Who Will Win Sussex vs Essex 104th T20 Blast 2025 Prediction – 11th July

Sussex vs Essex prediction: As the T20 Blast 2025 reaches its final stages, Essex and Sussex lock horns in the 104th match of the competition at the County Ground, Chelmsford, on Friday, 11th July 2025. While Essex find themselves at the bottom of the South Group table with only one win from nine games, Sussex are still fighting to stay in contention for the top four and need a strong finish. Despite Essex’s disappointing campaign, they do have a slight head-to-head advantage in recent meetings, having won three of the last five against Sussex. However, with Sussex looking to bounce back from two consecutive losses and Essex playing for pride in this dead rubber, expect a spirited contest under lights at Chelmsford. With stars like Mohammad Amir, Tymal Mills, and Daniel Hughes in action, this match could go down to the wire.

Match Details

Essex Team Preview

Essex’s campaign has faltered heavily in the 2025 T20 Blast. They have managed just one win in nine matches, with their batting frequently underperforming. In their most recent outing, the only standout was young Noah Thain, who smashed a gritty 38 off 17 balls, showing promise as a lower-order striker. Paul Walter and Simon Harmer chipped in with handy runs but the top order continues to collapse under pressure.

With the ball, Mohammad Amir was exceptional, picking 3 for 22, showing that he still has the ability to dismantle top orders. Charlie Bennett and Matthew Critchley have also contributed but lacked consistency. The side needs a complete turnaround in approach to challenge Sussex.

Essex Predicted Playing XI:
Michael-Kyle Pepper, Paul Walter, Jordan Cox (wk), Charlie Allison, Matthew Critchley, Luc Benkenstein, Robin Das, Noah Thain, Simon Harmer (c), Mohammad Amir, Charlie Bennett

Sussex Team Preview

Sussex have been inconsistent but remain a far stronger outfit than Essex. In their last game, their batting failed to capitalize on a solid start, with Tom Clark (29) and Ollie Robinson (27 off 14) showing promise. James Coles also added quick runs in the middle order. Sussex’s strength lies in their middle and lower order, which has often bailed them out in tough games.

With the ball, Tymal Mills has been phenomenal, picking up 3 for 21 in his last match. Henry Crocombe and Nathan McAndrew support him with pace, while Danny Lamb and Ollie Robinson offer utility options.

Skipper Mills will want more discipline from the top order, but Sussex still enter as the more balanced and confident side.

Sussex Predicted Playing XI:
Daniel Hughes, Harrison Ward, Tom Clark, James Coles, John Simpson (wk), Tom Alsop, Danny Lamb, Nathan McAndrew, Ollie Robinson, Henry Crocombe, Tymal Mills (c)

Fantasy Team XI – ESS vs SUS

Fantasy Analysis:

• Captain Pick: Tymal Mills – leading wicket-taker and in top form.
• Vice-Captain Pick: Mohammad Amir – still lethal in the powerplay and death overs.
• Players to Avoid:
  • Robin Das – low returns across the season.
  • Charlie Allison – inconsistent with the bat.

Favourite Team – Sussex (Why?)

Sussex have shown more fight and stability this season. While they haven’t been dominant, their bowling unit, led by Tymal Mills, consistently delivers under pressure. Daniel Hughes and James Coles add firepower in the middle overs, and even though the top order has struggled, Sussex still manage to put up defendable totals. Essex, on the other hand, are plagued by poor form and lacking in momentum. Sussex’s balanced squad and superior recent performances make them favorites to win.

Pitch Report – County Ground, Chelmsford

• Historically a batting-friendly wicket
• Short boundaries help stroke-makers
• Seamers get help early on; spinners come into play in middle overs
• A 160+ score is considered competitive

Weather Report

• Temperature: 17–21°C
• Conditions: Clear skies expected
• Rain Prediction: Less than 10%
• Dew: Minimal – may not affect the game outcome

Score Prediction

• If Sussex Bat First: 163–175
• If Essex Bat First: 147–160

Toss Prediction

• Toss Winner: Essex
• Decision: Bowl First

Match Prediction

• Predicted Winner: Sussex Will Win

They’re the more composed side with firepower in both departments and greater depth in batting and bowling.

Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.

Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.

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