Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder Prediction: Who Will Win HBH vs SYT 21st T20 BBL Match?
The Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder prediction for the 21st T20 of the Big Bash League 2025/26 clearly favors the Hurricanes, who have enjoyed a strong campaign so far. Hobart Hurricanes arrive at this contest with momentum, consistency, and a settled playing XI, while Sydney Thunder continue to search for rhythm after a difficult start to the season. With four wins from six matches, Hobart are firmly placed near the top of the table and look like genuine title contenders once again.
Sydney Thunder, by contrast, have struggled in almost every department. With just one win from five matches and a poor net run rate, they find themselves anchored near the bottom of the standings. Although there have been flashes of individual brilliance—particularly from Matthew Gilkes and Shadab Khan—the Thunder have failed to put together complete performances. Their bowling has leaked runs at crucial stages, while the batting unit has often collapsed under pressure.
This Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder prediction is further influenced by recent head-to-head history. Hobart Hurricanes have dominated Sydney Thunder in recent seasons, winning their last four encounters. The conditions at Sydney Showground Stadium generally favor batting, with totals of around 180–185 proving competitive, which suits Hobart’s aggressive top and middle order.
With Hobart boasting match-winners like Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, and Riley Meredith, and Sydney Thunder relying heavily on a handful of players, the balance tilts strongly in Hobart’s favor heading into this fixture.
- Hobart Hurricanes have won four of their last six matches
- Sydney Thunder have managed only one win this season
- Hurricanes have won their last four matches against Thunder
- Hobart enter the match as clear favorites based on form
Match Details
| Match | Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder, 21st T20 |
|---|---|
| Tournament | Big Bash League 2025/26 |
| Date | Saturday, 3 January 2026 |
| Time | 1:45 PM IST |
| Venue | Sydney Showground Stadium, Sydney |
Sydney Thunder Preview
Sydney Thunder have endured a challenging Big Bash League 2025/26 campaign so far, marked by inconsistency and missed opportunities. With just one win from their opening five matches, the Thunder find themselves anchored near the bottom of the points table, facing mounting pressure as the tournament progresses. Despite flashes of individual brilliance, Sydney Thunder have struggled to put together complete performances, which has been reflected in their poor net run rate and heavy defeats.
From a batting perspective, Matthew Gilkes has been the standout performer and one of the few bright spots in the Thunder lineup. Operating primarily in the top order, Gilkes has scored over 160 runs at an impressive strike rate above 180. His fearless approach during the powerplay has often given Sydney Thunder brisk starts, but a recurring issue has been the lack of support from the other end. Too often, Gilkes’ promising innings have ended without being capitalized on by the middle order.
Sam Billings and Sam Konstas have provided some stability, both crossing the 100-run mark this season. Billings, in particular, brings experience and composure, while Konstas offers youthful energy and intent. However, inconsistency has prevented either from converting starts into match-defining knocks. Cameron Bancroft, a seasoned campaigner, has chipped in with useful contributions but has not yet produced a substantial innings to anchor the batting lineup.
Shadab Khan has played a vital all-round role for the Thunder. With over 100 runs and seven wickets so far, he has often been the player stepping up in pressure situations. His leg-spin has been one of the few bowling options capable of controlling run flow, especially during the middle overs. However, the Thunder’s heavy reliance on Shadab highlights a broader issue—the lack of consistent contributions from multiple players in the XI.
The bowling unit has been a significant area of concern. Daniel Sams and Reece Topley have picked up wickets but at a high cost, conceding runs at economies close to or above 10 runs per over. This has allowed opposition teams to build or chase big totals with relative comfort. Nathan McAndrew and Tanveer Sangha have shown promise in patches, but neither has managed to deliver sustained spells that swing matches in Sydney’s favor.
Fielding has also been below par at times, with dropped catches and misfields compounding the pressure on an already struggling bowling attack. In tight T20 contests, these lapses have proven costly and have often been the difference between competitive losses and heavy defeats.
Strategically, Sydney Thunder appear to be searching for the right combination. Frequent changes to the batting order and bowling roles suggest a lack of clarity, which can affect confidence within the group. Going forward, the Thunder need stronger performances from their senior players and better execution in key phases—particularly during the powerplay with the ball and the middle overs with the bat.
While their season has been difficult so far, Sydney Thunder are not without potential. If their top order clicks together and the bowling unit tightens its lines, they could still trouble stronger sides. However, to salvage their campaign and climb the table, Thunder must quickly find consistency and translate individual performances into collective success.
Hobart Hurricanes Preview
Hobart Hurricanes enter the latter half of the Big Bash League 2025/26 season as one of the most consistent and well-rounded teams in the competition. After winning four of their opening six matches, the Hurricanes have positioned themselves firmly inside the top two, sending a clear message that they remain genuine title contenders. Their success so far has been built on balance—between bat and ball, youth and experience, and aggression and control.
At the top of the order, Hobart have found stability and momentum. Nikhil Chaudhary has emerged as a standout performer, enjoying his most productive BBL season to date. With over 200 runs at a strike rate north of 150, Chaudhary has been instrumental in setting the tempo during the powerplay while still having the composure to bat deep. His ability to counter both pace and spin has made him one of the most reliable openers in the tournament.
Ben McDermott has complemented him effectively. While McDermott may not always dominate headlines, his consistency through the middle overs has allowed Hobart to maintain scoring momentum without unnecessary risk. Matthew Wade’s presence further strengthens the batting unit. Often used as a finisher or flexible middle-order option, Wade’s explosive cameos—scoring at close to a 190 strike rate—have repeatedly turned competitive totals into match-winning ones.
The Hurricanes’ middle order also benefits from versatility. Players like Macalister Wright and Tim Ward provide cover and adaptability depending on match situations, allowing the Hurricanes to reshuffle their batting order if early wickets fall or if a fast start is required.
Hobart’s bowling attack has been equally impressive and arguably their biggest strength. Riley Meredith continues to be a potent weapon with the new ball. His pace, bounce, and aggression have regularly unsettled opposition top orders, while Nathan Ellis has provided calm control at the other end. Ellis’ leadership as captain has been evident in his smart field placements and effective use of resources, particularly in tight matches.
Chris Jordan remains one of the most dependable death bowlers in the league. His experience across global T20 leagues allows him to mix yorkers, slower balls, and hard lengths effectively, often closing out innings without allowing late surges. In the spin department, Rishad Hossain has been a revelation. With eight wickets at an economy under eight, he has consistently broken partnerships in the middle overs, providing Hobart with crucial breakthroughs when momentum threatens to shift.
Rehan Ahmed adds further depth as a spin-bowling all-rounder, offering tactical flexibility depending on pitch conditions. This range of bowling options has allowed Hobart to adapt successfully across venues, whether defending totals or restricting teams while chasing.
Beyond individual performances, Hobart Hurricanes’ biggest asset is their cohesion. The side looks settled, confident, and tactically clear. Fielding standards have been high, and their ability to control key phases—particularly the powerplay and death overs—has set them apart from many rivals. If they maintain this consistency and avoid complacency, Hobart Hurricanes are well placed to push deep into the playoffs and potentially lift the BBL trophy once again.
Also Check: BBL 2025-26: Points Table, Most Runs & Most Wickets
Team Squads
Hobart Hurricanes
Mitchell Owen, Tim Ward, Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, Macalister Wright, Matthew Wade, Rehan Ahmed, Chris Jordan, Nathan Ellis, Rishad Hossain, Riley Meredith
Sydney Thunder
David Warner, Sam Konstas, Cameron Bancroft, Matthew Gilkes, Sam Billings, Shadab Khan, Daniel Sams, Chris Green, Nathan McAndrew, Tanveer Sangha, Reece Topley
Probable Playing XI
| Hobart Hurricanes | Sydney Thunder |
|---|---|
| Mitchell Owen | David Warner (c) |
| Tim Ward | Sam Konstas |
| Nikhil Chaudhary | Cameron Bancroft |
| Ben McDermott | Matthew Gilkes |
| Macalister Wright | Sam Billings (wk) |
| Matthew Wade (wk) | Shadab Khan |
| Rehan Ahmed | Daniel Sams |
| Chris Jordan | Chris Green |
| Nathan Ellis (c) | Nathan McAndrew |
| Rishad Hossain | Tanveer Sangha |
| Riley Meredith | Reece Topley |
Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder Today’s Dream11/Fantasy Prediction
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| Batters | Nikhil Chaudhary, Ben McDermott, Matthew Gilkes, David Warner |
| All-rounders | Shadab Khan, Chris Jordan |
| Bowlers | Riley Meredith, Nathan Ellis, Rishad Hossain, Daniel Sams |
| Wicketkeeper | Matthew Wade |
Captain: Nikhil Chaudhary
Vice-Captain: Matthew Gilkes
Players to Avoid: Sam Konstas, Nathan McAndrew
Nikhil Chaudhary is the best captaincy option due to his consistent run-scoring at the top and ability to maximize powerplay overs. Matthew Gilkes is a strong vice-captain choice thanks to his aggressive approach and current form for Sydney Thunder. Ben McDermott and Matthew Wade add reliability and explosiveness to the batting lineup.
All-rounders Shadab Khan and Chris Jordan provide dual value, contributing with both bat and ball. Riley Meredith and Nathan Ellis are key wicket-takers for Hobart, especially in pressure phases, while Rishad Hossain’s spin adds control in the middle overs.
Sam Konstas and Nathan McAndrew are suggested as avoidable picks due to limited impact and inconsistent returns this season.
Also Check: Get The Best Fantasy Prediction From Cricket Experts
Favourite Team Today (Why)
Hobart Hurricanes are the clear favorites in this Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder prediction. They are more balanced, confident, and consistent across departments. With a settled batting order, multiple bowling options, and a strong recent record against Sydney Thunder, Hobart hold a significant advantage. Sydney Thunder’s inconsistency and lack of control in key moments make it difficult to back them against a side in such strong form. Unless Thunder produce a dramatic turnaround, Hobart Hurricanes are expected to dominate proceedings.
Hobart Hurricanes T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164 | 80 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Sydney Thunder T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158 | 64 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches | Hobart Won | Sydney Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 14 | 8 | 1 |
Hobart Hurricanes have clearly dominated this rivalry, winning 14 of the 23 encounters, including the last four matches in a row.
Also Check: Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder Head to Head in T20 – Records, Team & Players Stats
Pitch Report
Sydney Showground Stadium generally offers a flat surface with true bounce, favoring batters. The shorter boundaries make it easier to score quickly, especially in the powerplay. Bowlers need variations to succeed, particularly at the death. A first-innings score of around 180–185 is competitive here.
Weather Report
| Condition | Details |
|---|---|
| Weather | Clear to partly cloudy |
| Temperature | 24–27°C |
| Rain Chance | Very low |
Weather conditions are ideal for a full match.
Broadcast Details
The Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder 21st T20 BBL 2025/26 match will be broadcast live on Star Sports Network, with online streaming available on JioHotstar.
Toss Prediction
Teams winning the toss may prefer to bat first at Sydney Showground Stadium, as the pitch remains good throughout and defending totals under lights has been effective.
Score Prediction
- If Hobart Hurricanes bat first: 163+
- If Sydney Thunder bat first: 154+
Hobart’s stronger batting depth gives them the edge in posting or chasing totals.
Probable Batsman & Bowler
Probable Batsman: Nikhil Chaudhary is expected to anchor and accelerate the Hobart innings. For Sydney Thunder, Matthew Gilkes remains their most reliable run-scorer.
Probable Bowler: Riley Meredith is likely to be Hobart’s leading wicket-taker with his pace and bounce, while Shadab Khan could be Thunder’s best bowling option through the middle overs.
Also Check For More: Big Bash League Prediction
Match Prediction
This Hobart Hurricanes vs Sydney Thunder prediction strongly favors Hobart Hurricanes. With superior form, depth, and recent dominance in head-to-head contests, Hobart are well placed to secure another win.
Final Prediction: Hobart Hurricanes will win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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