathan Ellis provides disciplined control with variations that can trouble batters. For the Renegades, Adam Zampa’s spin remains a crucial wicket-taking tool in middle overs, while Jason Behrendorff’s experience and accuracy give him potential as a breakthrough bowler. These players are likely to shape the contest with their impact in key phases.
Also Check For More: Big Bash League Prediction
Match Prediction
This Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades prediction favours Hobart Hurricanes due to their strong form, effective squad balance, and home advantage at Bellerive Oval. While Melbourne Renegades possess match-winning talent, they need more cohesive performances, especially in bowling execution. Considering current trends and conditions, Hobart Hurricanes are expected to secure another win and strengthen their position in the Big Bash League standings.
Winner: Hobart Hurricanes Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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