India vs New Zealand Prediction: Who Will Win IND vs NZ 4th T20 Match on 28th January 2026?
The India vs New Zealand prediction for the 4th T20I of the five-match series strongly tilts in favour of the hosts as the action shifts to Visakhapatnam. India have already sealed the series with a dominant 3–0 lead and will now aim to complete a statement whitewash as they fine-tune combinations ahead of the T20 World Cup 2026. The Dr Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium has historically offered a balanced contest between bat and ball, but India’s superior depth and red-hot form make them overwhelming favourites going into this clash.
Team India’s aggressive template under Gautam Gambhir has completely outplayed New Zealand in this series. From fearless powerplay batting to flexible bowling rotations, India have looked a cut above the visitors. Abhishek Sharma’s explosive starts, Suryakumar Yadav’s rediscovered rhythm, and Ishan Kishan’s impactful returns have ensured India maintain a relentless scoring rate. Add to that Jasprit Bumrah’s control and the spin trio’s adaptability, and the hosts look well set for another comprehensive performance.
New Zealand, on the other hand, have struggled to transition from their ODI success into T20I consistency. Despite individual flashes from Glenn Phillips and Mitchell Santner, their top order has repeatedly failed to provide solid platforms. The pressure is now on senior players like Daryl Mitchell and Devon Conway to step up and salvage pride in the remaining fixtures. Bowling-wise, Ish Sodhi remains a threat in Indian conditions, but the lack of sustained pressure has hurt the Blackcaps.
From an analytical standpoint, the India vs New Zealand prediction revolves around whether New Zealand can disrupt India’s powerplay momentum and force the game into the middle overs. If India bat first, anything above 155–160 could be match-defining given their bowling strength. If chasing, India’s depth makes even tricky targets manageable.
Overall, form, confidence, and conditions all support the India vs New Zealand prediction leaning decisively towards India, though New Zealand will be desperate to show fight and regain confidence before the global event.
- India lead the series 3–0 and are chasing a clean sweep
- Abhishek Sharma and Suryakumar Yadav headline India’s batting form
- New Zealand rely heavily on Glenn Phillips and Ish Sodhi
- Visakhapatnam offers a balanced pitch favouring disciplined bowling
Match Details
| Match | IND vs NZ, 4th T20I |
|---|---|
| Date | Wednesday, 28 January 2026 |
| Time | 7:00 PM IST |
| Venue | ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam |
| Series | New Zealand tour of India 2026 |
Team Previews
India Preview
India have been ruthless in this T20I series, executing a fearless brand of cricket that has left New Zealand searching for answers. With the series already wrapped up, India may rotate a couple of players, but the overall intensity is expected to remain high as competition for World Cup spots heats up.
Abhishek Sharma has emerged as the biggest positive. His ultra-aggressive approach in the powerplay has consistently put bowlers under pressure, allowing India to dictate terms early. Even when Sanju Samson struggled, the management showed clarity by backing Ishan Kishan, who repaid faith with impactful knocks. Captain Suryakumar Yadav has timed his return to form perfectly, anchoring innings while maintaining his trademark strike rate.
The middle order of Shreyas Iyer, Rinku Singh, and Shivam Dube provides stability and finishing power. Hardik Pandya’s role has been managed smartly, contributing more with the ball while preserving his batting for key moments.
India’s bowling unit has been equally impressive. Bumrah’s controlled spells, Arshdeep Singh’s swing with the new ball, and Varun Chakravarthy’s variations in the middle overs have choked New Zealand’s scoring. With Ravi Bishnoi and Harshit Rana rotating in, India’s attack remains fresh and adaptable.
India Squad:
Abhishek Sharma, Yashasvi Jaiswal, Sanju Samson, Ishan Kishan, Suryakumar Yadav, Shreyas Iyer, Rinku Singh, Shivam Dube, Hardik Pandya, Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, Varun Chakravarthy, Ravi Bishnoi, Harshit Rana, Kuldeep Yadav
New Zealand Preview
New Zealand have endured a tough T20I series after their ODI success. The inability of the top order to adapt to India’s aggressive bowling has been their biggest concern, leaving too much responsibility on the middle order.
Glenn Phillips has been the standout batter, consistently finding boundaries and showing intent. Captain Mitchell Santner has contributed useful runs down the order, but the lack of substantial partnerships up top has prevented New Zealand from posting or chasing competitive totals. Daryl Mitchell’s form dip in T20Is is particularly worrying, given his importance in high-pressure games.
Bowling-wise, Ish Sodhi has used the conditions well, extracting turn and deceiving batters with flight. Jacob Duffy has shown promise, while Matt Henry and Kyle Jamieson have had mixed success. The Blackcaps need more discipline in the powerplay and sharper execution at the death.
New Zealand Squad:
Devon Conway, Tim Seifert, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner, Kyle Jamieson, Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy, Finn Allen, Lockie Ferguson
Probable Playing XI
India: Abhishek Sharma, Yashasvi Jaiswal, Ishan Kishan (wk), Suryakumar Yadav (c), Shreyas Iyer, Rinku Singh, Shivam Dube, Harshit Rana, Varun Chakravarthy, Ravi Bishnoi, Arshdeep Singh
New Zealand: Devon Conway, Tim Seifert, Rachin Ravindra, Glenn Phillips (wk), Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner (c), Kyle Jamieson, Matt Henry, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy
India vs New Zealand Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| Batters | Abhishek Sharma, Suryakumar Yadav, Glenn Phillips |
| All-rounders | Shivam Dube, Mitchell Santner |
| Bowlers | Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, Ish Sodhi, Varun Chakravarthy |
| Wicketkeeper | Ishan Kishan |
| Extra | Rinku Singh |
This fantasy combination prioritizes in-form Indian batters and wicket-taking bowlers. Abhishek Sharma is an automatic pick due to his explosive starts, while Suryakumar Yadav’s consistency against New Zealand makes him a high-value option. Glenn Phillips is New Zealand’s safest batting choice. All-rounders like Shivam Dube and Mitchell Santner offer dual points through batting and bowling. Bumrah and Arshdeep provide wicket-taking potential with the new ball and at the death, while Varun Chakravarthy and Ish Sodhi exploit spin-friendly conditions.
Captain: Abhishek Sharma
Vice-Captain: Suryakumar Yadav
Players to Avoid:
- Sanju Samson (poor series form)
- Finn Allen (inconsistent returns)
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today
The India vs New Zealand prediction clearly favors India as the favourite for the 4th T20I, based on form, depth, and momentum. India have already secured the series with a 3–0 lead and are playing with confidence and aggression across departments. Their batting lineup has consistently posted challenging totals, with multiple players contributing valuable runs rather than relying on one individual. The bowling attack—featuring Jasprit Bumrah, Arshdeep Singh, and Varun Chakravarthy—has adapted superbly to varied conditions, frequently breaking partnerships and controlling run flow.
Conversely, New Zealand’s top order has struggled to provide momentum, often leaving the middle order to rebuild under pressure. Although New Zealand possess experienced match-winners like Glenn Phillips and Mitchell Santner, they have lacked consistency in execution throughout the series. India’s superior bench strength also gives them tactical flexibility. Considering all factors, India’s form, balance, and home advantage make them the overwhelming favourite for today’s match.
India T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266 | 184 | 73 | 8 | 1 |
India boast one of the strongest T20 records globally, combining depth, adaptability, and match-winning talent.
New Zealand T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 249 | 128 | 109 | 11 | 1 |
New Zealand remain competitive in T20Is but often rely heavily on key individuals.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | India Won | NZ Won | NR | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 17 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
India hold a clear head-to-head advantage, especially in home conditions.
Pitch Report
The pitch at ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium traditionally offers a balanced contest between bat and ball. Early on, the surface provides true bounce with some assistance for pace bowlers who can extract movement with disciplined lines. As the game progresses, the wicket generally flattens out, allowing batters to play through the line and find gaps. Spinners gain value in the middle overs, especially those who can vary flight and pace. A first-innings score between 155–165 is generally competitive in T20Is here, and teams chasing have enjoyed success under lights.
Weather Report
Clear skies are expected in Visakhapatnam with temperatures around 27–29 °C. There is no significant rain forecast, offering ideal conditions for a full T20 match without interruptions.
Broadcast Details
The India vs New Zealand T20 will be broadcast live on JioHotstar, Star Sports Network, with ball-by-ball coverage available digitally. International viewers should check local broadcaster listings for live telecast options.
Toss Prediction
At Visakhapatnam, teams winning the toss may choose to bowl first to exploit early seam and spin conditions, and then chase a known target under lights, where the scoreboard pressure is often manageable.
Probable Batsman & Bowler
Probable Batsman: Abhishek Sharma (India) – Abhishek Sharma’s fearless powerplay hitting and recent form make him the most likely top run-scorer. His ability to score quickly against both pace and spin sets the tone at the start. Given his consistency, he is a strong candidate to make a significant contribution again.
Probable Bowler: Jasprit Bumrah (India) – Jasprit Bumrah’s control, variations, and death bowling experience make him the leading bowling pick. He has consistently broken partnerships at crucial junctures and maintained tight economy rates. On the Visakhapatnam surface, his ability to hit yorkers and slower balls under pressure makes him the most probable match-defining bowler. His recent form and tactical acumen increase the likelihood of him finishing as the standout bowler in this game.
Match Prediction
The India vs New Zealand prediction for the 4th T20I strongly favors India to continue their dominant run and secure another win. India’s balanced batting depth and disciplined bowling make them difficult to beat, while New Zealand have struggled for consistency. Unless the Blackcaps significantly improve their top-order performance and bowling execution, India are expected to win comfortably and edge closer to a series whitewash.
Winner: India Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
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