Who Will Win Nottinghamshire vs Durham 75th T20 Blast 2025 Prediction – 4th July
With the T20 Blast heading into its crucial phase, the spotlight turns to the North Group where Nottinghamshire and Durham lock horns in what could be a potential quarter-final decider. Held at the Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street, the Nottinghamshire vs Durham prediction heavily favors the Outlaws due to their superior form and head-to-head dominance. However, Durham’s recent strong performances and home advantage add intrigue to this high-stakes clash.
Notts Outlaws, currently fifth, are chasing a top-four spot while Durham sit narrowly ahead. A win for Nottinghamshire here could change the standings drastically and bring the quarter-final race to life.
Match Details
| Match | Nottinghamshire vs Durham, 75th T20 Blast 2025 |
|---|---|
| Date | Friday, 4th July 2025 |
| Time | 11:00 PM IST |
| Venue | Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street |
| Broadcast | Fancode |
Team Previews
Durham Preview
Durham enter this clash after a dominant 63-run win over Yorkshire. Their performance at the Riverside has been reliable this season, with both bat and ball contributing to wins. Captain Alex Lees and opener Graham Clark provided a blazing start in their last match with scores of 40 and 53 respectively, helping Durham post 193/4.
James Neesham adds immense balance with his finishing ability and medium pace. His unbeaten 42 against Yorkshire was pivotal. Colin Ackermann and Ben McKinney offer stability in the middle order. However, their batting depth hasn’t always fired in tandem, and they’ll need full contributions against a strong Notts bowling lineup.
Their bowling has been the bigger asset this season. Callum Parkinson and Nathan Sowter bring spin threat in the middle overs, while Matthew Potts leads the pace attack with aggression. Neesham’s four-over quota adds another strategic option for Alex Lees.
Nottinghamshire Preview
The Outlaws are peaking at the right time. Their win over Northants in their last outing was a statement, defending 193 and securing a 24-run victory. It was a complete performance, with batters and bowlers stepping up when needed.
Captain Joe Clarke and wicketkeeper Tom Moores are in good form, while Jack Haynes’ solid technique has added strength at number three. Daniel Sams is the X-factor all-rounder, capable of turning games with both bat and ball. Matthew Montgomery and Lyndon James bring stability in the lower middle order.
Bowling-wise, Dillon Pennington leads the pace battery with aggressive spells. Sams and Montgomery offer crucial breakthroughs in the middle. Calvin Harrison and Farhan Ahmed provide spin variety, which will be key at Chester-le-Street.
With a deeper batting line-up and in-form attack, Nottinghamshire come into this match as slight favorites despite playing away.
Squads
Nottinghamshire Squad:
Joe Clarke (c), Tom Moores (wk), Lyndon James, Jack Haynes, Freddie McCann, Daniel Sams, Matthew Montgomery, Liam Patterson-White, Calvin Harrison, Farhan Ahmed, Dillon Pennington
Durham Squad:
Alex Lees (c), Graham Clark, Ben McKinney, Colin Ackermann, James Neesham, Ollie Robinson (wk), Will Rhodes, Zak Foulkes, Matthew Potts, Nathan Sowter, Callum Parkinson
Fantasy Team XI – NOT vs DUR
| Player | Role |
|---|---|
| Joe Clarke | Batter |
| Jack Haynes | Batter |
| Tom Moores (WK) | Wicketkeeper |
| Daniel Sams (C) | All-rounder |
| James Neesham (VC) | All-rounder |
| Graham Clark | Batter |
| Colin Ackermann | All-rounder |
| Matthew Potts | Bowler |
| Dillon Pennington | Bowler |
| Calvin Harrison | Bowler |
| Callum Parkinson | Bowler |
Captain Pick: Daniel Sams
Vice-Captain Pick: James Neesham
Players to Avoid
- Ben McKinney – Lacks consistency; low fantasy returns
- Liam Patterson-White – Limited involvement recently
Favourite Team Today – Nottinghamshire (Why?)
Nottinghamshire Outlaws have been consistent performers in T20 cricket, and they carry better form and depth coming into this fixture. Their top order is firing, and the bowling attack is well-rounded with spin and pace options. They’ve also historically dominated Durham and look better equipped to handle pressure.
Nottinghamshire T20 History
- Matches Played: 279
- Wins: 146
- Losses: 99
- Titles: 2 (2017, 2020)
A powerhouse in English T20 cricket, Notts have maintained a strong record over the years with well-balanced sides and consistent playoff appearances.
Durham T20 History
- Matches Played: 267
- Wins: 98
- Losses: 134
Durham have improved in recent years but historically underachieved in T20s. Their recent form, however, suggests an upward curve in 2025.
Head-to-Head Stats
| Matches Played | Nottinghamshire Won | Durham Won | No Result | Tie |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 | 21 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Nottinghamshire clearly lead the rivalry, winning 21 of the 39 matches played.
Pitch Report – Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street
- Nature: Balanced surface
- Average 1st Innings Score: 150–165
- Assists: Seamers under lights, spinners in middle overs
- Chasing Advantage: Slight
Weather Report – July 4, 2025
- Conditions: Cloudy evening
- Temperature: 16–19°C
- Rain: 10% chance
- Humidity: 68%
Score Prediction
- If Nottinghamshire Bat First: 158+
- If Durham Bat First: 142+
Toss Prediction
- Toss Winner: Durham
- Decision: Bowl First
Match Prediction
Predicted Winner: Nottinghamshire Will Win
Also, once the toss takes place, we might modify the Today Match Prediction as per the playing XIs. Please check this blog after the toss for the updated Prediction.
Disclaimer: Predictions are for entertainment purposes only. We don’t get involved in or promote betting or gambling. Also, We strongly discourage behaviors of participating in illegal activities related to cricket. Our experts try to be as correct as possible, but we do not guarantee 100% correctness.
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