Tasmania vs New South Wales Prediction: Who Will Win TAS vs NSW 20th ODI Match on 21st February 2026?
The Tasmania vs New South Wales prediction for the 20th ODI of the Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 promises a high-intensity encounter at Bellerive Oval. With Tasmania already securing their place in next month’s final, this fixture could act as a dress rehearsal for the title clash. New South Wales, currently sitting second on the table, will look to solidify their spot and gain psychological advantage ahead of the playoffs.
Earlier this season, Tasmania edged New South Wales by two wickets in a last-over thriller, ending a run of four straight defeats against NSW in this format. That result demonstrated Tasmania’s improved composure in tight situations. However, they suffered a narrow one-wicket defeat to Western Australia in their previous outing despite centuries from Beau Webster and Tim Ward. Openers Mitchell Owen and Caleb Jewell, who are typically reliable in this format, fell for golden ducks in that match and will be eager to respond.
New South Wales, meanwhile, bounced back strongly with a convincing seven-wicket win over South Australia. Kurtis Patterson led from the front with an unbeaten century, while Liam Hatcher and Charlie Stobo set the tone with aggressive new-ball bowling. Tanveer Sangha’s spin continues to be a crucial weapon in middle overs.
The Hobart surface is traditionally bowler-friendly, favoring disciplined seamers and accurate spinners. With both teams possessing balanced squads and match-winners across departments, fans can expect a closely fought contest. Cricketwebs provides complete match prediction insights including fantasy tips, pitch analysis, and winning probabilities.
Match Details
| Match | TAS vs NSW, 20th ODI 2026 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 21st February 2026 |
| Time | 8:30 AM IST |
| Venue | Bellerive Oval, Hobart |
| Tournament | Marsh One-Day Cup 2026 |
| Broadcast | Fancode & YouTube |
Tasmania Preview
Tasmania have been one of the standout teams this season, displaying consistency across both batting and bowling departments. Having already secured a place in the final, they approach this fixture with confidence and minimal pressure.
Their recent defeat to Western Australia, however, exposed vulnerabilities. Despite centuries from Beau Webster and Tim Ward, the team fell short by one wicket. The golden ducks from openers Mitchell Owen and Caleb Jewell were unexpected setbacks. Both players are aggressive batters capable of dominating powerplays, and a strong start will be crucial on Hobart’s pace-friendly track.
Webster has been exceptional, providing stability and acceleration when required. Ben McDermott adds explosiveness in the middle order, while skipper Jordan Silk offers composure and tactical acumen. Nikhil Chaudhary and Will Prestwidge strengthen the all-round depth.
Bowling remains Tasmania’s biggest strength. Riley Meredith’s pace and aggression can unsettle top-order batters, especially with the new ball. Aidan O’Connor provides control in the middle overs, while Raf MacMillan adds support. Their ability to defend totals under pressure makes them formidable at home.
If Tasmania bat first and post a score above 245, they will be extremely difficult to chase down at Bellerive Oval.
New South Wales Preview
New South Wales regained momentum with a comprehensive win over South Australia. Kurtis Patterson’s unbeaten century highlighted his class and leadership. With Josh Philippe and Sam Konstas at the top, NSW possess attacking options capable of putting bowlers under early pressure.
Matthew Gilkes and Lachlan Shaw strengthen the middle order, while Joel Davies and Chris Green provide all-round flexibility. Green’s ability to contribute late runs and bowl economical overs is vital in tight matches.
The bowling unit has looked sharp. Liam Hatcher and Charlie Stobo were outstanding with the new ball in the previous game, taking four wickets between them. Tanveer Sangha remains one of the most reliable spinners in domestic cricket and can exploit Hobart’s conditions effectively. Ryan Hadley adds depth to the seam attack.
Historically, NSW have enjoyed success against Tasmania, but their consistency has fluctuated this season. If their top order clicks and bowlers maintain discipline, they are more than capable of challenging the table-toppers.
Team Squad
Tasmania Squad
Mitchell Owen, Caleb Jewell, Beau Webster, Ben McDermott (wk), Tim Ward, Jordan Silk (c), Nikhil Chaudhary, Will Prestwidge, Aidan O’Connor, Raf MacMillan, Riley Meredith.
New South Wales Squad
Sam Konstas, Josh Philippe (wk), Kurtis Patterson (c), Matthew Gilkes, Lachlan Shaw, Joel Davies, Liam Hatcher, Chris Green, Charlie Stobo, Tanveer Sangha, Ryan Hadley.
Probable Playing XI
Tasmania: Owen, Jewell, Webster, McDermott (wk), Ward, Silk (c), Chaudhary, Prestwidge, O’Connor, MacMillan, Meredith.
New South Wales: Konstas, Philippe (wk), Patterson (c), Gilkes, Shaw, Davies, Hatcher, Green, Stobo, Sangha, Hadley.
Tasmania vs New South Wales Today’s Fantasy Prediction – 21st February
| Player | Team | Role |
|---|---|---|
| Beau Webster | TAS | All-rounder |
| Kurtis Patterson | NSW | Batter |
| Josh Philippe | NSW | WK |
| Ben McDermott | TAS | WK |
| Tim Ward | TAS | Batter |
| Chris Green | NSW | All-rounder |
| Riley Meredith | TAS | Bowler |
| Liam Hatcher | NSW | Bowler |
| Tanveer Sangha | NSW | Bowler |
| Aidan O’Connor | TAS | Bowler |
| Jordan Silk | TAS | Batter |
Explanation: This team balances top-order batters, wicketkeepers, and impact bowlers. Webster and Green provide dual scoring potential.
Captain Options: Beau Webster, Kurtis Patterson
Vice-Captain Options: Riley Meredith, Josh Philippe
Players to Avoid: Raf MacMillan, Ryan Hadley
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team – Why?
Tasmania are favorites due to home advantage and overall season consistency. Their bowling attack, led by Meredith, thrives on Hobart’s conditions. With in-form batters like Webster and Ward, they have match-winning depth. NSW are strong but slightly inconsistent compared to Tasmania’s balanced approach.
Tasmania ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299 | 119 | 170 | 6 | 4 |
Tasmania have a competitive but fluctuating ODI record, often strong at home but inconsistent across seasons.
New South Wales ODI History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 320 | 173 | 140 | 3 | 4 |
NSW boast one of the strongest domestic ODI records, with sustained success over multiple decades.
Pitch Report
Bellerive Oval offers assistance to seamers early due to movement and bounce. Batters must apply patience initially. Spinners come into play during middle overs. A first-innings score around 240–250 is competitive.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Temperature | 18–22°C |
| Rain Chances | 10% |
| Humidity | 70% |
| Wind | Moderate |
| Conditions | Partly Cloudy |
Weather is expected to remain clear with slight cloud cover aiding seamers early.
Broadcast Details
Live streaming will be available on Fancode and YouTube. Fans can follow live scores and commentary via official cricket platforms.
Toss Prediction
Given Hobart’s pitch behavior, teams may prefer batting first to avoid chasing under pressure. Toss Winner Prediction: New South Wales.
Score Prediction
If Tasmania bat first: 245+
If New South Wales bat first: 233+
Probable Best Batsman & Bowler
Beau Webster is the leading candidate for top scorer after his recent century. Kurtis Patterson remains NSW’s most reliable batter.
Riley Meredith’s pace makes him the most threatening bowler. Tanveer Sangha could trouble Tasmania’s middle order with spin.
Tasmania vs New South Wales Winning Chances?
| Team | Winning % | Why | Why Not |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tasmania | 75% | Home advantage, strong bowling | Recent narrow loss |
| NSW | 25% | Strong batting depth | Inconsistent season |
Match Prediction
Tasmania’s balance, home conditions, and consistent bowling give them a clear edge in this top-two clash. While NSW have the firepower to challenge, Tasmania’s composure and familiarity with Bellerive Oval make them favorites.
Prediction: Tasmania Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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