Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women Prediction, 3rd Match WNCL 2026-27
Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women prediction for the third match of WNCL 2026-27 gives Western Australia an opportunity to carry their strong finish from last season into a new campaign when they meet Tasmania at the WACA Ground in Perth on September 29. The teams will meet again at the same venue on October 1, making these opening two fixtures particularly important for establishing early momentum.
Western Australia finished third in 2025-26 with seven wins and five defeats. More importantly, they won seven consecutive matches during the second half of the campaign before losing their final game against ACT, a result that ultimately left them short of the final.
Tasmania experienced a much more difficult campaign. After winning three consecutive WNCL titles and narrowly missing the 2024-25 final, the Tigers slipped to sixth last season with three victories and nine defeats. They have responded by appointing Maisy Gibson as captain and recruiting Alice Davidson-Richards, Ella Hayward and Kate Pelle among others.
Player availability strengthens Western Australia’s position considerably. Beth Mooney, Alana King, Heather Graham and Chloe Ainsworth are available for the opening two matches, while Lilly Mills is unavailable because of Australia A duties. Tasmania expect Nicola Carey to be available, but Rachel Trenaman and Hayley Silver-Holmes are touring India with Australia A, while Elyse Villani will miss the season as she prepares for the birth of her first child.
The recent direct rivalry also favours WA. Western Australia won both meetings in Hobart last season, successfully chasing 222 and 274. Tasmania therefore arrive in Perth needing to reverse both their recent overall form and the latest head-to-head trend.
Table of Contents
Match Details
| Match | Date | Time | Venue | Tournament/Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women, 3rd Match | 29 September 2026 | 11:30 AM IST | WACA Ground, Perth | WNCL 2026-27 |
Cricket Australia’s official schedule confirms Western Australia against Tasmania at the WACA Ground on September 29, followed by the second meeting on October 1.
Western Australia Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | WA Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | ACT Meteors | Loss | 192 | 205 | 13 runs |
| 13 Mar 2026 | ACT Meteors | Win | 175/2 | 174 | 8 wickets |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Victoria Women | Win | 276/6 | 272/6 | 4 runs |
| 16 Feb 2026 | Victoria Women | Win | 253/4 | 250/8 | 6 wickets |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Tasmania Women | Win | 274/4 | 273/6 | 6 wickets |
Western Australia won four of their final five matches last season. Their only defeat in that sequence came in their final fixture, when ACT made 205 before bowling WA out for 192. Two days earlier, WA had dismissed ACT for 174 and chased the target for the loss of only two wickets.
The batting trend is significant. WA successfully chased 251 against Victoria and 274 against Tasmania, while they also won the other Tasmania fixture after chasing 222. Their late-season success therefore involved repeated examples of the batting group handling run chases effectively.
Tasmanian Tigers Women Last 5 Matches
| Date | Opponent | Result | Tasmania Score | Opponent Score | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 | NSW Women | Loss | 209 | 246/8 | 37 runs |
| 21 Feb 2026 | NSW Women | Loss | 230 | 274 | 44 runs |
| 6 Feb 2026 | ACT Meteors | Loss | 285/8 | 295/9 | 10 runs |
| 4 Feb 2026 | ACT Meteors | Loss | 238/9 | 239/5 | 5 wickets |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Western Australia Women | Loss | 273/6 | 274/4 | 6 wickets |
Tasmania lost each of their final five matches of 2025-26. Their batting was not uniformly poor—they made 285/8 against ACT and 273/6 against WA—but the Tigers struggled to convert competitive totals into victories.
Western Australia Women Preview
Western Australia were one of the strongest teams during the second half of WNCL 2025-26. Their seven-match winning sequence put them within reach of the final, but their slow start to the season ultimately left too much work to do. Coach Becky Grundy has specifically identified starting strongly and being more ruthless in decisive phases as priorities for 2026-27.
The opening batting combination should again revolve around captain Chloe Piparo and wicketkeeper Maddy Darke. Piparo was WA’s leading WNCL run-scorer last season with 593 runs, while Darke contributed 429. Their ability to provide stability is particularly valuable because WA can then introduce Beth Mooney into an already established innings.
Mooney’s availability considerably raises WA’s batting ceiling. Rather than forcing the domestic core to carry the complete scoring burden, WA can use an experienced international batter in the top order while maintaining Piparo, Darke, Mikayla Hinkley and Mathilda Carmichael around her.
Powerplay
The WACA traditionally offers pace and bounce, so the first 10 overs should be treated as a separate tactical contest. Piparo and Darke do not necessarily need to force the scoring rate immediately if Tasmania’s seamers obtain early movement.
WA’s objective should be to reach the middle overs with wickets intact. If that happens, Mooney and Heather Graham provide the experience to increase the tempo without forcing lower-percentage shots.
With the ball, Chloe Ainsworth gives Western Australia an important powerplay weapon. She is available for the opening two matches alongside Heather Graham, while new signing Ruby Strange strengthens the pace group after joining from Queensland.
Middle Overs
This could be WA’s strongest phase.
Alana King’s availability gives Western Australia an international-quality leg-spinner capable of attacking rather than merely containing. Amy Edgar and other spin options provide additional variation, although the possible round-one XI published by Cricket Australia has King as the principal specialist spinner.
Batting against Tasmania’s middle-over attack will require a different approach. Maisy Gibson offers leg-spin, while Nicola Carey and Alice Davidson-Richards give Tasmania experienced all-round options.
WA should therefore focus on strike rotation rather than allowing Tasmania’s spinners to build consecutive dot balls.
Death Overs
Western Australia’s batting depth gives them several possible finishing combinations. Heather Graham and Chloe Ainsworth can extend the order, while Alana King is capable of contributing lower down.
The larger question is death bowling. Ainsworth, Graham, Ruby Strange and Ebony Hoskin give WA multiple pace options, meaning captain Piparo should be able to avoid over-reliance on a single bowler during overs 40–50.
WA’s biggest weakness is the possibility of repeating last season’s inconsistency. Their seven-game winning run showed their ceiling, but the defeat to ACT in the final round demonstrated how quickly qualification pressure can expose batting vulnerabilities.
To win this match, Western Australia need to use their international-player availability effectively rather than assuming it guarantees superiority. If Piparo and Darke establish the innings and King/Ainsworth control the bowling phases, WA should be difficult to beat at home.
Tasmanian Tigers Women Preview
Tasmania enter 2026-27 in transition.
Elyse Villani’s absence has created a leadership change, with experienced leg-spinner Maisy Gibson appointed captain. Tasmania have also added England all-rounder Alice Davidson-Richards, former Victoria all-rounder Ella Hayward and former NSW wicketkeeper-batter Kate Pelle.
The objective is to restore a team that had previously dominated the competition. Tasmania won three consecutive WNCL titles before missing the 2024-25 final and then falling to sixth in 2025-26.
Coach Jude Coleman has highlighted performing under pressure as a major area of preseason work. Tasmania showed periods of good batting and bowling last season but struggled to combine them consistently within the same match.
Powerplay
Tasmania’s possible round-one XI has Ella Hayward opening alongside Lizelle Lee.
Hayward is particularly interesting because she developed from an off-spinner into a genuine top-order all-rounder during her time with Victoria. Her move gives Tasmania another player who can influence multiple phases.
Lee provides aggressive scoring potential, but the WACA presents a significant challenge against Ainsworth, Graham and potentially Ruby Strange with the new ball.
Tasmania cannot afford the type of early collapse that leaves Nicola Carey and Alice Davidson-Richards rebuilding rather than controlling the middle overs.
Middle Overs
Nicola Carey is the key figure.
Carey’s all-round role gives Tasmania batting stability and an experienced seam-bowling option. Her expected availability for these opening two matches is particularly important because several other players are unavailable.
Naomi Stalenberg and Davidson-Richards should provide middle-order support, while Ruth Johnston adds another all-round option.
Against Alana King, Tasmania will need to rotate strike efficiently. Allowing King to settle into a sequence of low-risk overs would enable WA to hold their quicker bowlers back for the final phase.
Gibson’s own leg-spin gives Tasmania a potential counter to WA’s strong batting lineup. Her captaincy adds another dimension because she will have direct control over when and how she uses herself.
Death Overs
Tasmania showed last season that they can produce competitive 50-over totals. Scores of 273/6 against WA and 285/8 against ACT demonstrate that their batting ceiling is higher than a 3–9 season record might suggest.
The difficulty was finishing games.
WA successfully chased 274 against them, while ACT reached 239/5 chasing 239. Tasmania therefore need better control during the final 15 overs when defending.
Courtney Sippel, Lauren Smith, Carey and Davidson-Richards provide different bowling options. Their challenge will be preventing WA’s experienced batting lineup from entering the last 10 overs with wickets in hand.
Tasmania’s route to victory is clear: survive WA’s new-ball attack, prevent King from controlling the middle overs and force Western Australia’s less-established bowlers to defend under pressure late in the innings.
Team Squad & Team News
Western Australia Women Squad
Chloe Ainsworth, Zoe Britcliffe, Mathilda Carmichael, Maddy Darke, Amy Edgar, Heather Graham, Mikayla Hinkley, Ebony Hoskin, Alana King, Shay Manolini, Rebecca McGrath, Ines McKeon, Lilly Mills, Beth Mooney, Taneale Peschel, Chloe Piparo, Ruby Strange, Maddie White and Tegan Williamson.
Rookie: Chloe Bartholomew.
Ruby Strange has joined from Queensland, while teenage leg-spinner Tegan Williamson has earned her first state contract.
WA Availability
Beth Mooney, Alana King, Heather Graham and Chloe Ainsworth are available for the opening two matches against Tasmania.
Lilly Mills is unavailable because she is touring India with Australia A.
Tasmanian Tigers Women Squad
Nicola Carey, Alice Davidson-Richards, Maisy Gibson, Ella Hayward, Ruth Johnston, Sara Kennedy, Lizelle Lee, Caity Mair, Kate Pelle, Tabatha Saville, Hayley Silver-Holmes, Courtney Sippel, Lauren Smith, Naomi Stalenberg, Rachel Trenaman, Elyse Villani and Callie Wilson.
Rookies: Ava Curtis and Mia Barwick.
Tasmania Availability
Nicola Carey is expected to be available for the opening two matches.
Rachel Trenaman and Hayley Silver-Holmes are unavailable because they are touring India with Australia A.
Elyse Villani will miss the season, with Maisy Gibson taking over as captain.
Probable Playing XI
| Western Australia Women Probable XI | Tasmanian Tigers Women Probable XI |
|---|---|
| Chloe Piparo (c) | Ella Hayward |
| Maddy Darke (wk) | Lizelle Lee (wk) |
| Mikayla Hinkley | Nicola Carey |
| Beth Mooney | Naomi Stalenberg |
| Heather Graham | Alice Davidson-Richards |
| Mathilda Carmichael | Ruth Johnston |
| Chloe Ainsworth | Kate Pelle |
| Alana King | Courtney Sippel |
| Zoe Britcliffe | Lauren Smith |
| Ruby Strange | Maisy Gibson (c) |
| Ebony Hoskin | Callie Wilson |
Probable XIs are subject to official team announcements and the toss.
Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women Fantasy / Dream11 Prediction
| Role | Fantasy Picks |
|---|---|
| Wicketkeeper | Beth Mooney, Lizelle Lee, Maddy Darke |
| Batters | Chloe Piparo, Mikayla Hinkley, Naomi Stalenberg |
| All-rounders | Heather Graham, Nicola Carey, Alice Davidson-Richards |
| Bowlers | Alana King, Chloe Ainsworth, Maisy Gibson |
Captain Options
- Heather Graham — all-round involvement creates opportunities with both bat and ball.
- Nicola Carey — Tasmania’s experienced all-rounder should have a substantial role in both innings.
Vice-Captain Options
- Beth Mooney — elite batting quality and expected top-order involvement.
- Alana King — wicket-taking leg-spin becomes particularly valuable through the middle overs.
Players to Avoid
- Lilly Mills — unavailable because of Australia A duties.
- Rachel Trenaman — unavailable while touring India with Australia A.
Fantasy suggestions are for informational purposes only and are not guaranteed to produce points or returns.
Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women Head-to-Head
| Statistic | Result |
|---|---|
| Total WNCL Matches | 12 |
| Western Australia Women Wins | 4 |
| Tasmanian Tigers Women Wins | 8 |
| No Results | 0 |
Last 5 Head-to-Head Meetings
| Date | Venue | Winner | Result/Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan 2026 | Hobart | Western Australia | WA won by 6 wickets |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Hobart | Western Australia | WA won by 5 wickets |
| 26 Sep 2024 | WACA Ground, Perth | Tasmania | Tasmania won by 1 wicket |
| 24 Sep 2024 | WACA Ground, Perth | Tasmania | Tasmania won by 52 runs |
| 3 Feb 2024 | Hobart | Tasmania | Tasmania won by 52 runs |
Tasmania have won three of the most recent five meetings and still hold the stronger overall record, but the direction of the rivalry has changed recently. Western Australia won both 2025-26 fixtures in Hobart, including a chase of 274/4.
Pitch Report
The WACA is traditionally associated with pace and bounce, and those characteristics remain tactically relevant in 50-over cricket.
The first 10 overs should provide the quickest conditions for the seamers. Chloe Ainsworth, Heather Graham and Ruby Strange can attack Tasmania’s top order, while Nicola Carey, Courtney Sippel and Alice Davidson-Richards give Tasmania options against WA’s openers.
Batters who survive the new ball should find more scoring opportunities once it loses hardness. The key is avoiding a powerplay collapse rather than trying to dominate every delivery.
Spin should become increasingly important through the middle overs. Alana King gives WA a genuine wicket-taking leg-spin option, while Tasmania captain Maisy Gibson can perform a similar role.
This creates an interesting contrast: the WACA’s reputation encourages teams to focus on fast bowling, but overs 15–40 could decide this particular match because both teams possess high-quality spin options.
As a day-night match develops, batting conditions can also change. Rather than assuming the second innings will automatically become easier, teams will need to respond to cloud cover, moisture and the behaviour of the ball under lights.
A first-innings side reaching the final 10 overs with six or seven wickets intact should be capable of substantially increasing the scoring rate.
Weather Report — Perth
The Bureau of Meteorology’s current Perth-area forecast for Tuesday, September 29 calls for partly cloudy conditions, a maximum around 21°C, and a meaningful possibility of showers. The latest Perth Airport forecast gives a 70% chance of any rain, with possible rainfall of 0–2 mm and westerly winds around 15–20 km/h developing during the day.
| Weather Factor | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Temperature | Around 11–21°C |
| Rain Chance | Up to 70% in the latest Perth-area forecast |
| Possible Rainfall | 0–2 mm |
| Wind | Westerly around 15–20 km/h during the day |
| Conditions | Partly cloudy, possible showers |
The rainfall amount is forecast to be relatively small even though the probability of seeing some rain is significant. That means a full washout is not the primary expectation, but brief interruptions cannot be dismissed.
Cloud cover and cool conditions could also enhance the new-ball challenge. If showers shorten the game, batting depth and the ability to accelerate immediately become more important.
DLS/Interruption Risk: Moderate
Weather therefore slightly increases uncertainty in the prediction rather than creating a strong No Result expectation.
Broadcast Details
Cricket Australia’s official WNCL match listing shows Kayo and Cricket.com.au as viewing options for Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women. The match is scheduled at the WACA Ground on September 29.
Match start: 11:30 AM IST.
Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women Toss Prediction & Strategy
If Western Australia Women Win the Toss
WA should consider bowling first.
Their strongest immediate advantage is the availability of Ainsworth, Graham and a deeper pace group in cool, potentially cloudy Perth conditions. Bowling first would allow them to attack Tasmania before the surface settles.
WA were also excellent chasing during their winning sequence last season. They successfully chased targets against Tasmania, Victoria and ACT, so there is recent evidence supporting that strategy.
If Tasmanian Tigers Women Win the Toss
Tasmania should also seriously consider bowling first.
Their best route to an upset may involve using Carey, Davidson-Richards and the seam attack against WA before Mooney and the middle order can establish control.
However, Tasmania must also consider the possibility of interruptions. If the forecast deteriorates closer to the match, chasing can provide more clarity around DLS requirements.
Toss Prediction
Predicted toss winner: Western Australia Women
A toss prediction is inherently speculative and does not influence the underlying match-strength assessment.
ODI Score Prediction
| Scenario | Projected Score |
|---|---|
| Western Australia Women batting first | 260–280 |
| Tasmanian Tigers Women batting first | 240–260 |
Projected Competitive Score
A first-innings total around 260–275 should be competitive under the expected conditions.
WA’s projection is slightly higher because their possible top four includes Piparo, Darke, Hinkley and Mooney, followed by Graham and Carmichael.
Tasmania can exceed the projected range if Lee or Carey bats deep. They made 273/6 against WA and 285/8 against ACT last season, demonstrating that their batting is capable of reaching substantial totals.
If Chasing
A target below 240 would likely leave the bowling side with limited margin for error.
Around 260 creates a more balanced contest, while 275-plus would apply substantial pressure to either batting lineup.
Western Australia’s recent chasing record gives them greater confidence in a chase, especially after successfully pursuing 274 against Tasmania last season.
Winning Chances
| Team | Winning Probability |
|---|---|
| Western Australia Women | 61% |
| Tasmanian Tigers Women | 39% |
Why the Win Percentage?
| Factor | Western Australia Women | Tasmanian Tigers Women | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-order batting | Piparo, Darke, Hinkley, Mooney | Hayward, Lee, Carey | Western Australia |
| Middle-order batting | Graham, Carmichael, Ainsworth | Stalenberg, Davidson-Richards, Johnston | Even |
| Finishing | Good all-round depth | Several all-rounders | Even |
| Powerplay batting | Experienced core | New opening combination possible | Western Australia |
| Middle-over batting | Strong | Strong all-round options | Even |
| Death batting | Multiple contributors | Carey/ADR provide experience | Even |
| New-ball bowling | Ainsworth, Graham, Strange | Carey, Sippel, Davidson-Richards | Western Australia |
| Spin bowling | Alana King | Maisy Gibson | Western Australia |
| Death bowling | Multiple pace options | Capable seam group | Western Australia |
| All-round depth | Excellent | Excellent | Even |
| Recent form | 4 wins in last 5 | 5 losses in last 5 | Western Australia |
| Venue suitability | Home ground | Away | Western Australia |
| Pitch suitability | Strong pace + King | Useful seam/all-round attack | Western Australia |
| Squad availability | Four CA-contracted players available | Carey available; two Australia A absences | Western Australia |
| Recent H2H | Won last two | Lost last two | Western Australia |
| Historical H2H | 4 wins from verified 12-match dataset | 8 wins | Tasmania |
| Home advantage | Yes | No | Western Australia |
Four factors carry the greatest weight.
First, WA finished third last season and won seven consecutive matches during their late-season surge. Tasmania finished sixth and lost their final five games.
Second, WA have unusually strong availability for the opening round. Mooney, King, Graham and Ainsworth being available significantly increases both batting and bowling quality.
Third, WA won both recent head-to-head matches in Hobart. They did so while chasing, including a successful pursuit of 274.
Tasmania’s strongest counterargument is their historical H2H advantage and the quality of their new all-round recruits. This is why the prediction remains 61–39 rather than becoming excessively one-sided.
Key ODI Player Matchups
| Matchup | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| Lizelle Lee vs Chloe Ainsworth | Tasmania’s attacking opener against WA’s new-ball wicket threat could define the powerplay. |
| Beth Mooney vs Maisy Gibson | Tasmania may use their captain’s leg-spin to prevent Mooney from controlling the middle overs. |
| Nicola Carey vs Alana King | Carey’s ability to rotate strike against King’s leg-spin could determine whether Tasmania maintain momentum through overs 20–40. |
Key Batting & Bowling Targets
Expected Top Batter
Beth Mooney
Mooney’s availability transforms WA’s batting structure. She enters a lineup already containing Piparo and Darke, meaning Western Australia do not need her to take excessive risks immediately.
Expected Top Bowler
Alana King
The WACA naturally attracts attention toward fast bowling, but King’s leg-spin could be decisive once the ball softens and Tasmania attempt to increase their middle-over scoring rate.
Potential X-Factor
Nicola Carey
Carey gives Tasmania a route to changing the predicted result because she can influence both innings. A substantial middle-order contribution combined with wickets would significantly reduce WA’s projected advantage.
Western Australia Women vs Tasmanian Tigers Women Match Prediction 3rd ODI
Western Australia Women are projected as the stronger side for the opening WNCL 2026-27 meeting at the WACA Ground, with a 61% winning probability compared with Tasmania’s 39%.
WA finished third last season, won four of their final five matches and beat Tasmania twice in their latest head-to-head encounters. The availability of Beth Mooney, Alana King, Heather Graham and Chloe Ainsworth further strengthens the home side.
Tasmania possess enough all-round quality to challenge, particularly through Nicola Carey and their new recruits, but their top order must survive WA’s powerplay bowling.
Prediction: Western Australia Women to win.
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