South Africa vs New Zealand Prediction: Who Will Win SA vs NZ 24th T20 Match on 14th February 2026?
The South Africa vs New Zealand prediction for the 24th T20 of the ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026 sets up a blockbuster Group D clash between two unbeaten teams at the magnificent Narendra Modi Stadium. Both sides have won their opening two matches, but the manner of their victories has been contrasting. New Zealand have looked dominant, particularly during their record-breaking 175-run opening partnership between Finn Allen and Tim Seifert while chasing 174 against UAE.
South Africa, meanwhile, survived a thrilling double Super Over contest against Afghanistan after both sides tied at 187. The Proteas eventually prevailed in dramatic fashion, showcasing resilience under pressure. Quinton de Kock has an outstanding record at Ahmedabad, scoring 149 runs in three T20Is at this venue, while Lungi Ngidi has been exceptional in the tournament with 7 wickets in just two matches. With explosive top orders, quality pace attacks, and high stakes attached to finishing top of Group D, this SA vs NZ 24th T20 2026 promises fireworks under lights in Ahmedabad.
- Unbeaten Giants Collide: Both South Africa and New Zealand have won their first two matches. This encounter could determine the Group D topper and secure a smoother Super 8 pathway.
- New Zealand’s Explosive Start: Finn Allen and Tim Seifert created history with a 175-run partnership against UAE. Their fearless powerplay batting gives NZ early momentum in most matches.
- South Africa’s Grit Under Pressure: The Proteas survived a dramatic double Super Over thriller against Afghanistan, demonstrating composure and clutch finishing ability.
- Key Match Factors: Ahmedabad’s surface favors pace and high-scoring contests. South Africa’s stronger bowling depth and head-to-head advantage (11-7) provide them a statistical edge.
Match Details
| Match | SA vs NZ, 24th T20 |
|---|---|
| Date | Saturday, 14th February 2026 |
| Time | 7:00 PM Local |
| Venue | Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad |
| Tournament | ICC Men’s T20 World Cup 2026 |
| Broadcast | JioHotstar, Star Sports Network |
Team Previews
South Africa Preview
South Africa head into this top-of-the-table Group D clash at Narendra Modi Stadium with momentum firmly on their side. Two wins from two matches have positioned the Proteas strongly, but their recent double Super Over thriller against Afghanistan exposed both their resilience and areas needing refinement. Posting 187 in regulation play showed their batting strength, yet defensive lapses at the death forced the game into dramatic territory. Ultimately, their composure under extreme pressure proved decisive — a hallmark of a side maturing tactically in high-stakes tournaments.
The top order has delivered consistently. Quinton de Kock remains pivotal, especially at this venue where he has historically performed well. His ability to anchor innings while maintaining tempo is crucial in Ahmedabad, where early pace assistance transitions into a flatter surface. Ryan Rickelton has complemented him with aggressive stroke play, already compiling impactful runs in this tournament.
Captain Aiden Markram brings balance to the middle order. His recent white-ball form underlines his importance as both stabilizer and accelerator. David Miller and Tristan Stubbs provide finishing power, capable of turning competitive totals into match-winning ones during the final five overs.
Bowling is where South Africa arguably hold their strongest advantage. Lungi Ngidi has been exceptional, claiming seven wickets in two matches through disciplined seam movement and variations. Kagiso Rabada, despite an expensive over previously, remains a strike weapon capable of early breakthroughs. Marco Jansen’s height and bounce create awkward angles, particularly under lights. Spin options like Keshav Maharaj offer control, even if Ahmedabad traditionally favors pace.
If South Africa tighten their death bowling and convert strong starts into dominant finishes, they possess the complete toolkit to outmatch New Zealand in what promises to be a high-quality contest.
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand have arguably been the most explosive team in Group D so far. Their emphatic 10-wicket chase of 174 against UAE highlighted a ruthless batting approach rarely seen at ICC events. Finn Allen and Tim Seifert’s record-breaking 175-run partnership underscored New Zealand’s ability to dismantle attacks in the powerplay itself, effectively deciding matches within the first 10 overs.
Allen has been in exceptional form, blending clean ball-striking with calculated aggression. Seifert complements him with fearless intent, ensuring bowlers are under immediate pressure. This dynamic opening combination sets the tone for New Zealand’s innings.
The middle order remains equally dangerous. Glenn Phillips offers versatility — capable of explosive acceleration and part-time spin. Daryl Mitchell provides stability and finishing strength, while Mark Chapman’s adaptability allows tactical flexibility depending on match situation.
With the ball, New Zealand rely on pace depth. Matt Henry and Lockie Ferguson bring speed and bounce, particularly effective in early overs. Jacob Duffy has maintained disciplined lines. Captain Mitchell Santner’s left-arm spin adds strategic control in middle overs.
However, New Zealand face a stern test against South Africa’s powerful batting lineup. Their ability to handle pressure when early wickets fall remains a question. If their top order is neutralized, the middle order must assume greater responsibility.
New Zealand’s balance of aggression and tactical discipline makes them formidable. But to edge South Africa, they must execute consistently across all phases — particularly in the death overs where Ahmedabad conditions can reward calculated hitting.
Team Squads
South Africa Squad
Aiden Markram (c), Quinton de Kock (wk), Ryan Rickelton, Dewald Brevis, David Miller, Tristan Stubbs, Marco Jansen, George Linde, Kagiso Rabada, Keshav Maharaj, Lungi Ngidi, Corbin Bosch, Jason Smith, Anrich Nortje, Kwena Maphaka.
New Zealand Squad
Mitchell Santner (c), Tim Seifert (wk), Finn Allen, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, James Neesham, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy, Ish Sodhi, Kyle Jamieson, Devon Conway, Cole McConchie.
Probable Playing XI
South Africa
Quinton de Kock (wk), Ryan Rickelton, Aiden Markram (c), Dewald Brevis, Tristan Stubbs, David Miller, Marco Jansen, Keshav Maharaj, Kagiso Rabada, Lungi Ngidi, Anrich Nortje.
New Zealand
Finn Allen, Tim Seifert (wk), Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (c), James Neesham, Matt Henry, Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy.
South Africa vs New Zealand Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Quinton de Kock |
| Batters | Finn Allen, Ryan Rickelton, Glenn Phillips |
| All-rounders | Aiden Markram, Daryl Mitchell, Marco Jansen |
| Bowlers | Lungi Ngidi, Kagiso Rabada, Lockie Ferguson, Matt Henry |
This fantasy lineup focuses on form, venue conditions, and dual-impact players. Quinton de Kock is a strong wicketkeeper option due to his top-order role and excellent record at Ahmedabad. Finn Allen is selected for his explosive starts, though he carries risk. Ryan Rickelton provides consistency and recent form reliability.
Aiden Markram and Daryl Mitchell strengthen the all-round balance, both capable of stabilizing innings and contributing with the ball if required. Marco Jansen offers wicket-taking ability and lower-order hitting value.
In bowling, Lungi Ngidi is a must-pick given his seven wickets in two matches. Kagiso Rabada and Lockie Ferguson provide pace firepower, particularly effective with the new ball. Matt Henry’s consistency adds control in middle overs.
This combination ensures representation from both teams’ key match-winners while maximizing fantasy points through multi-dimensional players.
Captain & Vice-Captain Options
Captain Choices:
- Lungi Ngidi
- Quinton de Kock
Vice-Captain Choices:
- Finn Allen
- Aiden Markram
Players to Avoid
- George Linde – Limited impact in pace-friendly conditions.
- Jacob Duffy – Lower wicket-taking upside compared to Ferguson/Henry.
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team – South Africa (Why?)
South Africa hold a slight edge due to superior bowling depth and stronger head-to-head record. Their pace trio of Ngidi, Rabada, and Jansen is well-suited to Ahmedabad’s conditions. Additionally, their recent Super Over victory reflects composure under pressure. While New Zealand’s batting is explosive, South Africa’s balance between batting firepower and bowling control gives them the advantage in a high-intensity encounter.
South Africa T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | 119 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
South Africa maintain a strong T20 record with consistent ICC tournament performances and a win ratio above 54%, reflecting their balanced squad strength.
New Zealand T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 131 | 110 | 11 | 1 |
New Zealand are seasoned T20 competitors, frequently reaching knockout stages in global tournaments with a win rate above 51%.
South Africa vs New Zealand – Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches Played | South Africa Won | New Zealand Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
South Africa hold the advantage in the T20I rivalry, winning 11 of 18 encounters. While New Zealand have claimed seven victories, the Proteas’ superior record highlights their ability to outperform the Black Caps in key moments.
Also Check: New Zealand vs South Africa Head to Head in T20 – Records, Team & Players Stats
Pitch Report – Narendra Modi Stadium
The surface at Narendra Modi Stadium generally offers good bounce and pace, especially in night fixtures. Early overs favor seamers who can exploit movement under lights. As the game progresses, the pitch flattens, allowing stroke-makers to capitalize. Spinners may get limited grip but are more effective when bowling into larger boundaries. Scores above 165 are competitive here in T20Is. Dew often becomes a factor in evening matches, making chasing slightly advantageous. Teams with strong pace attacks and disciplined death bowling typically succeed at this venue.
Weather Report (Match Day Overview)
| Factor | Forecast |
|---|---|
| Conditions | Hazy Sunshine |
| Max Temperature | 35°C |
| Evening Temperature | 22–25°C |
| Rain Probability | 0% |
| Humidity | Moderate |
Hot afternoon conditions expected, cooling slightly in the evening. No rain threat, ensuring a full match without interruptions.
Broadcast Details
The South Africa vs New Zealand 24th T20 match will be broadcast live on JioHotstar (digital streaming platform) and the Star Sports Network across television channels. Viewers can access live commentary, expert analysis, match highlights, and multilingual coverage. International audiences can follow updates through official ICC platforms and regional broadcast partners.
Toss Prediction
Given the dew factor at Ahmedabad during night matches, captains often prefer chasing to take advantage of improved batting conditions under lights. However, posting a strong total above 170 can also create scoreboard pressure. Expect the toss-winning captain to opt for bowling first to assess conditions and chase accordingly.
Toss Winner Prediction: New Zealand
Likely Decision: Bowl First
Probable Batsman & Bowler
For South Africa, Quinton de Kock remains the most probable top scorer due to his familiarity with the Ahmedabad surface and ability to anchor innings. Ryan Rickelton is another strong candidate after his recent aggressive performances. From New Zealand, Finn Allen stands out with his explosive powerplay batting, capable of turning the game inside the first six overs.
With the ball, Lungi Ngidi is the leading wicket-taking threat, already claiming seven wickets in two matches in this tournament. His seam movement and control make him dangerous in both powerplay and death overs. Lockie Ferguson offers pace and bounce, which could trouble South Africa’s middle order. Expect pace bowlers from both sides to dominate wicket charts in this encounter.
Match Prediction
Both teams are unbeaten and evenly matched, but South Africa’s superior bowling depth and stronger head-to-head record give them a slight advantage. If their top order fires and Ngidi continues his wicket-taking form, the Proteas should edge out New Zealand in a high-scoring thriller.
Our Prediction: South Africa Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – SA vs NZ 24th T20
Who will win the South Africa vs New Zealand 24th T20 match?
South Africa appear slight favorites due to their stronger bowling depth and superior head-to-head record (11–7). However, New Zealand’s explosive top order makes them a dangerous opponent.
Where is the SA vs NZ match being played?
The match will be played at the Narendra Modi Stadium, one of the largest cricket stadiums in the world.
What is the head-to-head record between South Africa and New Zealand in T20Is?
Both teams have faced each other 18 times in T20Is. South Africa have won 11 matches, while New Zealand have won 7. There have been no no-results.
Who are the key players for South Africa?
Quinton de Kock is crucial at the top of the order, while Lungi Ngidi has been outstanding with the ball, taking 7 wickets in two matches in this tournament.
Who are the key players for New Zealand?
Finn Allen and Tim Seifert have been explosive in the powerplay. Lockie Ferguson remains New Zealand’s primary pace threat with the ball.
What is the expected par score at Ahmedabad?
A competitive total at this venue in T20Is is generally between 165–180, depending on dew conditions and pitch behavior under lights.
Will dew play a role in the match?
Yes, dew is likely during the second innings, making chasing slightly easier. Teams winning the toss may prefer to bowl first.
Where can fans watch the match live?
The game will be broadcast live on JioHotstar (streaming) and Star Sports Network (television), with full match coverage and analysis.
Is this match important for group standings?
Yes. Both teams are unbeaten, and the winner will likely finish at the top of Group D, securing a favorable path in the Super 8 stage.
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