Pakistan vs England Prediction, 4th ODI – Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026

The Pakistan vs England prediction for the fourth match of the Pakistan ODI Tri-Series 2026 favours Pakistan after their convincing 87-run victory over England in Rawalpindi. The teams meet again at Gaddafi Stadium, Lahore, on Sunday, 25 October, with Pakistan looking to strengthen their position in the three-team competition and England seeking a response after consecutive defeats in the opening stages of the tournament.

Pakistan have already demonstrated their ability to post a competitive total against England. They scored 302/9 in the second ODI, with Hasan Nawaz making 79, Arafat Minhas contributing 59 and Faheem Ashraf adding a late 39 from 26 balls. Minhas then took six wickets for 40 runs as England were dismissed for 215 in 38.4 overs.

England’s previous match against Sri Lanka was a very different contest. They scored 429/4, but Sri Lanka chased down 430 to win by two wickets with one ball remaining. Harry Brook’s side will therefore need to address both their bowling execution and their ability to close out high-scoring games.

The fourth ODI is part of a seven-match tri-series featuring Pakistan, England and Sri Lanka, with the final scheduled for 31 October. Pakistan’s recent success gives them momentum, but England have a batting lineup capable of producing substantial totals. The key questions are whether Pakistan can maintain their bowling discipline and whether England can recover from their recent defensive struggles.

Match Details

Pakistan Last 2 ODI Matches

England Last 5 ODI Matches

Recent form comparison

• Pakistan: Two wins from two matches in the tri-series. Their batting has passed 300 in both games, while their pace attack has taken all 20 opposition wickets across those matches.
• England: Two defeats in the current tri-series, but their 429/4 against Sri Lanka showed considerable batting firepower. The main concern is their bowling, which conceded 430 after failing to close out the chase.
• Momentum: Pakistan enter the Lahore fixture with the advantage. England need to translate their strong batting potential into a more complete performance.

Pakistan Team Preview

Pakistan have made an encouraging start to the tri-series, defeating Sri Lanka by 37 runs before beating England by 87 runs. Their batting has produced consecutive totals above 300, while the bowling attack has repeatedly found ways to dismiss opposition batters. That combination makes them the more convincing side entering the Lahore match.

Top-order batting

Fakhar Zaman and Saim Ayub offer an attacking opening combination, while Babar Azam provides experience and the ability to anchor the innings. Babar scored 45 against Sri Lanka and 34 against England, so his role in building a stable platform will remain important even if he is not the highest scorer.

The top order does not need to accelerate recklessly. Pakistan’s middle order has already demonstrated that it can recover from early wickets and build a substantial total.

Middle order and finishing

Salman Ali Agha’s 107 against Sri Lanka was a major contribution, and Hasan Nawaz’s 79 against England showed the value of middle-order acceleration. Arafat Minhas added 59, while Faheem Ashraf scored a rapid 39 in the England match. These contributions give Pakistan multiple routes to a competitive total.

The important tactical requirement is to preserve wickets until the final 10 overs. With Minhas, Ashraf and Shaheen Shah Afridi capable of adding useful runs, Pakistan have options to accelerate late in the innings.

Bowling attack

Pakistan’s pace attack has performed well in the opening matches. Shaheen Shah Afridi, Naseem Shah, Haris Rauf and Faheem Ashraf all contributed wickets against Sri Lanka. Against England, Minhas took 6/40, demonstrating the value of spin and variation when batters attempt to attack through the middle overs.

Powerplay, middle overs and death overs

• Powerplay: Pakistan should seek early wickets while keeping their opening batters disciplined with the bat.
• Middle overs: Minhas and the spin options can disrupt partnerships, while Babar and Salman Ali Agha can rotate strike when batting.
• Death overs: Pakistan’s lower order has shown that it can accelerate. The bowlers must still avoid conceding easy boundaries, especially against England’s aggressive hitters.

What Pakistan must do to win

Pakistan should build on their successful formula: a competitive total, early pressure with the ball and disciplined execution through the middle overs. Their home advantage and recent results make them favourites, but England’s batting strength means that Pakistan cannot afford a drop in bowling accuracy.

England Team Preview

England’s first two matches have exposed contrasting sides of their ODI cricket. They were dismissed for 215 against Pakistan, but then scored 429/4 against Sri Lanka. Their batting is capable of extraordinary acceleration, yet their bowling has struggled to defend totals when the opposition maintains pressure.

Top-order batting

Ben Duckett and Tom Banton are capable of scoring quickly during the powerplay. Banton made 57 against Pakistan, while Duckett scored 45. Joe Root’s 33 in that match provided some stability, but England still lost wickets regularly after the opening partnership.

Harry Brook, England’s captain, needs a substantial contribution from the top and middle order. The 429-run innings against Sri Lanka showed the team’s scoring potential, but the result also illustrated that batting success does not guarantee victory.

Middle order and finishing

Joe Root provides a different tempo from England’s more aggressive batters, while Sam Curran and Will Jacks can add flexibility. Jordan Cox and Jamie Overton also offer options for building partnerships and accelerating when required.

England must avoid the collapse that followed their promising start against Pakistan. Their 215 all out included a number of middle- and lower-order wickets falling in quick succession, which left the side well short of the target.

Bowling attack

England’s squad includes Gus Atkinson, Josh Tongue, Jamie Overton, Sam Curran, Adil Rashid and Liam Dawson. This gives the team pace, spin and all-round options. However, the attack conceded 430 against Sri Lanka, so the immediate priority is better control of line, length and boundary prevention.

Powerplay, middle overs and death overs

• Powerplay: England need early wickets against Pakistan’s confident top order. With the bat, they should use the fielding restrictions without exposing the middle order too soon.
• Middle overs: Adil Rashid and Liam Dawson could play important roles in controlling the run rate, while the batters must avoid allowing Pakistan’s spinners to dictate the tempo.
• Death overs: England need better execution with slower balls, yorkers and field placements. Their recent inability to defend 429 makes the final phase a major concern.

What England must do to win

England need to improve their bowling performance without sacrificing their attacking batting identity. If they can restrict Pakistan to a total below 300 and get meaningful contributions from the top order, they have the resources to challenge the hosts. Their recent form, however, leaves them with more questions to answer.

Team Squad and Team News

Pakistan squad

England squad

Probable Playing XI

Pakistan could consider Abrar Ahmed or Shadab Khan if the conditions favour additional spin. England also have Liam Dawson, Mason Crane and other squad options available for selection.

Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.

ENG vs PAK Dream11 Prediction

Captain options

1. Salman Ali Agha: Scored a century against Sri Lanka and provides batting value.
2. Arafat Minhas: Made 59 and took 6/40 against England in the second ODI.

Vice-captain options

1. Babar Azam: Offers stability and the ability to bat through the innings.
2. Sam Curran: Can contribute with both bat and ball, although his recent bowling figures warrant caution.

Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.

Head-to-Head — Pakistan vs England ODI Records

Recent head-to-head

Weather Report — Lahore

The available forecast for Sunday, 25 October, indicates sunny conditions in Lahore, with a maximum temperature of approximately 28–30°C and a low chance of precipitation. The forecast sources differ slightly on exact temperature, but both suggest little risk of rain during the match.

The forecast does not suggest a significant weather interruption risk. Warm conditions could influence workload management, but the weather is unlikely to change the prediction materially. Dew is not expected to be a major factor for a match starting in the early afternoon.

Broadcast Details

The PCB has announced regional broadcast arrangements for the tri-series. Coverage includes PTV Sports in Pakistan, Sky Sports Cricket in the UK and Ireland, and Veto’s digital service in India. Other territories have separate broadcast partners.

Toss Prediction and Strategy

If Pakistan win the toss

Pakistan should consider batting first if the surface looks dry and suitable for stroke-making. Their top order and middle order have already shown that they can build totals above 300, and setting a target would allow their pace attack to apply scoreboard pressure.

If England win the toss

England could choose to bowl first in search of early wickets, particularly after Pakistan’s strong batting performances in the opening matches. However, if the surface looks particularly good for batting, England may prefer to set a target and use their pace and spin options to defend it.

Toss prediction

Predicted toss winner: Pakistan.

This is a speculative prediction rather than a statistically supported probability. The toss itself is random, and the team winning it does not automatically gain a decisive advantage.

ODI Score Prediction

Winning Chances

Pakistan are favoured because they have won both of their completed tri-series matches and defeated England convincingly in their previous meeting. Their batting has been productive, and their bowlers have shown an ability to take wickets at regular intervals.

England’s batting remains a significant counterweight. Their 429/4 against Sri Lanka shows that they can overwhelm an attack, which is why Pakistan’s advantage is meaningful but not overwhelming.

Why These Winning Percentages?

Main reasons behind the prediction

1. Current tournament momentum: Pakistan have won both matches so far and are coming off an 87-run victory over England.
2. Bowling impact: Arafat Minhas’s 6/40 showed that Pakistan can take wickets in clusters, even against a powerful batting lineup.
3. Middle-order contributions: Hasan Nawaz, Salman Ali Agha, Minhas and Faheem Ashraf have all provided meaningful runs during the tri-series.
4. England’s defensive concerns: Conceding 430 against Sri Lanka after scoring 429 is a reminder that England’s bowling execution needs improvement.

Key ODI Player Matchups

Key Batting and Bowling Targets

• Expected top batter: Hasan Nawaz — scored 79 against England and has already shown that he can accelerate through the middle and late overs.
• Expected top bowler: Arafat Minhas — took 6/40 in the previous meeting and is a major wicket-taking option.
• Potential X-factor: Salman Ali Agha — his century against Sri Lanka demonstrates his ability to anchor an innings while maintaining a scoring rate.

These are analytical selections, not guarantees of individual performance.

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