New Zealand vs West Indies Prediction: Who Will Win NZ vs WI 3rd T20 Match?
The New Zealand vs West Indies prediction for the 3rd T20I of the West Indies tour of New Zealand 2025 promises another thrilling encounter as both sides battle for supremacy at Saxton Oval Nelson Cricket Ground, Nelson, on Sunday, November 9, 2025. The series is finely poised at 1-1 after New Zealand edged out West Indies by three runs in the previous game, setting up a high-stakes decider for the lead.
New Zealand have displayed strong resilience at home, bouncing back from defeat in the opening T20I with a spirited performance led by Mark Chapman’s crucial knock. With conditions favoring their seamers and the batting lineup gaining form, Mitchell Santner’s side will be confident of extending their home dominance.
On the other hand, West Indies will be frustrated after a narrow loss in the second game. Their batting unit looked impressive, but the bowling attack struggled to contain New Zealand’s aggression in the middle overs. Skipper Shai Hope will expect more discipline from his bowlers and a sharper fielding display.
Both sides boast explosive batters and dynamic all-rounders, setting up an exciting clash at Nelson. Given the balance of the two teams, our New Zealand vs West Indies match prediction favors the home side, thanks to their experience and better control in pressure moments.
Match Details
| Details | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | New Zealand vs West Indies, 3rd T20, 2025 |
| Date | Sunday, November 9, 2025 |
| Time | 2:30 PM Local Time |
| Venue | Saxton Oval Nelson Cricket Ground, Nelson |
| Live Streaming | FanCode |
| Toss Prediction | New Zealand to win the toss |
| Match Prediction | New Zealand to win |
New Zealand Team Preview
After levelling the series in a nail-biting finish, New Zealand will enter the third T20I with renewed confidence. Mitchell Santner’s men showed grit under pressure, and the captain will expect another composed performance to edge ahead in the five-match series.
Batting Overview:
The top order, comprising Devon Conway and Tim Robinson, has looked promising in patches but needs to convert starts into big scores. Conway’s ability to rotate the strike and play the anchor role will be crucial at Nelson, where boundaries are relatively large.
Mark Chapman’s form has been the highlight for New Zealand. His explosive 62-run knock in the last game was pivotal in setting up a competitive total. Rachin Ravindra and Daryl Mitchell bring balance in the middle order, capable of stabilizing innings or accelerating when needed. In the lower order, Michael Bracewell and Mitchell Santner are power-hitters who can make a difference in the death overs.
Bowling Overview:
The bowling department, however, remains an area of concern. Jacob Duffy and Kyle Jamieson bowled well with the new ball, but the middle overs lacked control. Bracewell and Zakary Foulkes were expensive, which allowed the West Indies to come close in the chase.
Santner’s spin will play a critical role in controlling runs and breaking partnerships. With Ish Sodhi likely to return, New Zealand will aim to strengthen their spin combination.
New Zealand Predicted Playing XI:
Mitchell Santner (c), Devon Conway (wk), Tim Robinson, Rachin Ravindra, Mark Chapman, Daryl Mitchell, Michael Bracewell, Kyle Jamieson, Jacob Duffy, Zakary Foulkes, Ish Sodhi.
West Indies Team Preview
The West Indies come into this match after a heartbreaking 3-run defeat but remain a dangerous side capable of turning things around. Shai Hope’s men will look to regroup and deliver a strong all-round performance to reclaim the lead in the series.
Batting Overview:
The Caribbean batting lineup has shown flashes of brilliance. Brandon King and Alick Athanaze provide firepower at the top, capable of exploiting the field restrictions. However, their inability to build a solid opening stand has been a setback so far.
Skipper Shai Hope remains the team’s most reliable batter, anchoring the innings and accelerating when needed. Middle-order batters Ackeem Auguste, Rovman Powell, and Jason Holder add depth and stability, while Romario Shepherd and Roston Chase bring finishing prowess to the lower order.
Bowling Overview:
Bowling continues to be the major issue for West Indies. Jayden Seales and Matthew Forde struggled to maintain line and length in the powerplay. Senior pros Jason Holder and Akeal Hosein will be vital for keeping things tight during the middle overs.
West Indies will look to improve their death bowling, which cost them dearly in the previous game. Roston Chase’s off-spin could be useful at Nelson, where the pitch might offer slight grip.
West Indies Predicted Playing XI:
Shai Hope (c & wk), Alick Athanaze, Brandon King, Ackeem Auguste, Jason Holder, Rovman Powell, Roston Chase, Romario Shepherd, Matthew Forde, Akeal Hosein, Jayden Seales.
Fantasy Team XI Suggestion
| Role | Players |
|---|---|
| WK | Shai Hope, Devon Conway |
| Batters | Mark Chapman, Rachin Ravindra, Brandon King |
| All-rounders | Mitchell Santner, Jason Holder, Michael Bracewell |
| Bowlers | Kyle Jamieson, Akeal Hosein, Jacob Duffy |
Captain: Mark Chapman
Vice-Captain: Jason Holder
Fantasy Team Explanation
Mark Chapman’s excellent form makes him the top choice for captain — his ability to bat in any situation and score big runs under pressure ensures consistent points. Jason Holder is an ideal vice-captain pick due to his all-round impact — picking wickets and scoring valuable runs in the lower order.
Devon Conway and Shai Hope are dependable wicketkeeping options who can play anchor roles, ensuring steady fantasy returns. Michael Bracewell and Mitchell Santner add all-round strength, contributing with both bat and ball.
Among bowlers, Kyle Jamieson and Jacob Duffy are good for early breakthroughs, while Akeal Hosein’s economy and spin variations make him effective in the second innings.
Avoid Alick Athanaze (inconsistent) and Zakary Foulkes (expensive with the ball) for this match.
Favourite Team in Today’s Match: New Zealand
New Zealand remain favorites to win this third T20I at Nelson. They possess a balanced squad, with reliable batters and bowlers accustomed to home conditions. The return to form of Mark Chapman and the leadership of Mitchell Santner add depth to their game. Their batting lineup is flexible, capable of adapting to both slow and fast tracks.
The Kiwis’ advantage lies in their familiarity with the ground dimensions and seam-friendly conditions, which often trouble visiting teams. With Conway, Ravindra, and Santner in good touch, New Zealand are expected to perform confidently and take a 2-1 lead in the series.
Pitch Report
The Saxton Oval pitch in Nelson favors batters early on, with true bounce allowing stroke play. However, as the match progresses, spinners and slower bowlers will find some grip. Seamers may get assistance with the new ball. A par total here will be around 170–180 runs.
Weather Report
Clear skies are expected with a temperature of 22°C and mild humidity. Perfect conditions for cricket with little chance of rain.
Broadcast Details
- Live Streaming: FanCode App & Website
- Telecast: Not available on TV
Toss Prediction
Toss Winner: New Zealand
Decision: Bowl first – chasing has been easier under lights at Nelson.
Team Stats
New Zealand T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243 | 126 | 106 | 10 | 1 |
West Indies T20 History
| Matches | Won | Lost | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 | 102 | 123 | 11 | 0 |
Head-to-Head (NZ vs WI)
| Matches | NZ Won | WI Won | No Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 |
At Saxton Oval, Nelson: 1 Match – New Zealand Won (1) | West Indies (0).
Score Prediction
- If New Zealand Bat First: 178+
- If West Indies Bat First: 164+
Winning Chances:
- New Zealand: 60%
- West Indies: 40%
Match Prediction
Winner: New Zealand to Win
The Kiwis’ superior batting form, home advantage, and balanced bowling attack make them strong contenders to win the 3rd T20I and take the series lead.
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
FAQ – NZ vs WI 3rd T20
Q1. Where will the 3rd T20 between New Zealand and West Indies be played?
At Saxton Oval Nelson Cricket Ground, Nelson.
Q2. Who won the last T20 match between New Zealand and West Indies?
New Zealand won by 3 runs to level the series 1-1.
Q3. What time will the NZ vs WI 3rd T20 start?
The match starts at 2:30 PM local time.
Q4. Which players are in top form for New Zealand?
Mark Chapman, Mitchell Santner, and Devon Conway are key performers.
Q5. Who are the key bowlers for West Indies?
Akeal Hosein, Jason Holder, and Jayden Seales.
Q6. What is the toss prediction for NZ vs WI 3rd T20?
New Zealand are expected to win the toss and bowl first.
Q7. What is the par score at Saxton Oval?
A total of 170–180 runs is considered competitive.
Q8. Who will win the NZ vs WI 3rd T20 2025?
According to our analysis, New Zealand will win and take a 2-1 lead in the series.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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